Issued: 2:13 PM PST Saturday, November 25, 2017
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday & Monday

A developing low pressure well offshore will track N-NE toward Vancouver island tonight. This storm system will punch on the mild side for our mountains thanks to the quasi-stationary upper level ridge parked over the Baja Peninsula that is steering warmer air and SW flow over the region.

Warm frontal precipitation has begun to spread over the region from south to north this afternoon. Precipitation should increase for all areas this evening, however look for a lull in the precipitation from Snoqualmie Pass and south during the morning hours as the warm front lifts north. Locally heavy precipitation will continue in the Mt. Baker area during this time.  

Mild air will flood into the region tonight and it won't be until the trailing frontal passage Sunday afternoon that we see a meaningful cooling trend. Moderate to strong offshore flow may allow for some initial mixed precipitation in the Passes Saturday evening. Snow levels will peak in the early morning hours before gradually lowering throughout the day on Sunday. Alpine winds look very strong, especially over Mt. Hood as the jet traverses over central Oregon on Sunday.  As an open trough moves over the region Sunday night, further cooling should ensue with showers. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Saturday

Increasing and lowering clouds through the day. Light rain and snow developing by mid-day.

Saturday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow. Warming trend. Windy.

Sunday Morning

Moderate rain and snow. Mild. Windy.

Sunday Afternoon

Light to moderate showers. Cooling trend. Windy. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Saturday

Increasing and lowering clouds through the day. Light rain and snow developing in the south Cascades early afternoon and spreading northward through late afternoon. 

Saturday Evening

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, except locally heavy Mt. Baker area. Warming trend. Locally cooler with light mixed precipitation possible Cascade Passes. 

Sunday Morning

Light to moderate rain and snow, except locally heavy Mt. Baker area. Mild.

Sunday Afternoon

Light to moderate showers. Cooling trend. Windy. 

Sunday Night

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Cooler. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Saturday

Increasing clouds. Light rain and snow developing in the south Cascades early afternoon and spreading northward through late afternoon. 

Saturday Evening

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Warming trend.  

Sunday Morning

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Milder.

Sunday Afternoon

Light to occasionally moderate showers, mainly near the Cascade crest. Cooling trend late afternoon. Windy. 

Sunday Night

Light rain and snow showers. Cooler. 

Mt. Hood Area
Saturday

Increasing and lowering clouds through the day. Light rain and snow developing mid-morning. 

Saturday Night

Very light rain and snow. Warming trend. Very windy alpine. 

Sunday Morning

Light rain and snow. Mild. Very windy alpine. 

Sunday Afternoon

Light to occasionally rain and snow moderate showers. Cooling trend. Windy. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level * 6000' 4500' 4000' ' ' 500' ' 7500'
Saturday Night Snow Level * 7500' 6500' 4500' ' ' 7000' ' 8500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level * 8000' 7000' 6500' ' ' 7000' ' 8000'
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level 6000' 5500' 6000' ' ' 5500' ' 6500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 4000' 4500' ' ' 4000' ' 4500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
6000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
6000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
6500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
3500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Monday
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0 - 1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 1.50 2.00 - 3.00
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 - 1.00
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.50 - 0.75 0 - 1.00
Paradise 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0 - 0.50
LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon SE 10 - 20 SE 5 - 15 ESE 10 - 20 --- - SE 10 - 20
Saturday Night S 25 - 35 SE 15 - 30 ESE 20 - 30 --- - S 20 - 30
Sunday Morning S 30 - 50 S 20 - 30 SE 15 - 30 --- - S 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 40 SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 35 --- - SW 30 - 40
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Saturday Night S 25 - 35
Sunday Morning S 30 - 50
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 40
Sunday Night W 15 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SE 5 - 15
Saturday Night SE 15 - 30
Sunday Morning S 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Sunday Night S 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Saturday Night ESE 20 - 30
Sunday Morning SE 15 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 35
Sunday Night WSW 20 - 35
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Saturday Night S 20 - 30
Sunday Morning S 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Sunday Night WSW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Saturday Night S 25 - 35
Sunday Morning S 30 - 50
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 40
Sunday Night W 15 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SE 5 - 15
Saturday Night SE 15 - 30
Sunday Morning S 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Sunday Night S 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Saturday Night ESE 20 - 30
Sunday Morning SE 15 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 35
Sunday Night WSW 20 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Saturday Night S 20 - 30
Sunday Morning S 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Sunday Night WSW 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon SSW 30 - 40 SSW 20 - 30 S 30 - 40 --- - SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 55 - 70 SW 30 - 40 SW 55 - 70 --- - SW 60 - 80
Sunday Morning SW 55 - 70 SW 35 - 45 SW 55 - 70 --- - SW 70 - 90
Sunday Afternoon SW 40 - 50 SW 40 - 50 SW 45 - 60 --- - SW 50 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SSW 30 - 40
Saturday Night SW 55 - 70
Sunday Morning SW 55 - 70
Sunday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Sunday Night SW 30 - 40
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 30 - 40
Sunday Morning SW 35 - 45
Sunday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Sunday Night SW 50 - 60
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon S 30 - 40
Saturday Night SW 55 - 70
Sunday Morning SW 55 - 70
Sunday Afternoon SW 45 - 60
Sunday Night SW 40 - 55
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 60 - 80
Sunday Morning SW 70 - 90
Sunday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Sunday Night SW 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Monday

On Monday, leftover showers and onshore flow will keep the west slopes of the Cascades cloudy despite flat ridging building over the West Coast.  Clouds and showers will diminish further east of the crest. A fast moving frontal system will approach Monday night and sweep through the area by mid-day Tuesday.  There should be a slight warming trend with only a modest bump in snow levels early Tuesday morning before snow levels drop back down Tuesday afternoon. We might actually be in for a dry day on Wednesday as strong upper level ridging builds aloft. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Monday

Cloudy with scattered light showers Olympics, west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood.  Mostly cloudy east slopes of the Cascades. Rain and snow developing overnight with a slight warming trend late Monday night. 

Tuesday

Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers mid-day. Cooling trend beginning mid-day. Showers decreasing Tuesday night. 

Wednesday

Partly to mostly cloudy. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Monday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500' 4000' - 5000' *
Tuesday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Wednesday Freezing Level
3500' - 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Wednesday Freezing Level
4000' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Monday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Wednesday Freezing Level
5000' - 6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 25, 2017

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