Issued: 7:24 AM PST Thursday, February 6, 2014
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Wednesday

Another very cold and breezy day is in store for the mountains of the Pacific Northwest on Thursday; many NWAC stations once again came in this morning near or below zero.  An elongated longwave trough of low pressure is oriented E-W across the northern US and offshore surface pressure gradients continue to push cold air west of the Cascades and toward the coast.  The upper low should hang around Vancouver Island through the short term period...keeping the storm track further south into Oregon.  East winds will be strongest for the central Cascades near the passes with the winds extending up to crest level before easing off tonight.  

A weather system will track across Oregon today...delivering light to moderate snow to Mt. Hood with light snow extending north into the south Washington Cascades.  The system should track east overnight, leaving the area in a relative break on Friday.  Another system should track in the same manner Friday night...bringing another round of light to moderate snow mainly to Mt. Hood.  There is some uncertainty to how far north light snow will extend into Washington. 

Weather Forecast

Mt. Hood Area
Thursday Morning

Light snow developing.  Cold. 

Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night

Light to moderate snow easing to light snow showers after midnight.  Cold. 

Friday

Periods of light snow.   

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday - Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with occasional light snow or flurries near and south of I-90.  Partly cloudy north.  Cold. 

Friday

Mostly cloudy south part, partly cloudy north.  Cold. 

Southwest Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Snoqualmie and White Pass
Thursday - Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with occasional light snow or flurries mainly south of I-90.  Cold. 

Friday

Mostly cloudy.  Cold. 

Olympics, Northwest Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens Pass
Thursday - Thursday Night

Partly cloudy north part, mostly cloudy further south Thursday morning becoming mostly cloudy everywhere in the afternoon.   Cold. 

Friday

Partly cloudy.  Cold. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday - Friday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday - Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday - Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday - Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday - Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday - Friday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday - Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday - Friday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Wednesday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday E 5 - 15 --- - ESE 30 - 40 --- - E 20 - 30
Thursday Evening VAR 0 - 10 --- - ESE 20 - 30 --- - E 5 - 15
Thursday Night - Friday E 0 - 10 --- - SW 5 - 15 --- - WSW 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday E 5 - 15
Thursday Evening VAR 0 - 10
Thursday Night - Friday E 0 - 10
Friday Night E 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday --- -
Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night - Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday ESE 30 - 40
Thursday Evening ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Night - Friday SW 5 - 15
Friday Night ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday --- -
Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night - Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday E 20 - 30
Thursday Evening E 5 - 15
Thursday Night - Friday WSW 5 - 15
Friday Night E 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday E 5 - 15
Thursday Evening VAR 0 - 10
Thursday Night - Friday E 0 - 10
Friday Night E 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday --- -
Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night - Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday ESE 30 - 40
Thursday Evening ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Night - Friday SW 5 - 15
Friday Night ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday --- -
Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night - Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday E 20 - 30
Thursday Evening E 5 - 15
Thursday Night - Friday WSW 5 - 15
Friday Night E 0 - 10

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning --- - --- - S 5 - 15 --- - W 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- - --- - S 5 - 15 --- - SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night --- - --- - NW 20 - 30 --- - NW 15 - 25
Friday --- - --- - W 15 - 25 --- - WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening S 5 - 15
Thursday Night NW 20 - 30
Friday W 15 - 25
Friday Night S 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning W 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night NW 15 - 25
Friday WSW 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Wednesday

The storm track should generally stay south over the weekend, again focusing on Mt. Hood and potentially the south Washington Cascades although there is wide disagreement on the timing of additional systems.  There seems to be better agreement that a weak Pacific frontal system will approach the Pacific Northwest Sunday night into Monday....bringing more widespread rain and snow to the area. 

The very cold temperatures seen across the area this week should moderate slightly over the weekend.  Beginning early next week, westerly flow should allow for additional warming with the next round of weather systems.  

Extended Weather

Mt. Hood Area
Saturday - Saturday Night

Light to occasionally moderate snow. 

Sunday - Monday

Periods of light rain and snow increasing and becoming moderate Sunday night into Monday.  Gradual warming trend Sunday through Monday. 

Olympics and Washington Cascades
Saturday - Saturday Night

Light to occasionally moderate snow south of Snoqualmie Pass, heaviest closer to the Oregon border.  Mostly cloudy north part.  

Sunday

Partly to mostly cloudy with light snow developing south part in the afternoon. 

Sunday Night - Monday

Periods of light rain and snow increasing and becoming moderate Sunday night into Monday.  Gradual warming trend Sunday through Monday. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday - Sunday Morning Snow Level ' - ' 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500' *
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level ' - ' 1000' - 2000' 2000' - 3000' *
Sunday Night Snow Level ' - ' 1500' - 2500' 3000' - 4000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Morning Snow Level
' - '
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
' - '
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
' - '
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
' - '
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Morning Snow Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Morning Snow Level
500' - 1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 2, 2014

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.