Issued: 1:41 PM PST Wednesday, December 23, 2015
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Wednesday

The snow tap will remain open over the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood today. A stacked area of low pressure off the northern coast of Vancouver Island combined with cool W-NW flow aloft will continue the steady stream of showers over the PNW. Snow levels will remain cold and orographic westerly flow will help enhance shower activity mainly over the central and southern Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood with lighter amounts over the north Cascades and east slopes. The air mass over the PNW will be unstable and a few embedded thunderstorms are possible today as well.

The low pressure system will weaken overnight and the upper level trough will broaden and open, leading to decreasing shower intensity overnight, except at Mt. Hood where moderate showers will linger through Thursday AM. 

Scattered showers on Thursday should produce light additional accumulations as an upper ridge begins to build offshore with the highest accumulations over the west slopes of the Cascades. Showers will further decrease Thursday night. 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday - Wednesday Evening

Light to moderate snow showers, occasionally heavy over the south Washington Cascades including Mt.Rainier. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday

Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday - Wednesday Evening

Light snow showers, except moderate near the Cascade crest in the south and central east Cascades. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday

Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers. 

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday - Thursday Morning

Moderate snow showers. 

Thursday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 2000' 1500' 1000' ' ' 1500' ' 2000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level * 2000' 1000' 1000' ' ' 1000' ' 1500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
0'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Wednesday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 1.00 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 - 1.00 0 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.25
Paradise 1.50 - 2.50 0.50 - 1.00
White Pass 1.50 - 2.00 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 2.00 0 - 0.50
0 - 2.50 0.50 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25 VAR 0 - 10 WSW 15 - 25 --- - W 25 - 35
Wednesday Night W 10 - 20 S 0 - 10 SW 10 - 20 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night W 10 - 20
Thursday - Thursday Night WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Wednesday Night S 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night SW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday - Thursday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Wednesday Night WSW 15 - 25
Thursday - Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night W 10 - 20
Thursday - Thursday Night WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Wednesday Night S 0 - 10
Thursday - Thursday Night SW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday - Thursday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Wednesday Night WSW 15 - 25
Thursday - Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 W 30 - 40 --- - W 35 - 45
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20 SW 15 - 25 WSW 30 - 40 --- - W 25 - 35
Thursday SW 5 - 15 W 0 - 10 W 15 - 30 --- - WNW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday SW 5 - 15
Thursday Night WNW 5 - 15
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Thursday W 0 - 10
Thursday Night WNW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Wednesday Night WSW 30 - 40
Thursday W 15 - 30
Thursday Night NW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 35 - 45
Wednesday Night W 25 - 35
Thursday WNW 20 - 30
Thursday Night NW 15 - 25

Extended Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Wednesday

The ridge axis should be located offshore around 135 W on Christmas Day with only isolated and light showers over the mountains. Snow levels will remain low.  A dry period for later Friday through Sunday morning looks likely as the upper level ridge passes inland. High clouds from an approaching frontal system may cover the northern half of the Washington Cascades by Saturday afternoon. Models disagree whether or not a splitting frontal system will push inland on Sunday... but in any scenario this system looks relatively weak compared to our recent snowy pattern.  Looking ahead, the weather pattern appears much less active through the end of 2015. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood area
Friday

Partly cloudy with isolated mountain snow showers. Continued low snow/freezing levels. 

Friday Night - Saturday Morning

Mostly clear

Saturday Afternoon - Sunday Morning

Mostly cloudy north part, mostly clear south part. 

Sunday Afternoon

Light rain and snow developing Olympics. Cloudy elsewhere. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday - Saturday Morning Freezing Level 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500'
Saturday Afternoon - Sunday Morning Freezing Level 1500' - 2500' 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 4000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday - Saturday Morning Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
Saturday Afternoon - Sunday Morning Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday - Saturday Morning Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
Saturday Afternoon - Sunday Morning Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday - Saturday Morning Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Saturday Afternoon - Sunday Morning Freezing Level
2000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 23, 2015

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