Issued: 7:40 AM PST Wednesday, February 18, 2015
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Tuesday

The upper level ridge which has provided us with the recent spring like weather has finally begun to flatten and shift east into central Washington this morning. A very weak front is currently over the Washington coast this morning. This front should do little today other than increase clouds mainly for the Olympics and north and central Washington Cascades. The associated upper level trough off the central B.C. coast will swing through tonight... helping to increase low level moisture all along the west slopes and Mt. Hood along with some light showers. 

A series of upper level shortwaves should pass through the area in NW flow aloft beginning Thursday bringing generally light showers at cooler snow levels to the area.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics and north and central Washington Cascades including Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes
Wednesday Morning

Partly to mostly cloudy with high clouds. 

Wednesday Afternoon

Becoming mostly cloudy with increasing low clouds. Chance of very light rain or snow showers. 

South Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including White Pass, and Mt. Hood area
Wednesday Morning

Mostly sunny with a few high clouds. 

Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening

Partly cloudy. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday

Partly to mostly cloudy northeast Cascades, mostly sunny with a few high clouds southeast Cascades. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level * 8000' 9500' 9000' ' ' 10000' ' 10500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 5500' 5500' 5500' ' ' 6000' ' 8000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 4500' 4500' 4000' ' ' 4500' ' 6000'
Thursday Snow Level 4500' 4500' 4500' ' ' 4500' ' 5000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level
9500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level
9000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level
10000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning Freezing Level
10500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
8000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Tuesday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10
LT 0.10 LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning SW 5 - 15 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 10 - 20 --- - WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 SW 10 - 20 --- - W 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Morning SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night W 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening --- -
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening W 10 - 20
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night NW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night W 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening --- -
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening W 10 - 20
Wednesday Night - Thursday Night NW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon W 20 - 30 W 30 - 40 WNW 30 - 40 --- - WNW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning WNW 10 - 20 NW 15 - 25 NW 25 - 35 --- - NW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning WNW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night NW 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning NW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night NW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning NW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night NW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning NW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night NW 15 - 30

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

Another upper level shortwave should swing through on Friday... keeping a mix of clouds and the chance for showers in the forecast.  A blocking pattern should begin to setup over the weekend... with a ridge building into central British Columbia and an upper level trough digging over California/Nevada. This should eventually lead to a drying trend for the PNW in N-NE flow aloft... but forecast models indicate that leftover showers may linger into Saturday.  A slow warming trend is forecast to begin on Sunday. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood area
Friday

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Cooler. 

Friday Night - Saturday

Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated light rain and snow showers. 

Saturday Night - Sunday

Mostly clear. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500'
Friday Night - Saturday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Friday Night - Saturday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Freezing Level
4500' - 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Friday Night - Saturday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Freezing Level
4500' - 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Friday Night - Saturday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Sunday Freezing Level
4000' - 5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 17, 2015

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.