Issued: 7:28 AM PST Wednesday, December 18, 2013
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Monday

A shortwave trough in moderate westerly flow aloft will pass through the Pacific Northwest today.   Snowfall totals look light with this system as it splits with the southern energy forming a cut-off low over California and the northern energy passing through to the upper Plains. 

As the system dives south today, northerly flow aloft will develop by Wednesday evening, and surface high pressure will slide south into British Columbia, helping to deliver much colder air into Washington and Oregon.   There could be a brief period of convergence and enhanced snow showers from Snoqualmie Pass and south toward Mt. Rainier this evening before drying and clearing.  There may be some additional weak upslope clouds and light snow showers along the northern Olympics this evening with the northerly surface gradients. 

After a sunny and cold start to Thursday, increasing high clouds will stream in from the northwest in the afternoon.   Cloud decks should slowly lower Thursday night from north to south ahead of incoming frontal system.  Light snow may develop overnight for the Olympics and North Cascades. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday - Wednesday Evening

Light rain and snow showers, increasing slightly in the afternoon.  Lowering snow levels through the day.  Partial clearing in the evening except for potential showers near convergence zone Snoqualmie Pass and south and along north slopes of the Olympics. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Mostly clear. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday - Wednesday Evening

Light rain and snow showers.  Lowering snow levels through the day.  Clearing in the evening. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning

Mostly clear. 

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday - Wednesday Evening

Light rain and snow showers beginning in the afternoon.  Lowering snow levels through the day.

Wednesday Night - Thursday Afternoon

Mostly clear. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 2500' ' ' ' ' 3500' ' 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level 1500' ' ' ' ' 1500' ' 2000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level 500' ' ' ' ' 500' ' 1000'
Thursday Freezing Level 2000' ' ' ' ' 1500' ' 2500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
500'
Thursday Freezing Level
2000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
Thursday Freezing Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
Thursday Freezing Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
Thursday Freezing Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
Thursday Freezing Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
500'
Thursday Freezing Level
1500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
'
Thursday Freezing Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
1000'
Thursday Freezing Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Monday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.25 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10
LT 0.25 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25 --- - W 10 - 20 --- - NW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning NE 10 - 20 --- - N 5 - 15 --- - N 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning NE 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Morning W 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning N 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Morning NW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning N 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WNW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning NE 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning W 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning N 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning NW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning N 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WNW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Morning --- - --- - WNW 30 - 40 --- - WNW 25 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning --- - --- - N 10 - 20 --- - NE 15 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WNW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning N 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night NW 30 - 45
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning --- -
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Morning WNW 25 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon - Thursday Morning NE 15 - 30
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night NW 25 - 40

Extended Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Monday

A significant weather system will impact the area on Friday.  Snow levels should start out very low Friday morning and gradually rise during the day.  Warm frontal precipitation riding up and over strong upper level ridging offshore should increase in intensity during the afternoon and evening hours.  Most weather models have moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow by Friday afternoon for the west slopes of the Washington Cascades.   

Lack of easterly flow through the passes and a rapid warming trend should make for a messy transition from snow to rain at lower and mid-elevations Friday through Friday night.   Northwest winds are forecast to be quite strong in the alpine during this period. 

Periods of light rain and snow from weaker systems will brush the area Saturday and Sunday as the strong high pressure offshore keeps us mild and drippy.   

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood area
Friday Morning

Light snow becoming moderate North Cascades and light snow spreading south. 

Friday Afternoon - Friday Night

Rain and snow, heavy at times west slopes of the Cascades.  Warming trend continues overnight. Strong NW alpine winds. 

Saturday Morning - Saturday Afternoon

Light to moderate rain and snow showers tapering down in the afternoon.  

Saturday Evening - Sunday

Mostly cloudy with periods of light rain and snow.  Generally mild. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Morning Snow Level ' - ' 2000' - 3000' 3500' - 4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level ' - ' 3500' - 5000' 6500' - 7500'
Friday Night Snow Level ' - ' 5000' - 6500' 6500' - 7500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
' - '
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
' - '
Friday Night Snow Level
' - '
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
' - '
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500' - 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
5000' - 6500'
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
4500' - 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
Friday Night Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
Saturday - Sunday Snow Level
5500' - 7500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 18, 2013

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