Issued: 2:56 PM PST Saturday, March 4, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A cold upper low off just off the Washington coastline continues to rotate moisture into the region on a light S flow. The original vertically stacked surface low retrogrades slightly westward Saturday night as upslope moderate snow tapers for the southern Washington volcanoes as well as the SE slopes of the Olympic Mountains. Meanwhile, a secondary surface low forms in the Columbia Basin overnight. The new low should enhance support for light to occasionally moderate upslope ENE flow along the east slopes of the Cascades. The focus of the light snow shifts from areas south of I-90 to I-90 northward by late evening. In between the two surface lows, a zone of wind shear sets up and should be associated with a band of moderate snowfall. Exactly where this sets up will be difficult to predict precisely, but it looks like it will linger over the central Cascades (both sides) from the late evening hours through early Sunday. This band may drift northward into the Methow Valley area later Sunday with light snowfall tapering overnight. The snow event along the east slopes should bring the heaviest snow to Mission Ridge which can expect around 12" of snow Saturday night through Sunday while other parts of the eastern mountains might expect 5-10".

Outside of the band of precipitation in the central Cascade on Sunday, expect some partial clearing during the late morning hours, but convective cumulus clouds will build and may produce some more intense graupel showers during the afternoon and evening. Skies partially clear with limited snowfall overnight. Expect partly cloudy skies Monday morning with another build-up of convective snow showers more focused on the E slopes of the Cascades with light low-level E winds.

Snow levels vacillate between just above sea level in the early morning hours up to around 1500 ft each afternoon.

2:10 PM: Fixed an issue with the temperature forecast

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Night Decreasing chances of light snow. Moderate snow becoming light for SE Olympics.
Sunday Partly to mostly cloudy with a slight chance of light snow.
Saturday Night Occasional light snow.
Sunday Occasional light snow in the morning, then convective showers developing in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Increasing periods of light snow, potentially becomes moderate at times overnight.
Sunday Light snow at times.
Saturday Night Decreasing light to occasionally moderate snow.
Sunday Occasional light snow in the morning with snow showers in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Periods of increasing light snow may be moderate at times east of the Pass. Light to moderate ridgeline and light E winds at the Pass.
Sunday Periods of decreasing light snow. Light ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Periods of increasing light snow may be moderate at times east of the Pass. Light to moderate ridgeline and light E winds at the Pass.
Sunday Periods of decreasing light snow. Light ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow.
Sunday Decreasing light snow.
Saturday Night Light snow western part. Moderate snow in the mountains around Leavenworth and Wenatchee.
Sunday Decreasing light snow (western part) and moderate snow becoming light (eastern part).
Saturday Night Decreasing light snow.
Sunday Mostly cloudy with isolated snow flurries in the morning. Partly cloudy with convective snow showers in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Moderate snow in the evening tapers overnight. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Sunday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, then convective showers developing in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 LT 0.25 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon* Sunday Evening* Sunday Night* Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon*
Olympics 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500'
West North 1500' 500' 500' 1500' 1000' 500' 500' 1500'
West Central 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1000' 500' 500' 1500'
West South 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1000' 500' 500' 2000'
Stevens Pass 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 1000' 500' 500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 1000' 500' 500' 1500'
East North 1000' 500' 500' 1000' 500' 500' 0 1500'
East Central 1500' 1000' 500' 1000' 500' 500' 0 1500'
East South 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 1000' 500' 0 1500'
Mt. Hood 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 1000' 500' 1000' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 1500'
Sunday Night* 1000'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 1500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 1500'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 1500'
West South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 1500'
East North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
Sunday Evening* 500'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 1500'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
Sunday Evening* 500'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 1500'
East South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Night Sunday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 24 / 19 27 / 17
West North 24 / 20 27 / 19
West Central 24 / 20 25 / 18
West South 24 / 20 28 / 17
Stevens Pass 24 / 19 25 / 18
Snoqualmie Pass 24 / 20 25 / 18
East North 21 / 16 24 / 17
East Central 24 / 19 25 / 18
East South 22 / 17 28 / 16
Mt. Hood 24 / 17 28 / 16
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 19
Sunday 27 / 17
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 20
Sunday 27 / 19
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 20
Sunday 25 / 18
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 20
Sunday 28 / 17
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 19
Sunday 25 / 18
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 20
Sunday 25 / 18
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 21 / 16
Sunday 24 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 19
Sunday 25 / 18
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 22 / 17
Sunday 28 / 16
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 17
Sunday 28 / 16

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics SSE 15-25 S 15-25 SSE 0-10 SE 0-10
West North E 10-20 E 5-15 E 5-15 E 5-15
West Central E 15-25 E 5-15 E 5-15 E 10-20
West South SSE 5-15 SW 0-10 ENE 0-10 E 0-10
Stevens Pass ESE 10-20 E 5-15 E 5-15 E 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 10-20 SE 0-10 E 5-15 SE 5-15
East North E 10-20 ENE 5-15 ENE 10-20 ESE 10-20
East Central E 10-20 ENE 5-15 NE 10-20 ENE 5-15
East South ESE 5-15 W 5-15 ENE 0-10 SSE 0-10
Mt. Hood WSW 15-25 WSW 5-15 SSE 0-10 SE 0-10
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSE 15-25
Saturday Night S 15-25
Sunday Morning SSE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon SE 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening E 10-20
Saturday Night E 5-15
Sunday Morning E 5-15
Sunday Afternoon E 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening E 15-25
Saturday Night E 5-15
Sunday Morning E 5-15
Sunday Afternoon E 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSE 5-15
Saturday Night SW 0-10
Sunday Morning ENE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon E 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening ESE 10-20
Saturday Night E 5-15
Sunday Morning E 5-15
Sunday Afternoon E 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening ESE 10-20
Saturday Night SE 0-10
Sunday Morning E 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening E 10-20
Saturday Night ENE 5-15
Sunday Morning ENE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon ESE 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening E 10-20
Saturday Night ENE 5-15
Sunday Morning NE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon ENE 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening ESE 5-15
Saturday Night W 5-15
Sunday Morning ENE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon SSE 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WSW 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 5-15
Sunday Morning SSE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon SE 0-10

Extended Weather Synopsis

The offshore low continues to rotate very limited moisture in from a position in the nearshore waters. A pulse of moisture might bring some more intense graupel showers Tuesday afternoon along with a slight uptick in E winds. Expect another clearing night and then a repeat with less widespread snow showers on Wednesday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Monday Night* Tuesday * Tuesday Night* Wednesday *
West North 1000' 1000' 1500' 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 1000' 1500' 1000'
Mt. Hood 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000'
West North Elevation
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday * 1000'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday * 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday * 1000'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday * 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night* 1500'
Tuesday * 1500'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday * 1000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 4, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.