Issued: 3:38 PM PST Tuesday, March 1, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday & Monday

Afternoon Update: No changes

Warm frontal precipitation lifted over the area from the south late Monday night beginning a slow warming trend that continued through Tuesday afternoon.

Cool easterly flow through the Passes will keep snow levels locally lower during the daylight hours. Precipitation that eases off in the south and central Cascades late morning/mid-day should quickly fill-in again as the cold front approaches Tuesday afternoon. Precipitation rates will locally stay heavy in the Mt. Baker area all day although the warm-up should only top out between 5000-5500 ft. The east slopes won't be shadowed until Tuesday night and should also see decent precipitation amounts with slowly rising snow levels. 

The cold front associated with the system will pass through the Cascades late afternoon with a switch to westerly winds in the Passes Tuesday evening. A modest warm-up with the switch to westerly may push rain above pass level at Stevens early Tuesday evening. A slow cooling trend will ensue Tuesday night. A sharp trough moving through area Tuesday night along with strong surface pressure rises should make for blustery post-frontal showers.

Showers will barely have time to wind down Wednesday morning before the next Pacific frontal system reaches the Pacific Northwest. Warm frontal moisture should spread inland late Wednesday afternoon and evening with the cold front passing through Wednesday night. The quick moving nature of this system should lead to lower precipitation amounts.   

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Tuesday

Stormy with moderate rain and snow. Cooling trend beginning Tuesday afternoon.  

Tuesday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow showers. Gusty winds decreasing overnight. 

Wednesday

Light rain and snow showers ending in the morning. Increasing high clouds with light rain and snow developing in the afternoon. Warming trend in the afternoon. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Tuesday

Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow south and central Cascades increasing to moderate in the afternoon. Moderate to heavy rain and snow Mt. Baker area. Warming trend. Strong alpine winds. 

Tuesday Night

Moderate rain and snow showers. Slow cooling trend. Gusty winds. 

Wednesday

Light rain and snow showers decreasing in the morning.  Increasing high clouds with a chance of light rain and snow in the afternoon. Warming trend in the afternoon. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Tuesday

Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow southeast and central-east Cascades in the morning become light to moderate in the afternoon. Potentially mixing with freezing rain interior valleys and near the Passes early afternoon. Light to moderate snow northeast Cascades. Slow warming trend.  

Tuesday Night

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers, heaviest near the Cascade crest. Slow cooling trend overnight. Gusty winds. 

Wednesday

Light rain and snow showers decreasing in the morning.  Increasing high clouds with a chance of light rain and snow late in the afternoon. Slow warming trend in the afternoon. 

Mt. Hood Area
Tuesday

Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow becoming moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Mild. Strong alpine winds. 

Tuesday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow showers. Slow cooling trend. Gusty winds. 

Wednesday

Light rain and snow showers decreasing in the morning.  Increasing high clouds with a chance of light rain and snow in the afternoon. Warming trend in the afternoon. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level * 4500' 5500' 4500' ' ' 5000' ' 5000'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level 4000' 3500' 3000' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level * 5500' 4500' 4500' ' ' 4500' ' 6500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Monday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 1.00 0 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 3.00 - 4.00 0 - 1.50
Washington Pass 0 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 1.50 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge 0 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 1.50 - 2.00 0 - 0.50
Paradise 2.00 - 3.00 0 - 0.75
White Pass 0 - 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 - 1.00 0 - 0.50
0 - 1.00 0 - 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Afternoon SW 35 - 45 SSW 25 - 35 SSW 25 - 35 --- - SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night SW 25 - 35 SW 15 - 25 SW 35 - 50 --- - SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30 --- - WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon S 10 - 20 SE 5 - 15 ESE 10 - 20 --- - S 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon SE 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night SW 35 - 50
Wednesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Wednesday Night S 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon SE 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night SW 35 - 50
Wednesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Wednesday Night S 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Afternoon SW 40 - 50 SW 25 - 35 SW 50 - 60 --- - SW 60 - 80
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning WSW 25 - 35 WSW 35 - 45 W 35 - 45 --- - W 50 - 70
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 SW 50 - 60 --- - SW 40 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 40 - 60
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning WSW 35 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 35 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning W 35 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 40 - 50
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Afternoon SW 60 - 80
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning W 50 - 70
Wednesday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 60

Extended Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Monday

A shortwave trough passing through Thursday will keep unsettled weather with showers in the forecast. The active pattern shows no sign of slowing down with another system approaching Friday and passing through the Cascades Friday night. Showers should decrease on Saturday. Middling snow levels should continue through the extended period without any drastic warm-ups or cool downs.  

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood area
Thursday - Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers decreasing overnight.  

Friday

Increasing clouds with light to moderate rain and snow developing. 

Friday Night

Moderate rain and snow, heaviest west slopes. 

Saturday

Cloudy with light rain and snow showers decreasing Saturday afternoon. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday - Saturday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday - Saturday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday - Saturday Snow Level
5500' - 7000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 1, 2016

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