Issued: 2:13 PM PST Tuesday, January 31, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A relatively quiet, cloudy weather pattern continues in the short term with a continued moderating temperature trend.

An upper low in the Gulf of Alaska continues to push weak systems over the top of a weakened west coast ridge. A warm front loosely linked to a developing offshore low will brush the Olympics and northern Cascades Tuesday night into very early Wednesday before lifting north of the border and shifting winds more SWerly as the day progresses. This should bring around an inch of snow to Mt. Baker with a trace of snow expected for Hurricane Ridge, the Mountain Loop, and Washington Pass. The front stalls just north of the Canadian Border on Wednesday as the ridge rebounds over the region. Expect more clouds than sun for most of the region with better chances for sunshine south of Mt. Rainier and in the afternoon.

The offshore low marches toward the nearshore waters Wednesday night and Thursday. Expect partially clearing skies with clouds filling back in on Thursday, but precipitation should hold off during the day.

Most areas from the central Washington Cascades southward can expect temperatures to rise above freezing in the early afternoon. Inversion may form in some areas Wednesday night but should break down on Thursday for daytime temperatures in the 30s and perhaps the 40s at 5000 ft south of Mt. Rainier.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a slight chance of very light snow.
Wednesday Cloudy and milder in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Increasing chances of light snow.
Wednesday Light snow ending in the early morning, then remaining cloudy.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a slight chance of very light snow in the early morning hours.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with increasing sun breaks late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with increasing sun breaks late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy. Light ridgeline and variable or E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with increasing sun breaks late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy. Light ridgeline and variable or E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with increasing sun breaks late in the day.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a slight chance of very light snow.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with increasing sun breaks late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with increasing sun breaks late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with increasing sun breaks late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Wednesday Filtered sunshine and obscured skies at times.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon* Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 2500' 2500' 2500' 4000' 3500' 4000' 6000' 6500'
West North 1000' 1000' 1000' 3000' 2500' 1500' 6000' 6500'
West Central 2000' 1000' 1500' 3500' 3000' 2000' 6000' 6500'
West South 2500' 2000' 2000' 4500' 4000' 3000' 7000' 7500'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1000' 1000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 6000' 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1000' 1500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 6500' 7000'
East North 1500' 500' 1000' 3500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
East Central 2000' 1000' 1000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 4500'
East South 2500' 2500' 2000' 5000' 4000' 3000' 6500' 7000'
Mt. Hood 6500' 6500' 6500' 7500' 7000' 7000' 7500' 8500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 1000'
Tuesday Night* 1000'
Wednesday Morning* 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 1000'
Wednesday Morning* 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 1000'
Wednesday Morning* 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 1000'
Wednesday Morning* 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night* 500'
Wednesday Morning* 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 1000'
Wednesday Morning* 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5000'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6500'
Tuesday Night* 6500'
Wednesday Morning* 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 7500'
Wednesday Evening* 7000'
Wednesday Night* 7000'
Thursday Morning* 7500'
Thursday Afternoon* 8500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 29 / 27 35 / 29
West North 24 / 20 31 / 24
West Central 27 / 21 33 / 25
West South 28 / 23 36 / 27
Stevens Pass 26 / 22 34 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 26 / 23 34 / 24
East North 25 / 22 31 / 22
East Central 27 / 24 34 / 26
East South 30 / 27 37 / 30
Mt. Hood 35 / 33 42 / 33
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 27
Wednesday 35 / 29
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 24 / 20
Wednesday 31 / 24
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 27 / 21
Wednesday 33 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 28 / 23
Wednesday 36 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 26 / 22
Wednesday 34 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 26 / 23
Wednesday 34 / 24
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 25 / 22
Wednesday 31 / 22
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 27 / 24
Wednesday 34 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 27
Wednesday 37 / 30
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 33
Wednesday 42 / 33

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 5-15
West North SW 0-10 SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SSW 10-20
West Central WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 10-20
West South WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20
Stevens Pass WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass W 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15
East North W 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20
East Central W 10-20 W 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 10-20
East South W 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 10-20 WSW 10-20
Mt. Hood WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning WSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 0-10
Tuesday Night SW 5-15
Wednesday Morning SW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning WSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SW 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning WSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning WSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning WSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning WSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning WSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 15-25
Tuesday Night WSW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

An active weather pattern returns to the Pacific Northwest. Temperatures cool as a front approaches Thursday night. The low should track toward Vancouver Island with a front moving through the Cascades by mid-day on Friday and will be accompanied by a period of moderate to strong SSW ridgeline winds for the Olympics and Mt. Baker as snow levels drop to 3000-4000 ft in most areas. Snow showers continue on WSW flow Friday afternoon and overnight with a weak ridge over the area. Shower activity decreases on Saturday as precipitation organizes around an open low moving into the nearshore waters. We'll have to monitor the potential for light upslope flow on the east slopes of the Cascades.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night* Friday * Friday Night Saturday
West North 5000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 4500' 3000' 3500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 6000' 3500' 4000' 4000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday * 3000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday * 3000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday * 3500'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 31, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.