Issued: 7:08 AM PDT Monday, March 14, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A frontal boundary will stay more or less stay stationary through the morning hours with steadier precipitation for the SW slopes of the Olympic mountains and the northwest Cascades, and more intermittent and lighter precipitation elsewhere. The frontal boundary will push inland during the afternoon, spreading more moderate precipitation to all areas near and west of the Cascade crest. Weak easterly flow will that's keeping snow levels near Pass levels this morning will give up ground as milder air moves in, with rain expected at Pass level for Snoqualmie, White and Stevens by this afternoon.  

A deep upper level trough in the NE Pacific will help orient the frontal boundary from its current SW-NE position to more N-S tonight, and shift the precipitation inland. Moderate to locally heavy precipitation can be expected across all areas, along with peak warming and snow levels between 4000-5000' (higher at Mt Hood).  The longwave trough will pass through Tuesday morning and push the frontal boundary to the east.  This will usher in a period of post-frontal showers and strong westerly winds. The heaviest showers will likely pound the Mt Baker area in the morning, and then shift a bit south as Puget Sound Convergence zone aims into the mountains of Skagit County.  Snow levels will slowly fall during the day on Tuesday to the 3000-3500' range, with slightly milder snow levels further east of the Cascade crest. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, heavier precipitation other parts of the range. Strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, heavier precipitation other parts of the range. Strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Light to moderate rain and snow, becoming moderate to occasionally heavy in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Light to moderate rain and snow, becoming moderate to occasionally heavy in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, becoming light to moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong in the afternoon.
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, becoming light to moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Light west winds becoming east at Pass level this morning.
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow. Light east winds at Pass level.
Monday Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, becoming light to moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Light west winds becoming east at Pass level this morning.
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow. Light east winds at Pass level.
Monday Periods of light rain and snow, becoming light to occasionally moderate rain and snow in the afternoon.
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow.
Monday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow, becoming steadier near the Cascade crest in the afternoon.
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow, becoming steadier near the Cascade crest in the afternoon.
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow.
Monday Cloudy with periods of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, becoming light to moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming strong.
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Monday Night Tuesday
5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 0.75 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.75 -1.00 0.75 0.75
Stevens Pass 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 0.25 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 0.50 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.50
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.75 -1.00
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.10
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.75 -1.00
Tuesday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics 4000' 4500' 5000' 4500' 3500' 3000'
West North 3000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3000'
West Central 3000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3000'
West South 3500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 3500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3000'
East North 3000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000'
East Central 3500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 4000' 4000'
East South 3500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 5500' 6500' 5500' 4000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Morning* 4000'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
Monday Evening 5000'
Monday Night 4500'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 4000'
Monday Evening 4000'
Monday Night 4000'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
Monday Evening 4500'
Monday Night 4000'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
Monday Evening 4500'
Monday Night 4500'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
Monday Evening 4500'
Monday Night 4000'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
Monday Evening 4500'
Monday Night 4000'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 4000'
Monday Evening 4000'
Monday Night 4000'
Tuesday Morning 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon 4000'
East Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
Monday Evening 4500'
Monday Night 4500'
Tuesday Morning 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon 4000'
East South Elevation
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 5000'
Monday Evening 4500'
Monday Night 4500'
Tuesday Morning 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Morning* 4000'
Monday Afternoon 5500'
Monday Evening 6500'
Monday Night 5500'
Tuesday Morning 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Monday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 30 32 / 28
West North 31 / 28 31 / 30
West Central 32 / 28 31 / 30
West South 34 / 27 32 / 29
Stevens Pass 33 / 29 33 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 33 / 29 32 / 29
East North 34 / 28 32 / 29
East Central 35 / 29 33 / 29
East South 37 / 29 33 / 30
Mt. Hood 36 / 29 35 / 32
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 32 / 30
Monday Night 32 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 31 / 28
Monday Night 31 / 30
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 32 / 28
Monday Night 31 / 30
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 34 / 27
Monday Night 32 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 33 / 29
Monday Night 33 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 33 / 29
Monday Night 32 / 29
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 34 / 28
Monday Night 32 / 29
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 35 / 29
Monday Night 33 / 29
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 37 / 29
Monday Night 33 / 30
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 36 / 29
Monday Night 35 / 32

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Morning Monday Afternoon Monday Evening Monday Night
Olympics SW 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
West North S 20-30 S 15-25 S 20-30 SW 20-30
West Central SW 20-30 SW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SW 20-30
West South SW 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 5-15 WSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 15-25 SW 10-20 SSW 10-20 WSW 15-25
East North WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 5-15 SW 10-20
East Central WSW 15-25 SW 10-20 SW 10-20 WSW 20-30
East South WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 10-20 WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood SW 10-20 SW 20-30 SW 25-35 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 20-30
Monday Afternoon SW 20-30
Monday Evening SW 15-25
Monday Night SW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 20-30
Monday Afternoon S 15-25
Monday Evening S 20-30
Monday Night SW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 20-30
Monday Afternoon SW 15-25
Monday Evening SSW 20-30
Monday Night SW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 15-25
Monday Afternoon SW 20-30
Monday Evening SW 20-30
Monday Night SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 10-20
Monday Afternoon SW 10-20
Monday Evening SSW 5-15
Monday Night WSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 15-25
Monday Afternoon SW 10-20
Monday Evening SSW 10-20
Monday Night WSW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 10-20
Monday Afternoon SW 10-20
Monday Evening SSW 5-15
Monday Night SW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 15-25
Monday Afternoon SW 10-20
Monday Evening SW 10-20
Monday Night WSW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 10-20
Monday Afternoon SW 10-20
Monday Evening SW 10-20
Monday Night WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SW 10-20
Monday Afternoon SW 20-30
Monday Evening SW 25-35
Monday Night WSW 25-35

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Mar 13, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.