Issued: 2:02 PM PST Wednesday, November 30, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A strong occluded front passed through Wednesday morning, dropping 1-2' of snow across the forecast area with snow levels on both sides of the Cascades near sea level at times. Behind the front, an upper level trough combined with a weak surface low off the SW WA coast continues to spin showers into the region Wednesday afternoon, moving from the SW to NE. Drier conditions can be found over the North Cascades as drier interior air and Fraser outflow winds pick up steam.  

Showers in SW flow will continue this evening. Later tonight through tomorrow morning, the weak surface low will pass inland and spread shower activity further north and east.  With cold temperatures and higher than normal snow to water ratios, this seems like a case where most locations will pick up 1-4" of low density snow and the southern Washington Cascades and Mt Hood may see more like 3-8" through tomorrow morning.  A period of ENE winds across the Strait of de Fuca will bring a few inches of light fluffy snow to the north slopes of the Olympics as well. 

Showers will become lighter and more scattered tomorrow mid-day and afternoon and winds will become westerly with additional light snowfall accumulations likely.  Showers will continue to diminish Thursday night with some partial clearing possible. Look for another cold night Thursday night with overnight mountain lows in the teens and even single digits. 

A deep Pacific low pressure system will wobble towards the coast on Friday. While some light precipitation may reach the Olympics Friday, the main impact will be strong offshore flow that will likely develop along with strong easterly winds for many locations.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Cloudy with occasional light snow showers except light to occasionally moderate with upslope snow showers along the north slopes of the Olympics.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning, heaviest north slopes of the Olympics, becoming more mostly cloudy and scattered in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers.
Thursday Cloudy with scattered light snow showers becoming mostly cloudy with sunbreaks in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers.
Thursday Light snow showers becoming scattered in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers.
Thursday Light snow showers becoming scattered in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers.
Thursday Light snow showers becoming scattered in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Variable Pass level winds becoming light east overnight.
Thursday Light snow showers becoming scattered in the afternoon. Light east winds at Pass level becoming westerly in the morning.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers increasing after midnight. Variable Pass level winds becoming light east overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers in the morning, becoming scattered showers in the afternoon. Light east winds at Pass level becoming westerly in the morning.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers increasing after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers in the morning, becoming scattered showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers increasing after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers in the morning, becoming scattered showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to moderate snow showers. Strong winds.
Thursday Light to moderate snow showers, becoming lighter in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0
White Pass 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 500' 0 0 1000' 500' 0 500' 1000'
West North 500' 0 0 500' 500' 0 500' 1000'
West Central 500' 0 0 1000' 500' 0 500' 1000'
West South 1000' 500' 500' 1500' 500' 0 500' 1500'
Stevens Pass 500' 0 0 1000' 500' 0 500' 500'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 0 0 1500' 500' 0 500' 1000'
East North 0 0 0 1000' 500' 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 1000' 500' 0 0 500'
East South 500' 500' 500' 1000' 500' 0 500' 1000'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 2000' 1500' 500' 0 1000' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 500'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1000'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 500'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2000'
Wednesday Night 1500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 16 / 8 19 / 8
West North 16 / 8 15 / 7
West Central 17 / 13 17 / 11
West South 20 / 15 21 / 16
Stevens Pass 16 / 11 20 / 14
Snoqualmie Pass 17 / 11 20 / 14
East North 12 / 3 15 / 7
East Central 16 / 12 16 / 11
East South 19 / 12 19 / 12
Mt. Hood 24 / 15 22 / 15
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 16 / 8
Thursday 19 / 8
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 16 / 8
Thursday 15 / 7
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 17 / 13
Thursday 17 / 11
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 20 / 15
Thursday 21 / 16
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 16 / 11
Thursday 20 / 14
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 17 / 11
Thursday 20 / 14
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 12 / 3
Thursday 15 / 7
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 16 / 12
Thursday 16 / 11
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 19 / 12
Thursday 19 / 12
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 24 / 15
Thursday 22 / 15

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics E 5-15 ENE 10-20 E 5-15 W 0-10
West North ENE 5-15 ENE 5-15 SE 5-15 SSW 5-15
West Central E 5-15 E 5-15 S 5-15 SW 5-15
West South S 10-20 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 5-15
Stevens Pass E 5-15 SE 5-15 SW 5-15 W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 5-15 S 5-15 SW 10-20 W 10-20
East North E 5-15 ESE 5-15 SSW 0-10 W 5-15
East Central ESE 5-15 SE 0-10 WSW 10-20 W 10-20
East South SSW 10-20 SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 10-20
Mt. Hood SW 20-30 WSW 20-30 SW 10-20 WSW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 5-15
Wednesday Night ENE 10-20
Thursday Morning E 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ENE 5-15
Wednesday Night ENE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 5-15
Wednesday Night E 5-15
Thursday Morning S 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 10-20
Wednesday Night SSW 10-20
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 5-15
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning SW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 5-15
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening E 5-15
Wednesday Night ESE 5-15
Thursday Morning SSW 0-10
Thursday Afternoon W 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 5-15
Wednesday Night SE 0-10
Thursday Morning WSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 10-20
Thursday Morning WSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 20-30
Wednesday Night WSW 20-30
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

The occluded front should weaken and push inland Friday night bringing a shot of snow to our mountains.  On Saturday, the parent upper low and trough pulls south and high pressure builds to our NW.  With PNW in sort of a weather person's no man land, we could be inline for a dry weekend with slowly moderating temperatures and freezing levels. Expect colder air to remain entrenched along the east slopes of the Cascades and in the Cascade Passes. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night* Sunday *
West North 0 2000' 3000' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 2000' 1000' 2500'
Mt. Hood 500' 1500' 500' 1500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday * 2000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday * 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday * 2000'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday * 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday * 1500'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday * 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 30, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.