Issued: 4:27 PM PST Saturday, February 26, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

430 PM: Corrected East North weather for Sunday. 

Take a look at the radar this afternoon and you'll see a north-south oriented frontal system over the Olympic Peninsula. Precipitation will shift inland this evening, but it won't be until around midnight that rain and snow spreads to the central/south Cascades and Mt. Hood. Strong south winds for places like Hurricane Ridge, Mt Baker and locally at Crystal Mt will continue overnight. The heaviest precipitation tonight will be over the SW slopes of the Olympics and the northwest Cascades.

An upper level feature will swing through late tomorrow morning, shifting us into a showery pattern. This will also diminish cool easterly flow in the Cascade Passes and begin to mix out much colder air along the east slopes of the Cascades during the afternoon. Snow levels for these areas should join the rest of the region and bump up to 3000-4000'. 

This first system will jostle our memory and remind us that we live in a wet place. An atmospheric river will take aim at the region Sunday evening through Tuesday morning. There are a number of potential precipitation outcomes, but storm totals will be measured in several inches (liquid) over a 48-60 hr period.  Monday looks to be the day that snow turns to rain and strong westerly winds override cool easterly flow in the Passes. Snow levels will be the highest in the south and will be relatively cooler closer to the Canadian border. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Night Light to moderate rain and snow overnight. Strong to extreme winds.
Sunday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light snowers in the late morning. Strong winds easing in the morning.
Saturday Night Moderate rain and snow overnight. Strong to extreme winds.
Sunday Moderate rain and snow becoming moderate showers late morning. Strong winds easing in the morning.
Saturday Night Light to moderate rain and snow overnight. Strong to extreme winds.
Sunday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light to moderate showers late morning. Strong winds easing in the morning.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow developing overnight. Strong to extreme winds, highest Crystal area.
Sunday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light to moderate showers late morning. Strong winds easing in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow developing overnight. Light to moderate east winds at Pass level and S winds at ridgeline.
Sunday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light showers late morning. Moderate SE winds at ridgeline and Pass level becoming W midday.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow developing overnight. Light to moderate east winds at Pass level and S winds at ridgeline.
Sunday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light showers late morning. Moderate SE winds at ridgeline and Pass level becoming W midday.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow developing overnight.
Sunday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow becoming light scattered showers mid-day.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow developing overnight.
Sunday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow becoming light scattered showers mid-day.
Saturday Night Light rain and snow developing overnight.
Sunday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow becoming light scattered showers mid-day.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow developing overnight. Winds increasing.
Sunday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow becoming light scattered showers mid-day.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 1.00 - 1.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00 0.75 -1.00 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 -1.00 2.00
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 1.50 - 2.00
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.75 1.50 - 2.00
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 1.50
Paradise 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 2.00 - 2.50
White Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 1.50
Washington Pass 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 1.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 1.00
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75
Monday 1.00 - 1.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Monday 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Monday 2.00
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 1.50 - 2.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75
Monday 1.50 - 2.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 1.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Monday 2.00 - 2.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 1.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 1.00
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 1.00 - 1.50

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening Sunday Night* Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon
Olympics 4500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 5000' 6000' 6000'
West North 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 5000'
West Central 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4500' 6500'
West South 3500' 3000' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4500' 6000' 7000'
Stevens Pass 1000' 1000' 1500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 6500'
East North 0 0 1000' 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000' 5500'
East Central 0 0 1000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500' 6000'
East South 1000' 2000' 2000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4500' 6000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4500' 5000' 5000' 5500' 6000' 7000' 7500'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening 4000'
Sunday Night* 5000'
Monday Morning* 6000'
Monday Afternoon 6000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 5000'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning* 4500'
Monday Afternoon 6500'
West South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening 4500'
Sunday Night* 4500'
Monday Morning* 6000'
Monday Afternoon 7000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 4500'
Monday Afternoon 6500'
East North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 2000'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 5500'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 6000'
East South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening 4000'
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday Morning* 4500'
Monday Afternoon 6000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon 5000'
Sunday Evening 5500'
Sunday Night* 6000'
Monday Morning* 7000'
Monday Afternoon 7500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Night Sunday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 29 30 / 27
West North 30 / 28 30 / 28
West Central 30 / 26 31 / 28
West South 31 / 28 32 / 31
Stevens Pass 27 / 24 31 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 26 / 24 30 / 26
East North 21 / 18 31 / 21
East Central 26 / 21 31 / 26
East South 31 / 23 32 / 31
Mt. Hood 33 / 30 33 / 32
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 29
Sunday 30 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 28
Sunday 30 / 28
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 26
Sunday 31 / 28
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 31 / 28
Sunday 32 / 31
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 27 / 24
Sunday 31 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 26 / 24
Sunday 30 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 21 / 18
Sunday 31 / 21
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 26 / 21
Sunday 31 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 31 / 23
Sunday 32 / 31
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 33 / 30
Sunday 33 / 32

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics S 35-50 SSW 35-50 SW 15-25 S 10-20
West North S 25-35 SSW 30-40 S 30-40 SW 10-20
West Central S 20-30 S 30-40 SW 30-40 SW 15-25
West South S 25-35 SSW 30-40 SW 30-40 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass S 10-20 S 15-25 SSE 15-25 WSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass S 15-25 S 15-25 SSE 20-30 WSW 15-25
East North SW 15-25 SW 15-25 SSW 15-25 WSW 15-25
East Central S 15-25 S 20-30 S 20-30 WSW 15-25
East South S 10-20 S 15-25 S 20-30 WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood S 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 30-40 SW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 35-50
Saturday Night SSW 35-50
Sunday Morning SW 15-25
Sunday Afternoon S 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 25-35
Saturday Night SSW 30-40
Sunday Morning S 30-40
Sunday Afternoon SW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 20-30
Saturday Night S 30-40
Sunday Morning SW 30-40
Sunday Afternoon SW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 25-35
Saturday Night SSW 30-40
Sunday Morning SW 30-40
Sunday Afternoon SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 10-20
Saturday Night S 15-25
Sunday Morning SSE 15-25
Sunday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 15-25
Saturday Night S 15-25
Sunday Morning SSE 20-30
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 15-25
Saturday Night SW 15-25
Sunday Morning SSW 15-25
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 15-25
Saturday Night S 20-30
Sunday Morning S 20-30
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 10-20
Saturday Night S 15-25
Sunday Morning S 20-30
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 15-25
Saturday Night SW 20-30
Sunday Morning SW 30-40
Sunday Afternoon SW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

The atmospheric river event will likely begin to dry up during the day Tuesday with unsetlled weather lingering into mid-week. Snow levels are unlikely to cool much during this stretch. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
West North 5000' 4500' 4500' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 5500' 5500' 5500'
Mt. Hood 7000' 6500' 7500' 7000'
West North Elevation
Monday Night 5000'
Tuesday 4500'
Tuesday Night 4500'
Wednesday 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night 6000'
Tuesday 5500'
Tuesday Night 5500'
Wednesday 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night 7000'
Tuesday 6500'
Tuesday Night 7500'
Wednesday 7000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 26, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.