Bundle up to enjoy the cold winter temperatures and excellent snow conditions while they last because we're expecting a warming trend starting Friday. A broad trough slides eastward Wednesday night, allowing NW winds aloft to maintain unseasonably cold air across the region. An unusually intense surface high pressure over interior Canada spills south into Montana (and eastern Washington). This cold, dense air has nowhere to go but through the mountain gaps, driving moderate and bitterly cold E winds. These winds peak Thursday morning before decreasing slightly later in the day. Temperatures will be cold throughout the region, but coldest along the east slopes of the Cascades and through the mountain gaps, where some locations may start the day Thursday below 0F.
A shortwave ridge moving onshore late Thursday has a warm front on its heels, so clouds should increase throughout the day on Thursdays with slowly moderating temperatures. The warm front brings moderate snowfall into the region Thursday night with WSW winds aloft.
The warming associated with the warm front gains steam on Friday as mid-level temperatures start to increase. We expect that E flow will continue to hold off this warmer air for much of the Cascades, but snow levels will start to rise for the Olympics and Mt Hood. There's a lot of uncertainty with the timing and amount of warming. Freezing rain could develop in many parts of the lowlands and into the Cascades as the day progresses. Freezing rain could limit snowfall amounts. For now, we expect 4-10" of snow with E winds allowing the eastern slopes of the Cascades to squeeze some extra moisture out of the storm.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday
Night
Mostly clear. Cold with Fraser outflow winds.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday
Night
A few clouds. Increasing ridgeline and E winds at the pass transitioning from light to moderate. Bitterly cold windchills.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday
Night
A few clouds. Increasing ridgeline and E winds at the pass transitioning from light to moderate. Bitterly cold windchills.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening. Moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass. Bitterly cold windchills.
Wednesday
Night
Mostly clear. Bitterly cold.
Thursday
Partly cloudy to start, then clouds increasing. Bitterly cold.
Wednesday
Night
Mostly clear. Cold.
Thursday
Partly cloudy to start, then clouds increasing. Bitterly cold.
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday
Partly cloudy to start, then clouds increasing. Cold.
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday
Partly cloudy to start, then clouds lowering and thickening with a chance of light snow developing by the end of the day.
Issued: 2:16 PM PST Wednesday, December 21, 2022
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
Thursday
Thursday Night
Friday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
0
0
LT 0.25
0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
0
LT 0.25
0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass
0
0
LT 0.25
0.50
Snoqualmie Pass
0
0
LT 0.25
0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt
0
0
LT 0.25
0.25
Paradise
0
0
0.50
0.75
White Pass
0
0
0.25
0.50
Washington Pass
0
0
LT 0.10
0.25
Mission Ridge
0
0
LT 0.10
0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
0
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
0
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows
0
LT 0.10
0.50
0.50 - 0.75
Timberline
0
LT 0.10
0.50
0.75
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.50
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0.50
Friday
0.75
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0.25
Friday
0.50
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.25
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.50
Friday
0.50 - 0.75
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0.50
Friday
0.75
Issued: 2:16 PM PST Wednesday, December 21, 2022
Snow Level (ft)
Wednesday
Evening*
Wednesday
Night*
Thursday
Morning*
Thursday
Afternoon*
Thursday
Evening*
Thursday
Night*
Friday
Morning*
Friday
Afternoon*
Olympics
500'
500'
500'
500'
0
500'
4500'
5000'
West North
0
0
0
500'
0
0
0
0
West Central
500'
500'
500'
500'
0
0
0
0
West South
500'
500'
500'
500'
0
0
0
2500'
Stevens Pass
500'
500'
500'
500'
0
0
0
0
Snoqualmie Pass
500'
500'
500'
500'
0
0
0
0
East North
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
East Central
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
East South
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Mt. Hood
500'
500'
500'
0
0
0
0
2500'
Olympics
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
500'
Wednesday
Night*
500'
Thursday
Morning*
500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
500'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
500'
Friday
Morning*
4500'
Friday
Afternoon*
5000'
West North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
0'
Wednesday
Night*
0'
Thursday
Morning*
0'
Thursday
Afternoon*
500'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
0'
West Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
500'
Wednesday
Night*
500'
Thursday
Morning*
500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
500'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
0'
West South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
500'
Wednesday
Night*
500'
Thursday
Morning*
500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
500'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
2500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
