Issued: 2:09 PM PST Sunday, February 7, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Sunday & Monday

PM update: Skies cleared up south of I-90 with temperatures pushing well into the 40s at many NWAC stations. Temperatures have been somewhat more subdued with the cloud cover north of I-90. 

A strong ridge of high pressure centered over the coast will deflect the bulk of warm frontal moisture well north into central British Columbia today. Some high and mid clouds will pass through the ridge in NW flow aloft over the area, with decreasing cloud cover from north to south over the area, and with the most sunshine likely down toward Mt. Hood. Some very light precipitation is possible for the Olympics and north Cascades as well. Alpine winds should stay moderate today out of the NW.

The upper level ridge will pass inland Sunday night and Monday and bring about increasing freezing levels to heights not seen this winter. 13000 ft freezing levels should take hold Monday through early Tuesday morning before the ridge axis shifts east of the Cascades.  

Exceptions to the warmth should be seen in the Passes, the lower slopes of Mt. Hood and eastern slopes of the Cascades where cool easterly flow and temperature inversions should locally lead to multiple freezing levels. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics and north Cascades
Sunday

Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow.  Warming trend. Moderate alpine winds. 

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear. Warming trend. 

Central and south Washington Cascades near and west of the crest
Sunday

Partly to mostly cloudy with periods of high clouds. Hight clouds decreasing south Washington Cascades Sunday afternoon. Warming trend. Moderate alpine winds. 

Sunday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear. Warming trend. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Sunday

Partly sunny with periods of high clouds, except mostly cloudy northeast Cascades. Slow warming trend. Moderate alpine winds. 

Sunday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear. Slow warming trend mid and upper elevations of the east slopes. 

Mt. Hood Area
Sunday

Partly cloudy with high clouds becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. Warming trend. Moderate alpine winds. 

Sunday Night

Mostly clear. Warming trend. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level * 9500' 8500' 8000' ' ' 10000' ' 11000'
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level * 12000' 11000' 11000' ' ' 11500' ' 12500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
9500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
12000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night Freezing Level
12500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night Freezing Level
12500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night Freezing Level
12500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
10000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night Freezing Level
12500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Morning Freezing Level
12500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night Freezing Level
13000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Monday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10
LT 0.10 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday SW 10 - 20 SW 5 - 15 SW 0 - 10 --- - VAR 0 - 10
Sunday Night - Monday Morning SW 5 - 15 SW 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 --- - SE 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 0 VAR 0 - 10 ESE 5 - 15 --- - SE 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday SW 10 - 20
Sunday Night - Monday Morning SW 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 0
Monday Night S 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday SW 5 - 15
Sunday Night - Monday Morning SW 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Monday Night SE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday SW 0 - 10
Sunday Night - Monday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon ESE 5 - 15
Monday Night SE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Sunday --- -
Sunday Night - Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday VAR 0 - 10
Sunday Night - Monday Morning SE 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Monday Night SE 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Sunday SW 10 - 20
Sunday Night - Monday Morning SW 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 0
Monday Night S 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday SW 5 - 15
Sunday Night - Monday Morning SW 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Monday Night SE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday SW 0 - 10
Sunday Night - Monday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon ESE 5 - 15
Monday Night SE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday --- -
Sunday Night - Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday VAR 0 - 10
Sunday Night - Monday Morning SE 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Monday Night SE 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon W 25 - 35 W 25 - 35 WNW 15 - 25 --- - NW 5 - 15
Sunday Night - Monday Morning W 15 - 25 WNW 15 - 30 W 10 - 20 --- - W 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20 WNW 10 - 20 WNW 5 - 15 --- - SSE 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Sunday Night - Monday Morning W 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Sunday Night - Monday Morning WNW 15 - 30
Monday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon WNW 15 - 25
Sunday Night - Monday Morning W 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Monday Night S 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night - Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon NW 5 - 15
Sunday Night - Monday Morning W 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon SSE 0 - 10
Monday Night SSE 10 - 20

Extended Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Monday

Tuesday should be another mild and clear day, but increasing E-SE winds for exposed locations along with dropping freezing levels should not make it feel as warm as Monday. 

A very weak front should sputter along the coast Wednesday morning. Forecast models differ, but the GFS model indicates a new wave will develop along the old frontal boundary Wednesday night and Thursday and push light rain and snow inland. Snow levels will lower, but will still be fairly mild for mid-February. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood
Tuesday - Tuesday Night

Mild and clear. Increasing winds with slightly lowering freezing levels Tuesday afternoon and night. Temperature inversions Passes and lower east slopes and Mt. Hood. 

Wednesday

Becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of very light rain or snow Olympics and north Cascades. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday

Cloudy with light rain and snow developing Wednesday night. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Tuesday Freezing Level 11000' - 13000' 11000' - 13000' 11000' - 13000' *
Tuesday Night Freezing Level 8000' - 10000' 8000' - 10000' 8000' - 10000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Freezing Level
11000' - 13000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Freezing Level
8000' - 10000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday - Thursday Snow Level
5500' - 7500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Freezing Level
11000' - 13000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Freezing Level
8000' - 10000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday - Thursday Snow Level
6000' - 8000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Freezing Level
11000' - 13000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Freezing Level
8000' - 10000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday - Thursday Snow Level
6000' - 8000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 7, 2016

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.