Issued: 2:49 PM PST Thursday, November 30, 2017
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Thursday

Afternoon update: Friday's frontal system has slowed and will mostly impact the Olympics and North Cascades during the daylight hours. Day 2 precipitation amounts have been adjusted as well. 

A relatively weak frontal system will push through the area today in westerly flow aloft.  Generally light precipitation will accompany this frontal system along with moderate snow levels. Freezing levels at Forks and Spokane WA were 4900 and 4400 feet at 4 am this morning.  Slight cooling, increasing precipitation and lowering cloud bases are expected during the day.

Flat upper level ridging in continued westerly flow aloft should build over eastern Washington Thursday night as another Pacific frontal system slowly sags south and approaches our area.  Partial clearing for the south Washington Cascades down to Mt. Hood is likely while light precipitation should continue for the Olympics and Mt. Baker area overnight. 

There are forecast model disagreements on timing, but the front should slowly sag south across the Washington Cascades on Friday. When it does move across the area, it should pack more of a punch than Thursday's system and at slightly cooler snow levels. More moderate precipitation will begin for the north Washington Cascades Friday afternoon but hold off for the south Washington Cascades until Friday evening.  This system will largely miss Mt. Hood. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Thursday

Light rain and snow becoming light showers in the afternoon. Lowering clouds.  

Thursday Night

Light rain and snow showers becoming scattered showers after midnight. 

Friday

Light rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate by late morning. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Thursday

Light rain and snow becoming light showers in the afternoon. Lowering clouds.  

Thursday Night

Light rain and snow showers becoming scattered showers after midnight. Partial clearing south and central Washington Cascades. 

Friday Morning

Light rain and snow north Cascades. Partly to mostly cloudy central and south Cascades. 

Friday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light showers overnight. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday

Periods of light rain and snow becoming light scattered showers in the afternoon. Lowering clouds.  

Thursday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain and snow showers mainly near the Cascade crest. 

Friday Morning

Light rain and snow developing northeast Cascades. Partly cloudy central-east and southeast Cascades.

Friday Night

Light rain and snow becoming mostly cloudy with mostly cloudy with scattered light showers overnight. 

Mt. Hood Area
Thursday

Light rain and snow developing in the morning and becoming light showers in the afternoon. Lowering clouds.  

Thursday Night

Light rain and snow showers becoming mostly cloudy with scattered showers after midnight. 

Friday

Partly to mostly cloudy. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 4000' 3000' 3000' ' ' 3500' ' 4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 3500' 2500' 2500' ' ' 3000' ' 4500'
Friday Morning Snow Level * 3500' 2500' 2500' ' ' 3000' ' 4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 2500' 2500' ' ' 3000' ' 4500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 0.50 0 - 1.00
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0 - 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
0 - 0.50 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon SW 5 - 15 SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 --- - SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 5 - 15 SSW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 --- - WSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning SW 15 - 25 S 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 --- - SW 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 SW 15 - 25 --- - SW 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 5 - 15
Friday Morning SW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SSW 5 - 15
Friday Morning S 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Friday Night SSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 5 - 15
Friday Morning SW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning SW 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon SW 0 - 10
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 5 - 15
Friday Morning SW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SSW 5 - 15
Friday Morning S 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Friday Night SSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 5 - 15
Friday Morning SW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning SW 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon SW 0 - 10
Friday Night SW 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 --- - WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Night SW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 W 25 - 35 --- - WSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 --- - SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 20 - 30
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Friday Night SW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 30 - 40
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Friday Night SW 20 - 30

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

A cool upper level trough will dive south toward the Oregon Coast Saturday bringing with it cloudy and showery weather.  An upper low may develop off the south-central Washington coast and help produce locally heavier snow showers for the southwest Cascades Saturday afternoon (Paradise, White Pass, Crystal) while the northwest Cascades begin to dry out in the afternoon. 

Showers should taper off Saturday night into Sunday morning as the flow aloft turns more northerly. 

A strong upper level ridge will begin to build offshore on Monday with dry and cool conditions expected. The upper level ridge looks likely to dominate our weather pattern for the next week. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood
Saturday

Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Showers decreasing overnight. 

Sunday

Partly to mostly cloudy with a few scattered showers in the morning. Clearing in the afternoon. Mostly clear Sunday night. 

Monday

Mostly clear and fair. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 500' - 1500' 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 3000'
Sunday Freezing Level 1000' - 2000' 1500' - 2500' 2500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level 0' - 500' 0' - 500' 1500' - 2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Sunday Freezing Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
0' - 500'
Monday Freezing Level
1000' - 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Sunday Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
0' - 500'
Monday Freezing Level
1000' - 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Sunday Freezing Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
Monday Freezing Level
2000' - 3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 30, 2017

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