500'
Wednesday
Night*
500'
Thursday
Morning*
500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
500'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
0'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
500'
Wednesday
Night*
500'
Thursday
Morning*
500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
500'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
0'
East North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
0'
Wednesday
Night*
0'
Thursday
Morning*
0'
Thursday
Afternoon*
0'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
0'
East Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
0'
Wednesday
Night*
0'
Thursday
Morning*
0'
Thursday
Afternoon*
0'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
0'
East South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
0'
Wednesday
Night*
0'
Thursday
Morning*
0'
Thursday
Afternoon*
0'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
0'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
500'
Wednesday
Night*
500'
Thursday
Morning*
500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
0'
Thursday
Evening*
0'
Thursday
Night*
0'
Friday
Morning*
0'
Friday
Afternoon*
2500'
Issued: 2:16 PM PST Wednesday, December 21, 2022
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
12 / -2
26 / 12
West North
1 / -5
16 / 1
West Central
9 / 5
12 / 5
West South
10 / 3
14 / 5
Stevens Pass
5 / 0
8 / 0
Snoqualmie Pass
8 / 2
8 / 4
East North
-11 / -14
-7 / -15
East Central
4 / -5
7 / -5
East South
8 / -3
9 / -3
Mt. Hood
10 / 5
13 / 5
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
12 / -2
Thursday
26 / 12
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
1 / -5
Thursday
16 / 1
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
9 / 5
Thursday
12 / 5
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
10 / 3
Thursday
14 / 5
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
5 / 0
Thursday
8 / 0
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
8 / 2
Thursday
8 / 4
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
-11 / -14
Thursday
-7 / -15
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
4 / -5
Thursday
7 / -5
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
8 / -3
Thursday
9 / -3
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
10 / 5
Thursday
13 / 5
Issued: 2:16 PM PST Wednesday, December 21, 2022
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Olympics
E 5-15
ESE 0-10
SSW 0-10
SSW 5-15
West North
ENE 5-15
E 5-15
ESE 0-10
SSE 0-10
West Central
ESE 10-20
ESE 15-25
ESE 15-25
SE 15-25
West South
E 0-10
ESE 5-15
SE 5-15
SE 0-10
Stevens Pass
ESE 10-20
ESE 15-25
ESE 15-25
ESE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
ESE 10-20
ESE 15-25
ESE 20-30
ESE 15-25
East North
E 5-15
SE 10-20
SE 10-20
SE 5-15
East Central
E 5-15
SE 5-15
SE 5-15
S 5-15
East South
ESE 0-10
ESE 5-15
SE 5-15
SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood
NW 10-20
WNW 5-15
W 10-20
SW 15-25
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
E
5-15
Wednesday
Night
ESE
0-10
Thursday
Morning
SSW
0-10
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
5-15
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
ENE
5-15
Wednesday
Night
E
5-15
Thursday
Morning
ESE
0-10
Thursday
Afternoon
SSE
0-10
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
ESE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
ESE
15-25
Thursday
Morning
ESE
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
SE
15-25
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
E
0-10
Wednesday
Night
ESE
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SE
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
SE
0-10
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
ESE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
ESE
15-25
Thursday
Morning
ESE
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
ESE
10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
ESE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
ESE
15-25
Thursday
Morning
ESE
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
ESE
15-25
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
E
5-15
Wednesday
Night
SE
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SE
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
SE
5-15
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
E
5-15
Wednesday
Night
SE
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SE
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
S
5-15
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
ESE
0-10
Wednesday
Night
ESE
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SE
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
SSE
5-15
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
NW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
WNW
5-15
Thursday
Morning
W
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
15-25
Issued: 2:16 PM PST Wednesday, December 21, 2022
Extended Weather Synopsis
A broad upper-level ridge remains parked over the west coast with a train of increasingly warm, wet storms parading into the region. Most areas will eventually change to rain over the long range, the question is when. Friday's warm front maintains decreasing light snow, rain, and freezing rain into early Saturday. A second strong system hot on the heels of the first brings heavy precipitation later in the day on Saturday with strong warming and a changeover to rain expected up to near treeline. Early Sunday could bring a break in the action with another strong warm front approaching the area late in the day.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).