Issued: 2:20 PM PST Thursday, December 22, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We're in for an extraordinary shift in our weather pattern as we move into the holiday period. The anomalously cold air mass that settled throughout the region over the last several days has begun to moderate slightly in upper elevation areas west of the Cascade Crest. This moderation trend should continue as a warmer frontal system approaches. Precipitation will start as snow in most areas with with light snow spreading from SW to NE throughout the region by morning.

Friday through Saturday is where the forecast gets tricky. Weather models tend to move the warm air into the region too quickly when we have these cold, dense air masses in place. Thus, the forecast freezing levels take into account a longer lag in this process than the models expect. Moderate E winds will also help to temporarily fend off the incoming SW winds and warmth. Snow should become moderate to heavy throughout the region on Saturday. The Olympics and Mt. Hood areas will likely transition to freezing rain or rain (above the cold air parked at the surface) at some point during the day on Friday. The changeover should occur next in the Mt. Rainier area Friday night. Most other parts of the west slopes of the Cascades and areas south of I-90 likely change to a wintry mix or rain on Saturday as intensifying SW winds likely mix out more of the cold air.

Approximately 0.5-2.5" of water equivalent can be expected for much of the region through Saturday with locally higher amounts possible.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow with the potential for a mix or changeover to sleet or freezing rain.
Friday Moderate snow, sleet, freezing rain, and eventually rain.
Thursday Night Increasing light snow. Bitterly cold.
Friday Light to moderate snow.
Thursday Night Increasing light snow. Bitterly cold.
Friday Moderate snow, possibly heavy at times.
Thursday Night Light snow in the evening becoming moderate overnight and possibly heavy at Paradise. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds near the Cascade Crest.
Friday Light to moderate snow, possibly heavy at times. Chance of snow mixing with freezing rain.
Thursday Night Light snow becoming moderate after midnight. Moderate ridgeline and E wind possibly becoming light to moderate overnight at the Pass.
Friday Moderate snow, possibly heavy at times. Light to moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Thursday Night Light snow becoming moderate after midnight. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass. Bitterly cold with dangerous windchills.
Friday Moderate snow, possibly heavy at times. Chance of snow mixing with freezing rain or sleet in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Thursday Night Light snow developing. Bitterly cold with dangerous windchills.
Friday Light snow in the morning becoming moderate.
Thursday Night Increasing light snow. Bitterly cold.
Friday Moderate snow.
Thursday Night Light snow becoming moderate after midnight. Bitterly cold.
Friday Moderate snow, possibly mixing with freezing rain or sleet near the Cascade Crest in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light snow becoming moderate.
Friday Moderate to heavy snow, likely changing to rain/sleet/freezing rain in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.75 0.75 1.00 - 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.75 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.75 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.75 -1.00 1.00
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 0.75 -1.00 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.75
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.75
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 1.00
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.75
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 0 0 0 6000' 6000' 7000' 7000' 7000'
West North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6500'
West Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6500'
West South 0 0 0 0 0 6000' 7000' 7500'
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0 7000' 7000'
East North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7000'
Mt. Hood 0 0 0 6000' 6000' 6000' 6500' 7500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 6000'
Friday Evening 6000'
Friday Night 7000'
Saturday Morning 7000'
Saturday Afternoon 7000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 6500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 6500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 6000'
Saturday Morning 7000'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 7000'
Saturday Afternoon 7000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 0'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 0'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 6000'
Friday Evening 6000'
Friday Night 6000'
Saturday Morning 6500'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 22 35 / 30
West North 26 / 12 31 / 27
West Central 20 / 7 32 / 21
West South 21 / 7 32 / 23
Stevens Pass 1 / -4 23 / 2
Snoqualmie Pass 8 / -3 27 / 9
East North -3 / -11 14 / -3
East Central 1 / -8 26 / 3
East South 7 / -2 32 / 7
Mt. Hood 24 / 11 36 / 25
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 32 / 22
Friday 35 / 30
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 12
Friday 31 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 20 / 7
Friday 32 / 21
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 7
Friday 32 / 23
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 1 / -4
Friday 23 / 2
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 8 / -3
Friday 27 / 9
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night -3 / -11
Friday 14 / -3
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 1 / -8
Friday 26 / 3
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 7 / -2
Friday 32 / 7
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 11
Friday 36 / 25

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SW 15-25
West North SSE 5-15 S 5-15 SSW 15-25 SSW 15-25
West Central SE 10-20 SE 10-20 SSE 10-20 SW 15-25
West South SSE 10-20 SSE 10-20 SSW 10-20 SW 15-25
Stevens Pass SE 5-15 SE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 15-25 ESE 10-20 SE 5-15 SW 10-20
East North SSE 5-15 S 5-15 SSW 5-15 SW 10-20
East Central S 0-10 SSW 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 20-30
East South S 5-15 SSW 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood S 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 25-35 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 10-20
Friday Morning SSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSE 5-15
Thursday Night S 5-15
Friday Morning SSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSW 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 10-20
Thursday Night SE 10-20
Friday Morning SSE 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSE 10-20
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
Friday Morning SSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 5-15
Thursday Night SE 5-15
Friday Morning SSE 5-15
Friday Afternoon SW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening ESE 15-25
Thursday Night ESE 10-20
Friday Morning SE 5-15
Friday Afternoon SW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSE 5-15
Thursday Night S 5-15
Friday Morning SSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon SW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 0-10
Thursday Night SSW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 25-35
Friday Afternoon WSW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

Saturday night through Monday additional waves of moisture come into the region with most of the cold air already eroded out of the region. These waves focus moisture into the Olympics and Northern Cascades. Snow levels fluctuate in the 5500-7500 ft range for the Cascades and may rise to nearly 10,000 ft for Mt. Hood.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 5500' 6500' 7000' 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass 5500' 7000' 7000' 6000'
Mt. Hood 7500' 9500' 8500' 6500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 5500'
Sunday * 6500'
Sunday Night* 7000'
Monday * 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 5500'
Sunday * 7000'
Sunday Night* 7000'
Monday * 6000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 7500'
Sunday * 9500'
Sunday Night* 8500'
Monday * 6500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 22, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.