Issued: 4:58 PM PST Sunday, November 25, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

Warm frontal moisture from a wet and mild system with a subtropical tap has reached the Olympic Peninsula late this afternoon.  Precipitation from this system will mainly impact the Olympics and North Cascades until the associated frontal boundary pushes through late Monday night.  Mt. Baker will pick up the most precipitation from this event over the next 2 days. 

Snow levels will rise tonight and again on Monday. Precipitation should start out as a light wintry mix with some freezing rain at Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes before transitioning to light rain Monday morning.  Areas along the west slopes of the Cascades will see mostly rain from this event below 7000'.  Washington Pass will hold onto colder air longer and this system should produce mainly snowfall for that area while areas further south along the east slopes will also eventually transition to rain.   

As the front passes through the Cascades Tuesday, cooler air will filter into the region and the precipitation will become showery in nature.  

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Sunday Night Light rain and snow. Warming trend.
Mt. Baker
Sunday Night Light rain and snow. Warming trend.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Sunday Night Patchy light snow or freezing rain developing. Slow warming trend.
Mt. Rainier and Crystal
Sunday Night Light rain and snow developing. Warming trend.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Sunday Night Light snow developing overnight.
Mt. Hood
Sunday Night Cloudy with light rain possible late tonight. Warming trend.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Sunday Evening Snow Level * 7000' 4500' 3500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 6000' 6000'
Sunday Night Snow Level * 8000' 6500' 4000' 2000' 4500' 6000' 7500' 8000'
Monday Morning Snow Level * 8500' 8000' 4500' 6000' 7000' 7000' 8000' 8500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level * 8500' 8000' 4500' 7000' 7000' 8000' 8500' 8500'
Monday Evening Snow Level * 8500' 7500' 5000' 6000' 6000' 7500' 7500' 9000'
Monday Night Snow Level * 8000' 7000' 4500' 5000' 4500' 7000' 7000' 7500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level * 6500' 6500' 4000' 7000' 4000' 4500' 7000' 7500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Evening Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Evening Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Evening Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Evening Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Evening Snow Level
9000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Night Sunday Sunday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 1.00 2.50 1.00
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 0.75
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75
0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 1.00
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday 1.00
Sunday Night 2.50
Sunday 1.00
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.75
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.75
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Evening SSE 15 - 25 SSE 15 - 30 ESE 10 - 20 SE 5 - 15 SSW 5 - 15
Sunday Night S 20 - 30 SE 15 - 30 ESE 10 - 20 SE 10 - 20 S 10 - 20
Monday Morning S 25 - 35 SSE 20 - 30 SE 10 - 20 SSE 10 - 20 SSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Evening SSE 15 - 25
Sunday Night S 20 - 30
Monday Morning S 25 - 35
Monday Afternoon S 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Evening SSE 15 - 30
Sunday Night SE 15 - 30
Monday Morning SSE 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon SSE 25 - 40
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening ESE 10 - 20
Sunday Night ESE 10 - 20
Monday Morning SE 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon SE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Sunday Evening SE 5 - 15
Sunday Night SE 10 - 20
Monday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Evening SSW 5 - 15
Sunday Night S 10 - 20
Monday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SSE 15 - 25
Sunday Night S 20 - 30
Monday Morning S 25 - 35
Monday Afternoon S 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SSE 15 - 30
Sunday Night SE 15 - 30
Monday Morning SSE 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon SSE 25 - 40
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening ESE 10 - 20
Sunday Night ESE 10 - 20
Monday Morning SE 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon SE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SE 5 - 15
Sunday Night SE 10 - 20
Monday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SSW 5 - 15
Sunday Night S 10 - 20
Monday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Evening SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20
Sunday Night SW 30 - 40 SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 SW 20 - 30
Monday Morning SW 35 - 45 SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 SW 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 30 - 40
Monday Morning SW 35 - 45
Monday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 25 - 35
Monday Morning SW 30 - 40
Monday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 30 - 40
Monday Morning SW 30 - 40
Monday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 30 - 40
Monday Morning SW 30 - 40
Monday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SW 10 - 20
Sunday Night SW 20 - 30
Monday Morning SW 25 - 35
Monday Afternoon SW 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

Post-frontal showers should diminish Tuesday night. 

A weak trough will approach the area Wednesday and Wednesday night with relatively cooler snow levels. Shower activity generally looks scattered and there may be a dry window Wednesday night.

The jet stream will be aimed into Northern California on Thursday. As a result, a developing low pressure system will be steered south of our area, leaving us with disorganized showers in the longwave upper level trough.  Snow levels will gradually lower at the end of the week. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Tuesday Night Snow Level 4000' - 5000' 4500' - 5500' 4500' - 5500'
Wednesday Snow Level 4000' - 5000' 4000' - 5000' 4500' - 5500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500' 4500' - 5500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Wednesday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Thursday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Wednesday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Thursday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Wednesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Thursday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 24, 2018

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.