Issued: 2:38 PM PST Wednesday, January 10, 2018
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Friday

A weak and weakening warm frontal feature lifting northward this afternoon is bringing very light showers to the Olympics, central, and north Cascades this afternoon.

Tonight, a stronger upper trough and low pressure center will be approaching our coastal waters with a warm front moving over the Olympics and and southern Cascades in the early morning hours.

On Thursday a low tracking toward Northwest Washington or southern Vancouver Island will be accompanied by a strong warm front followed by a cold front. The system will bring very stormy weather with strong to very strong shifting alpine winds and moderate to heavy rain and snow and rising freezing levels. Expect snow in the passes tonight into tomorrow morning with Snoqualmie pass changing to rain in the early to mid afternoon and Stevens pass possibly changing to rain at this time before an eventual return to all snow at Stevens Pass in the evening hours as rain and snow showers decrease overnight.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday Decreasing light rain or snow showers this afternoon.
Wednesday Night Increasing light rain and snow.
Thursday Increasing light to moderate rain and snow becoming showery in the afternoon.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Wednesday Cloudy with some light rain and snow showers, particularly in the central and north Cascades.
Wednesday Night Increasing light rain and snow in the north; increasing light rain and snow becoming moderate in the central and south.
Thursday Very stormy. Moderate to heavy rain and snow. Heaviest Mt. Rainier.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday Partly cloudy with occasional very light rain or snow showers.
Wednesday Night Increasing light rain and snow in the north; increasing light rain and snow becoming moderate in the central and south.
Thursday Very stormy. Moderate rain and snow.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with occasional light rain and snow showers.
Wednesday Night Increasing light to moderate rain and snow showers.
Thursday Moderate to heavy rain and snow.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 2500' 2000' 2000' ' ' 2500' ' 3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 3500' 2500' 2500' ' ' 4000' ' 4500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 4500' 3000' 2000' ' ' 3500' ' 5500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 4500' 3000' 2500' ' ' 3500' ' 5000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 1.50 - 2.00
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0 - 1.50
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 2.00 - 2.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 2.50 - 3.00
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 1.50 - 2.00
Paradise 0 - 0.75 3.00 - 4.00
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 - 2.00
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 - 2.00
0 - 0.50 0 - 2.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 W 5 - 15 --- - WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night S 15 - 25 SE 5 - 15 S 20 - 30 --- - SW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning SSW 30 - 40 E 10 - 20 ESE 20 - 30 --- - SW 50 - 70
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25 S 15 - 25 SW 35 - 45 --- - SW 50 - 70
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night S 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SSW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Thursday Night WSW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SE 5 - 15
Thursday Morning E 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Thursday Night WSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night WSW 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 50 - 70
Thursday Afternoon SW 50 - 70
Thursday Night WSW 40 - 60
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night S 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SSW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Thursday Night WSW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SE 5 - 15
Thursday Morning E 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Thursday Night WSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night WSW 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 50 - 70
Thursday Afternoon SW 50 - 70
Thursday Night WSW 40 - 60

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon W 25 - 35 W 20 - 30 W 30 - 40 --- - W 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 35 - 45 --- - WSW 55 - 75
Thursday Morning SSW 30 - 40 S 30 - 40 WSW 55 - 75 --- - WSW 60 - 80
Thursday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40 WSW 40 - 60 WSW 50 - 70 --- - WSW 65 - 85
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SSW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Wednesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning S 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon WSW 40 - 60
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Wednesday Night WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning WSW 55 - 75
Thursday Afternoon WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Night WSW 45 - 65
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Wednesday Night WSW 55 - 75
Thursday Morning WSW 60 - 80
Thursday Afternoon WSW 65 - 85
Thursday Night WSW 45 - 65

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

On Friday, post-frontal westerly flow is quickly cutoff as a ridge redevelops in the near surface waters. Westerly flow will decrease along with the shower activity on Friday. Snow levels will begin rising sharply in the Hood region on Friday night.

A warm front riding over the top of the ridge will bring light rain and snow to the Olympics and Northwest Cascades along with further significant warming in all areas. 

Saturday night and Sunday will feature mostly fair and dry as the ridge hangs on over us.

Of note: a more favorable wintertime weather pattern appears to be in the prospects for the middle of next week.

 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Friday Decreasing light post-frontal showers along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood, mainly in the morning. The Olympics will have cloudy weather with chances of light rain or snow increasing late in the day into the overnight hours with light rain and snow spreading into the northwest Cascades as well overnight. Saturday Lingering light rain or snow in the morning hours in the northwest Cascades will move out as fair and mostly sunny and very warm weather spreads across the region. Sunday Mostly sunny with high freezing levels.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 3500' - 4500' 4000' - 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 5000' 6500' - 8500'
Saturday Snow Level 6000' - 8000' 7000' - 9000' 8000' - 10000' *
Saturday Night Snow Level 10000' - 12000' 10000' - 12000' 10000' - 12000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Saturday Snow Level
6000' - 8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
10000' - 12000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Freezing Level
10000' - 12000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Saturday Snow Level
7000' - 9000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
10000' - 12000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Freezing Level
10000' - 12000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6500' - 8500'
Saturday Snow Level
8000' - 10000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
10000' - 12000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Freezing Level
10000' - 12000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 10, 2018

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