Issued: 1:59 PM PDT Wednesday, March 23, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Sunday

PM changes: Some adjustments to Day 2 precipitation forecasts. Saturday forecast trended drier.

Isolated showers Wednesday morning should transition to light rain and snow late this afternoon and evening as a Pacific frontal band approaches. The front should pass through the Cascades around or just after midnight, and usher in a period of cool W-NW flow through the short term. 

Orographic snow showers will affect mainly the western slopes of the Cascades and Olympics through Thursday night. Snow levels will be seasonally cool, but will still be subject to daytime warming effects Thursday afternoon, with a slight bump in snow levels in-between showers. Moderate westerly flow will lead to downsloping and quickly decrease precipitation amounts and cloud cover east of the Cascade crest, and W-NW crest level winds will be moderate in places like Mission Ridge throughout Thursday. 

The current WRF 4km run has a convergence zone aimed north of Stevens Pass Thursday evening with the potential to locally enhance snowfall. A shortwave should help enhance shower activity Thursday night along the west slopes and shift the flow more northwesterly. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday Afternoon

Cloudy with light rain and snow. 

Wednesday Night

Moderate rain and snow, becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers late evening. Cooling trend. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday Afternoon

Cloudy with light rain and snow.  

Wednesday Night

Moderate rain and snow, heaviest Mt. Baker in the evening, becoming moderate rain and snow showers after midnight. Cooling trend. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday Afternoon

Cloudy with light rain and snow developing. 

Wednesday Night

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, becoming mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers after midnight. Cooling trend. 

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday Afternoon

Cloudy with light rain and snow developing. 

Wednesday Night

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, becoming moderate rain and snow showers after midnight. Cooling trend. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level 5500' 4500' 4500' ' ' 5000' ' 6000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level 2500' 2500' 2500' ' ' 2500' ' 3000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3500' 3500' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Sunday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass 0 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 - 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 0 - 0.75
0.75 - 1.00 0 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25 - 40 SSW 20 - 35 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Evening WSW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 30 - 40 --- - SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 15 - 30 W 15 - 25 W 25 - 35 --- - W 30 - 40
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25 - 40
Wednesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 15 - 30
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 15 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 20 - 35
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Evening --- -
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Evening SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25 - 40
Wednesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 15 - 30
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 15 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 20 - 35
Wednesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Evening SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Evening --- -
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Evening SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning W 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 25 - 35

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 40 SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 40 --- - WSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35 SW 40 - 50 SW 40 - 50 --- - WSW 45 - 60
Thursday W 20 - 30 W 35 - 45 W 30 - 40 --- - NW 40 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday W 20 - 30
Thursday Night WNW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 40 - 50
Thursday W 35 - 45
Thursday Night NW 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night SW 40 - 50
Thursday W 30 - 40
Thursday Night WNW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night WSW 45 - 60
Thursday NW 40 - 50
Thursday Night NW 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

Showers should quickly wind down Friday, although only a partial clearing trend is expected along the west slopes as warmer air aloft helps to cap low level moisture. 

On Saturday a weak incoming system should mainly wash out along the coast late Friday night through Saturday morning, with sunbreaks and a warming trend in the afternoon.  

Precipitation should quickly increase Saturday night as an upper trough swings through, followed by a cold upper low for Sunday. Cloudy skies with spring showers should be seen on Sunday with an unstable and cool air mass overhead.  

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Friday

Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers west slopes of the Cascades, Olympics, and Mt. Hood Friday morning, becoming mostly to partly cloudy in the afternoon. Partly to mostly sunny east slopes of the Cascades. 

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, becoming mostly cloudy late Friday night. 

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with partial clearing and sunbreaks in the afternoon. Warming trend. 

Saturday Night

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. 

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers. Cooler. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday - Saturday Morning Snow Level 2500' - 4000' 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 4000' - 5000' 4500' - 5500' 5500' - 6500'
Saturday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 4500' 4000' - 5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday - Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500' - 4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday - Saturday Morning Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday - Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Sunday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 23, 2016

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.