Issued: 8:01 AM PST Friday, February 16, 2018
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Weather Synopsis for Friday & Friday

The Pacific Northwest will experience very active and stormy weather on Friday and Saturday. Nestled between a high around 140 W off the coast of California and a continental-scale trough over the Canadian Interior, a strong NW jetstream is tracking storms across our region.

Friday's shortwave trough will slide across our area this morning and will move east of the area by the afternoon as the strong jetstream slides gradually northward, enabling a warming trend through the early evening hours. The shortwave has a frontal feature which will likely cross the Washington Cascades during the afternoon hours and the Mt. Hood area during the evening hours. Crest-level winds will be moderate over the Cascades and will generally increase as the front approaches and decrease behind the front, but the front does not bring much cooling until the late evening hours. Moderate snow (and rain at lower elevations) will continue over the Washington Cascades today, becoming lighter and showery by the late afternoon and evening hours. Light to moderate rain and snow will develop at Mt. Hood on Friday morning and will continue through Friday night. Precipitation above pass level should remain snow throughout the storm, but right near pass level at Snoqualmie, rain will mix with snow between 4 PM and 10 PM.

Saturday will feature a strong upper level trough and a well-developed warm front-cold front structure lacking in Friday's system. This storm system will be significantly stronger than Friday's system, spreading stormy to very stormy conditions into all areas during the early morning hours on Saturday as the associated surface low pressure slides down the British Columbia coastline, crossing Vancouver Island during the morning hours and arriving over the north Cascades during the early afternoon before pushing east. The storm will once again feature mostly snow with a brief warm-up, peaking around 11 AM that will bring a potential brief changeover to rain right at Snoqualmie pass and a brief changeover to rain on the lower flanks of Mt. Hood during the late morning and early afternoon hours before a cold frontal passage from 10 AM to 2PM rapidly lowers snow levels. Moderate to heavy snow showers and continued stormy conditions with gradually decreasing winds will be the story Saturday night.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Friday Light snow with rising snow levels.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening by morning with light snow beginning in the early morning hours.
Saturday Light snow. Strong W-SW winds.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Friday Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light to moderate snow during the late afternoon with a potential changeover to rain at pass level at Snoqualmie late in the day. Moderate W-SW winds.
Friday Night Decreasing W-SW winds and light snow showers tapering off by midnight. Increasing stormy weather and snow re-developing in most areas by 4 AM. Slight cooling after midnight.
Saturday Very stormy with heavy low-elevation rain and mountain snow, strong to very strong crest-level winds. Temperatures peaking around 11 AM then falling rapidly. Possible changeover to rain at Snoqualmie pass level around 11 AM before changing back to snow.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Friday Light snow near the crest. Moderate W-SW winds.
Friday Night A few snow showers near the crest, but widespread moderate rain and snow developing by morning with increasing moderate to strong crest-level winds developing.
Saturday Very stormy with heavy snows and strong to very strong W-SW winds.
Mt. Hood
Friday Increasing moderate rain and snow. Moderate W-SW winds becoming strong by afternoon. Rising snow levels.
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow continue, with slightly decreased winds during the evening hours then increasing winds becoming strong by early morning.
Saturday Very stormy with very strong winds, very heavy rain and snow, and temperatures peaking around 11 AM.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Morning Snow Level 3000' 2000' 2000' ' ' 2000' ' 3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3000' 3000' ' ' 3500' ' 3000'
Friday Night Snow Level 2000' 2000' 2000' ' ' 2500' ' 4000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 3500' 2000' 2500' ' ' 3500' ' 4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 2000' 2000' 2000' ' ' 2000' ' 3500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass 0.75 - 1.00 0 - 2.00
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.25 0 - 2.00
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.75 - 1.00
Crystal Mt 0 - 0.50 0.75 - 1.00
Paradise 0 - 1.00 3.00 - 4.00
White Pass 0 - 0.75 1.50 - 2.00
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 0.75 0 - 2.00
0.75 - 1.00 2.00 - 2.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Morning W 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 30 - 40 --- - WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25 W 15 - 25 WSW 30 - 40 --- - WSW 35 - 50
Friday Night WSW 15 - 25 WSW 10 - 20 WSW 20 - 30 --- - WSW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning SW 40 - 60 S 30 - 40 SW 40 - 60 --- - WSW 45 - 65
Saturday Afternoon W 40 - 60 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 45 - 65 --- - WSW 60 - 80
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night WSW 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SW 40 - 60
Saturday Afternoon W 40 - 60
Saturday Night NNE 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night WSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning S 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Night ENE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 40 - 60
Saturday Afternoon WSW 45 - 65
Saturday Night WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WSW 35 - 50
Friday Night WSW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning WSW 45 - 65
Saturday Afternoon WSW 60 - 80
Saturday Night WSW 35 - 50
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night WSW 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SW 40 - 60
Saturday Afternoon W 40 - 60
Saturday Night NNE 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night WSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning S 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Night ENE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 40 - 60
Saturday Afternoon WSW 45 - 65
Saturday Night WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WSW 35 - 50
Friday Night WSW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning WSW 45 - 65
Saturday Afternoon WSW 60 - 80
Saturday Night WSW 35 - 50

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Morning W 40 - 60 W 45 - 65 W 45 - 65 --- - W 45 - 65
Friday Afternoon W 20 - 30 W 30 - 40 W 50 - 70 --- - W 65 -
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 W 40 - 65 --- - W 45 - 65
Saturday Morning WSW 50 - 70 WSW 45 - 65 WSW 65 - 85 --- - WSW 60 - 80
Saturday Afternoon W 35 - 50 W 50 - 70 W 60 - 80 --- - W 70 - 90
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Morning W 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning WSW 50 - 70
Saturday Afternoon W 35 - 50
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning W 45 - 65
Friday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning WSW 45 - 65
Saturday Afternoon W 50 - 70
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning W 45 - 65
Friday Afternoon W 50 - 70
Friday Night W 40 - 65
Saturday Morning WSW 65 - 85
Saturday Afternoon W 60 - 80
Saturday Night WSW 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Morning W 45 - 65
Friday Afternoon W 65 -
Friday Night W 45 - 65
Saturday Morning WSW 60 - 80
Saturday Afternoon W 70 - 90
Saturday Night WSW 45 - 65

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Previous forecast from Feb 15, 2018

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.