Issued: 2:35 PM PST Sunday, February 16, 2025
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Post-frontal WSW flow aloft gradually weakens as it continues to feed pulses of moisture into our region as the offshore upper low ambles towards the coastline. These pulses are not captured well by the models but will increasingly target primarily the central and southern Cascades from the overnight hours onwards. The first significant pulse moves through Sunday afternoon and evening and then showers associated with the primary upper low will fill in without a break overnight into Monday. This activity peaks late Sunday night and Monday morning before gradually decreasing as upper-level as the low morphs into a trough and then flow switches NNW. Snow levels remain in the 3000-4000 ft range for most areas but rise gradually to this elevation as E flow wanes early Monday for areas near and east of the Cascade Crest.

Shower activity continues for the west slopes of the Cascades Monday night with modest convergence likely lifting north through the central Cascades in the early morning horus on Tuesday as weak ridging builds. Tuesday features a relative break in the action with slightly cooler temperatures and strengthening E flow in the afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Sunday Night Decreasing light rain and snow showers.
Monday Light rain and snow showers tapering or ending in the afternoon.
Sunday Night Decreasing light rain and snow showers.
Monday Light rain and snow showers.
Sunday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers.
Monday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers.
Sunday Night Moderate to locally heavy rain and snow showers at Paradise and White Pass. Crystal largely blocked by Mt Rainier.
Monday Decreasing moderate rain and snow showers (light at Crystal).
Sunday Night Light rain and snow showers. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass may shift W temporarily at times.
Monday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Light ridgeline winds. Light E winds shift W early in the day.
Sunday Night Increasing light to moderate rain and snow showers. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass may shift W temporarily at times.
Monday Moderate rain and snow showers. Light ridgeline winds. Light E winds shift W early in the day.
Sunday Night Decreasing light snow showers.
Monday Very light snow showers.
Sunday Night Increasing mostly light snow showers.
Monday Decreasing light rain and snow showers.
Sunday Night Increasing mostly light rain and snow showers.
Monday Decreasing light rain and snow showers.
Sunday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Decreasing moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.75 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.75 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.75
Monday 0.50
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Sunday Night 0.75
Monday 0.75
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Evening* Sunday Night* Monday Morning Monday Afternoon Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon*
Olympics 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500'
West North 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
West Central 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
West South 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 2500' 2000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
East North 2000' 2000' 2500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500'
East Central 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500'
East South 3500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning 3500'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Monday Evening 3500'
Monday Night 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Monday Evening 3000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday Morning 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Monday Evening 3500'
Monday Night 3000'
Tuesday Morning 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
West South Elevation
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4000'
Monday Evening 3500'
Monday Night 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Monday Evening 3500'
Monday Night 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Monday Evening 3500'
Monday Night 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Sunday Evening* 2000'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Monday Evening 3000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday Morning 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
East Central Elevation
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Monday Evening 3500'
Monday Night 3000'
Tuesday Morning 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
East South Elevation
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4000'
Monday Evening 4000'
Monday Night 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday Morning 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4000'
Monday Evening 4000'
Monday Night 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Sunday Night Monday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 31 / 27 33 / 28
West North 29 / 25 30 / 25
West Central 29 / 26 31 / 27
West South 31 / 28 32 / 28
Stevens Pass 30 / 26 31 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 27 30 / 28
East North 25 / 17 31 / 17
East Central 28 / 25 33 / 26
East South 30 / 28 33 / 27
Mt. Hood 32 / 29 33 / 29
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 31 / 27
Monday 33 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 25
Monday 30 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 29 / 26
Monday 31 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 31 / 28
Monday 32 / 28
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 30 / 26
Monday 31 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 30 / 27
Monday 30 / 28
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 25 / 17
Monday 31 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 28 / 25
Monday 33 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 30 / 28
Monday 33 / 27
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday Night 32 / 29
Monday 33 / 29

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Sunday Evening Sunday Night Monday Morning Monday Afternoon
Olympics S 0-10 SW 0-10 WNW 0-10 W 0-10
West North SW 0-10 NNW 0-10 NW 0-10 WNW 0-10
West Central SSW 0-10 SW 0-10 W 0-10 W 5-15
West South SW 10-20 SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 5-15
Stevens Pass SW 0-10 WSW 0-10 W 5-15 W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SW 0-10 WSW 0-10 W 5-15 W 10-20
East North W 5-15 NW 0-10 NW 5-15 WNW 10-20
East Central WSW 5-15 W 5-15 WNW 5-15 WNW 10-20
East South SW 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 10-20 WNW 10-20
Mt. Hood WSW 10-20 WSW 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening S 0-10
Sunday Night SW 0-10
Monday Morning WNW 0-10
Monday Afternoon W 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SW 0-10
Sunday Night NNW 0-10
Monday Morning NW 0-10
Monday Afternoon WNW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SSW 0-10
Sunday Night SW 0-10
Monday Morning W 0-10
Monday Afternoon W 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SW 10-20
Sunday Night SW 10-20
Monday Morning WSW 10-20
Monday Afternoon W 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SW 0-10
Sunday Night WSW 0-10
Monday Morning W 5-15
Monday Afternoon W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SW 0-10
Sunday Night WSW 0-10
Monday Morning W 5-15
Monday Afternoon W 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening W 5-15
Sunday Night NW 0-10
Monday Morning NW 5-15
Monday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening WSW 5-15
Sunday Night W 5-15
Monday Morning WNW 5-15
Monday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening SW 5-15
Sunday Night WSW 10-20
Monday Morning W 10-20
Monday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Evening WSW 10-20
Sunday Night WSW 20-30
Monday Morning WSW 20-30
Monday Afternoon W 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

A developing low pressure tracks NE toward the mouth of the Columbia Tuesday night. Expect a strong E-wind event with upslope snowfall for the east slopes of the Cascades, as mostly light rain and snow spread throughout the region. The track of this low is uncertain, but expect rain and snow showers to continue through Thursday under a broad trough. Temperatures will be near seasonal norms.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Night* Wednesday * Wednesday Night* Thursday
West North 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2000' 3000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday * 2500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday * 2000'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday * 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday 3500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 16, 2025

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.