Issued: 2:16 PM PST Wednesday, December 21, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Bundle up to enjoy the cold winter temperatures and excellent snow conditions while they last because we're expecting a warming trend starting Friday. A broad trough slides eastward Wednesday night, allowing NW winds aloft to maintain unseasonably cold air across the region. An unusually intense surface high pressure over interior Canada spills south into Montana (and eastern Washington). This cold, dense air has nowhere to go but through the mountain gaps, driving moderate and bitterly cold E winds. These winds peak Thursday morning before decreasing slightly later in the day. Temperatures will be cold throughout the region, but coldest along the east slopes of the Cascades and through the mountain gaps, where some locations may start the day Thursday below 0F.

A shortwave ridge moving onshore late Thursday has a warm front on its heels, so clouds should increase throughout the day on Thursdays with slowly moderating temperatures. The warm front brings moderate snowfall into the region Thursday night with WSW winds aloft.

The warming associated with the warm front gains steam on Friday as mid-level temperatures start to increase. We expect that E flow will continue to hold off this warmer air for much of the Cascades, but snow levels will start to rise for the Olympics and Mt Hood. There's a lot of uncertainty with the timing and amount of warming. Freezing rain could develop in many parts of the lowlands and into the Cascades as the day progresses. Freezing rain could limit snowfall amounts. For now, we expect 4-10" of snow with E winds allowing the eastern slopes of the Cascades to squeeze some extra moisture out of the storm.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Cold with Fraser outflow winds.
Thursday Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday Night A few clouds. Increasing ridgeline and E winds at the pass transitioning from light to moderate. Bitterly cold windchills.
Thursday Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening.
Wednesday Night A few clouds. Increasing ridgeline and E winds at the pass transitioning from light to moderate. Bitterly cold windchills.
Thursday Mostly cloudy, then becoming cloudy with clouds lowering and thickening. Moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass. Bitterly cold windchills.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Bitterly cold.
Thursday Partly cloudy to start, then clouds increasing. Bitterly cold.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear. Cold.
Thursday Partly cloudy to start, then clouds increasing. Bitterly cold.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday Partly cloudy to start, then clouds increasing. Cold.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy. Cold.
Thursday Partly cloudy to start, then clouds lowering and thickening with a chance of light snow developing by the end of the day.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Paradise 0 0 0.50 0.75
White Pass 0 0 0.25 0.50
Washington Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.10 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline 0 LT 0.10 0.50 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 500' 500' 500' 500' 0 500' 4500' 5000'
West North 0 0 0 500' 0 0 0 0
West Central 500' 500' 500' 500' 0 0 0 0
West South 500' 500' 500' 500' 0 0 0 2500'
Stevens Pass 500' 500' 500' 500' 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 500' 500' 500' 0 0 0 0
East North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 500' 500' 500' 0 0 0 0 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 12 / -2 26 / 12
West North 1 / -5 16 / 1
West Central 9 / 5 12 / 5
West South 10 / 3 14 / 5
Stevens Pass 5 / 0 8 / 0
Snoqualmie Pass 8 / 2 8 / 4
East North -11 / -14 -7 / -15
East Central 4 / -5 7 / -5
East South 8 / -3 9 / -3
Mt. Hood 10 / 5 13 / 5
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 12 / -2
Thursday 26 / 12
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 1 / -5
Thursday 16 / 1
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 9 / 5
Thursday 12 / 5
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 10 / 3
Thursday 14 / 5
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 5 / 0
Thursday 8 / 0
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 8 / 2
Thursday 8 / 4
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night -11 / -14
Thursday -7 / -15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 4 / -5
Thursday 7 / -5
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 8 / -3
Thursday 9 / -3
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 10 / 5
Thursday 13 / 5

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics E 5-15 ESE 0-10 SSW 0-10 SSW 5-15
West North ENE 5-15 E 5-15 ESE 0-10 SSE 0-10
West Central ESE 10-20 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 SE 15-25
West South E 0-10 ESE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 0-10
Stevens Pass ESE 10-20 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 10-20 ESE 15-25 ESE 20-30 ESE 15-25
East North E 5-15 SE 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 5-15
East Central E 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 5-15 S 5-15
East South ESE 0-10 ESE 5-15 SE 5-15 SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood NW 10-20 WNW 5-15 W 10-20 SW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 5-15
Wednesday Night ESE 0-10
Thursday Morning SSW 0-10
Thursday Afternoon SSW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ENE 5-15
Wednesday Night E 5-15
Thursday Morning ESE 0-10
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 10-20
Wednesday Night ESE 15-25
Thursday Morning ESE 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SE 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 0-10
Wednesday Night ESE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SE 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 10-20
Wednesday Night ESE 15-25
Thursday Morning ESE 15-25
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 10-20
Wednesday Night ESE 15-25
Thursday Morning ESE 20-30
Thursday Afternoon ESE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 5-15
Wednesday Night SE 10-20
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SE 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 5-15
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon S 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 0-10
Wednesday Night ESE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 10-20
Wednesday Night WNW 5-15
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

A broad upper-level ridge remains parked over the west coast with a train of increasingly warm, wet storms parading into the region. Most areas will eventually change to rain over the long range, the question is when. Friday's warm front maintains decreasing light snow, rain, and freezing rain into early Saturday. A second strong system hot on the heels of the first brings heavy precipitation later in the day on Saturday with strong warming and a changeover to rain expected up to near treeline. Early Sunday could bring a break in the action with another strong warm front approaching the area late in the day.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night* Sunday *
West North 3000' 5500' 5500' 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 5000' 5500' 6500'
Mt. Hood 4500' 7000' 7500' 9000'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday * 5500'
Saturday Night* 5500'
Sunday * 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday * 5000'
Saturday Night* 5500'
Sunday * 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday * 7000'
Saturday Night* 7500'
Sunday * 9000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 21, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.