Issued: 2:12 PM PST Wednesday, December 25, 2013
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Sunday

A weak upper level system passed through earlier today with passing high clouds. Christmas afternoon shows a mix of mostly cloudy conditions over the north Cascades and Olympics transitioning to mostly sunny conditions toward Mt. Hood.  An upper ridge offshore will deflect a system into central British Columbia over the short term except for some light warm frontal moisture that may impact the north Cascades on Thursday morning. 

Freezing levels will be on the mild side, especially down south. Easterly flow through the passes, strongest today, should help keep freezing levels locally lower. Temperatures warmed nicely today, most NWAC stations outside the passes reached into the upper 30s to 40s.  A Pacific frontal system approaching from the west Thursday night should push the upper ridge inland and lead to a general increase in clouds and upper mountain winds.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics, Washington Cascades
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy north Cascades and Olympics, partly to mostly clear central and south Cascades.   Valley fog possible overnight. 

Thursday Morning

Light rain and snow north Cascades, otherwise mostly cloudy. 

Mt. Hood Area

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level * 9000' ' ' ' ' 7500' ' 10000'
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level * 8500' ' ' ' ' 8500' ' 11000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level
9000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night Freezing Level
10000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Thursday Evening Freezing Level
11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Freezing Level
9000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Sunday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10
LT 0.10 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening W 5 - 15 --- - W 5 - 15 --- - W 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening W 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening W 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening W 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening W 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening W 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening W 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- - --- - WNW 20 - 35 --- - WNW 10 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening WNW 20 - 35
Thursday Night WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Evening WNW 10 - 25
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

A frontal system should sweep through the area on Friday with a burst of moderate precipitation for the west slopes of the Washington Cascades and quickly lowering snow levels late in the day. Forecast models disagree on the strength of this system, mainly if it will deliver a moderate snowfall to the north Cascades. Storm totals from this system should taper off from the central Cascades and further south.

The upper level ridge should rebuild offshore over the weekend.   Freezing levels will likely be slow to rebound on Saturday, making for a mostly dry and cool day.  Sunday should be warmer and mostly dry, but again some light warm frontal precipitation may slip under the ridge and affect the north Cascades. 

Extended Weather

Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Friday Morning

Light to moderate rain and snow north Cascades spreading south Friday morning.  Clouds lowering. 

Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light to moderate showers.  Precipitation heaviest west slopes of the WA Cascades. Cooling trend. 

Friday Night - Saturday Morning

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain or snow showers.  Cooler. 

Saturday Afternoon - Sunday

Partly to mostly clear.  Gradual warming trend Saturday night through Sunday.  Light rain or snow possible north Cascades Sunday afternoon. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Morning Snow Level ' - ' 4500' - 5500' 5000' - 6000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level ' - ' 3500' - 4500' 4500' - 5500'
Friday Night Snow Level ' - ' 2500' - 3500' 4000' - 5000'
Saturday - Saturday Night Freezing Level ' - ' 1500' - 3000' 4000' - 5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
' - '
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
' - '
Friday Night Snow Level
' - '
Saturday - Saturday Night Freezing Level
' - '
Sunday Freezing Level
' - '
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Saturday - Saturday Night Freezing Level
1500' - 3000'
Sunday Freezing Level
6000' - 8000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Saturday - Saturday Night Freezing Level
4000' - 5000'
Sunday Freezing Level
8000' - 10000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

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Previous forecast from Dec 25, 2013

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.