Issued: 7:44 AM PST Thursday, February 15, 2018
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Friday

A moist NW flow will prevail on Thursday as the Pacific Northwest continues to sit between a broad ridge of high pressure (centered off the California coast around 145 W) and a large-scale trough over interior Canada. The moist westerly flow will continue to bank clouds against the west slopes Cascades, bring isolated snow showers to the west slopes today, with scattered snow showers and accumulations more likely at Mt. Hood.

A shortwave trough will slide down the British Columbia coastline Thursday night, bringing increasing rain and snow ahead of it, starting in the evening hours. Snow levels will gradually rise as the shortwave trough approaches and with the jetstream shifting north slightly into British Columbia, allowing slightly warmer air to move into the region. The shortwave will be associated with a weak surface cold frontal feature which should pass the Cascades on Friday afternoon, bring in slightly cooler air Friday night. Crest-level winds will also increase into the moderate range by Friday morning and may become strong at times in the central and south Cascades. Late Friday afternoon it is likely that Snoqualmie pass will see a changeover to rain or very wet snow right at pass level for some hours before changing back to snow, while Stevens Pass is unlikely to see rain at pass level. 

Friday night post-frontal rain and snow showers will gradually decrease, but be will be replaced with incoming moisture ahead of a stronger trough and storm system sliding southeastward along the BC coastline,  slated to arrive on Saturday.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Thursday Increasing high clouds with some scattered low clouds.
Thursday Night Clouds lowering and thickening with increasing light snow after midnight.
Friday Decreasing light snow ending during the afternoon hours with some slight clearing possible by late afternoon.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a mix of low clouds and increasing high clouds. Isolated snow showers.
Thursday Night Increasing light snow becoming moderate after midnight. Westerly winds increasing to moderate.
Friday Moderate rain and snow becoming moderate rain and snow showers by mid-afternoon with shower activity most prevalent from Snoqualmie Pass north to the Skagit Valley. Moderate to occasionally strong crest-level winds.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday Increasing high clouds.
Thursday Night Increasing light snow. Westerly winds becoming moderate.
Friday Light rain and snow becoming showery by mid-afternoon with shower activity most prevalent central part. Moderate to occasionally strong crest-level winds.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Cloudy with scattered snow showers.
Thursday Night Light snow becoming moderate after midnight.
Friday Moderate rain and snow with rising snow levels. Moderate crest-level winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning Snow Level 1500' 1000' 1000' ' ' 1500' ' 2000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 1500' 1500' 1500' ' ' 2000' ' 2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 2000' 1500' 1500' ' ' 2000' ' 2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level 3500' 2000' 1500' ' ' 2500' ' 3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 3000' 2500' 2500' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Night Snow Level
4500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.25
White Pass LT 0.25 0 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0 - 1.00
0.25 - 0.50 0 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning WSW 5 - 15 SSW 5 - 15 WSW 5 - 15 --- - W 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20 SSW 10 - 20 W 15 - 25 --- - W 20 - 30
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 W 20 - 30 --- - W 25 - 35
Friday Morning WSW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 30 - 40 --- - WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25 W 15 - 25 WSW 30 - 40 --- - WSW 30 - 40
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning W 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 30 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning W 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 30 - 45

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning W 10 - 20 W 10 - 20 WNW 15 - 25 --- - NW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 25 - 35 --- - W 25 - 35
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35 WSW 35 - 50 W 40 - 60 --- - WNW 40 - 60
Friday Morning WSW 40 - 60 WSW 45 - 65 W 45 - 65 --- - WNW 45 - 65
Friday Afternoon W 20 - 30 W 30 - 40 W 50 - 70 --- - W 40 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning W 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning WSW 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning W 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night WSW 35 - 50
Friday Morning WSW 45 - 65
Friday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 30 - 40
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WNW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 40 - 60
Friday Morning W 45 - 65
Friday Afternoon W 50 - 70
Friday Night WSW 45 - 65
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning NW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Thursday Night WNW 40 - 60
Friday Morning WNW 45 - 65
Friday Afternoon W 40 - 60
Friday Night W 40 - 60

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Previous forecast from Feb 15, 2018

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.