Issued: 3:34 PM PST Saturday, January 16, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday & Thursday

Afternoon updates: Adjustments to Day 1 and Day 2 precipitation forecasts and other minor adjustments to Saturday forecast. 

330 PM update: Corrected Northwest Cascades snow level this evening through Sunday morning.  

An upper level low parked in the NE Pacific will help direct a series of frontal systems through the PNW every 24-48 hours through the middle of next week.   

While the occluded front has passed through, snow levels remain cool with easterly flow through the Passes until a switch to westerly winds in the late afternoon/early evening for Snoqualmie and Stevens Pass allow a bump up to free-air snow levels of 4500 and 4000 feet respectively. Conversely, areas west of the crest that have seen snow levels rise today should begin to slowly lower later this afternoon or early evening. An upper level trough rotating up from the SW will bring a round of more moderate showers this afternoon. 

Showers should taper down Saturday night leading to a brief lull in the action through early Sunday morning.  The next frontal system should deliver similar amounts of moderate precipitation for the mountains, with the precipitation increasing mid-late morning over the Cascades. Another switch to westerly flow through the Passes late afternoon/early evening should lead to a slight rise in snow levels once again. Snow levels further west of the crest, affecting areas like Crystal and Paradise, should see a bump to 4000-4500 feet Sunday afternoon. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Saturday Night

Light rain and snow showers. 

Sunday

Light rain and snow developing and becoming light to moderate by mid-morning. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening

Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers.  Slight warming trend Cascade Passes late afternoon, slight cooling trend west of the crest. 

Saturday Night

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Sunday

Light rain and snow developing by mid-morning and becoming light to moderate by late morning. Gradual warming trend away from the Cascade Passes. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening

Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers. Slight Warming trend late Saturday afternoon. 

Saturday Night

Light rain and snow showers. 

Sunday

Light rain and snow developing by mid-morning and becoming light to moderate by late morning. 

Mt. Hood Area
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening

Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers. Slight cooling trend.

Saturday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow showers. 

Sunday

Light rain and snow developing by mid-morning and becoming moderate by late-morning. Warming trend. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level * 6000' 4000' 1500' ' ' 3000' ' 6000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 4500' 4500' 2500' ' ' 4500' ' 4500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level 4500' 4000' 3500' ' ' 4000' ' 4000'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level * 5500' 4000' 3000' ' ' 3000' ' 4500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level * 4500' 3500' 3000' ' ' 3000' ' 5500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.50 - 2.00 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass 0 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 1.50 0 - 0.75
Mission Ridge 0 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0.75 - 1.00 0.75 - 1.00
Paradise 0 - 1.50 0 - 1.50
White Pass 0.75 - 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
1.00 - 1.50 0 - 1.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25 SW 15 - 30 S 15 - 30 --- - SW 25 - 40
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning S 20 - 30 SSE 10 - 25 SE 10 - 20 --- - S 15 - 25
Sunday Mid-day SW 20 - 30 S 15 - 25 SE 20 - 30 --- - SW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning S 20 - 30
Sunday Mid-day SW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 15 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SSE 10 - 25
Sunday Mid-day S 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening S 15 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SE 10 - 20
Sunday Mid-day SE 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening --- -
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Mid-day --- -
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 25 - 40
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning S 15 - 25
Sunday Mid-day SW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning S 20 - 30
Sunday Mid-day SW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 15 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SSE 10 - 25
Sunday Mid-day S 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening S 15 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SE 10 - 20
Sunday Mid-day SE 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening --- -
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Mid-day --- -
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 25 - 40
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning S 15 - 25
Sunday Mid-day SW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night SW 35 - 45 W 25 - 40 W 25 - 40 --- - WSW 35 - 45
Sunday Morning SSW 35 - 45 S 35 - 45 SW 45 - 55 --- - SW 40 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night SW 35 - 45
Sunday Morning SSW 35 - 45
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night W 25 - 40
Sunday Morning S 35 - 45
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night W 25 - 40
Sunday Morning SW 45 - 55
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night WSW 35 - 45
Sunday Morning SW 40 - 50
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night SW 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

Monday should be a break in-between systems with some left over showers in the morning.  Light rain and snow should begin in the Olympics by late Monday afternoon and spread inland Monday night.  This system looks weaker compared to the weekend weather systems. 

A stronger low pressure system will impact the area on Tuesday as a deepening low pressure center tracks toward the Washington/Oregon border Tuesday afternoon. Post frontal showers will keep the weather wet on Wednesday. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood area
Monday Morning

Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers. 

Monday Afternoon - Monday Night

Light rain and snow turning to showers late Monday night. 

Tuesday - Tuesday Night

Moderate rain and snow, occasionally heavy west slopes and Mt. Hood developing Tuesday.

Wednesday

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday - Monday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 2500' - 3500' 4000' - 5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday - Monday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Tuesday - Wednesday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday - Monday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Tuesday - Wednesday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday - Monday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Tuesday - Wednesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 16, 2016

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