Issued: 1:52 PM PST Friday, February 25, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We will transition from mostly clear skies this afternoon to increasing high clouds overnight as a Pacific frontal system approaches the region. Clouds will slowly thicken and lower on Saturday near and west of the Cascade crest. The east slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood area will likely have filtered sunshine earlier in the day until high clouds fill in. The frontal system will be shunted to the north as it makes slow progress running into an upper level ridge Saturday. Light precipitation should develop mid-day over the Olympics and by late Saturday afternoon for the northwest Cascades. These same areas will see strong southerly winds develop ahead of the frontal system. 

While precipitation will slowly spread east and southward Saturday night, the main focus will continue to be the Olympics and northwest Cascades. Increasing offshore flow will quickly cool the Cascades Passes and when the precipitation begins.

An upper level feature will swing through sometime Sunday morning and move us to a more showery post-frontal regime. This will also cause a slight bump in the snow levels and start to replace the cold air along the east slopes of the Cascades with relatively milder Pacific air. There's a high amount of uncertainty if warm frontal precipitation from a stronger and wetter system will begin over the Olympics Sunday afternoon or Sunday night. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Partly cloudy with high clouds in the evening, becoming high overcast after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light rain and snow developing mid-day. Winds increasing and becoming strong during the day.
Friday Night Mostly clear with a few high clouds in the evening, becoming high overcast after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light rain and snow developing mid to late afternoon. Winds increasing and becoming strong during the day.
Friday Night Mostly clear with a few high clouds in the evening, becoming high overcast after midnight.
Saturday Overcast in the morning, then cloudy with light rain and snow developing mid to late afternoon. Winds increasing and becoming moderate to strong during the day.
Friday Night Mostly clear with a few high clouds in the evening, becoming high overcast after midnight.
Saturday Overcast with clouds slowly lowering through the day. Winds increasing and becoming strong in the afternoon. Cooler for areas near the Cascade crest, milder for areas further west like Mt St Helens and Paradise.
Friday Night Mostly clear with a few high clouds in the evening, becoming high overcast after midnight. Light to moderate east winds at Pass level.
Saturday Overcast with clouds slowly lowering through the day. Light to moderate east winds at Pass level.
Friday Night Mostly clear with a few high clouds in the evening, becoming high overcast after midnight. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Saturday Overcast with clouds slowly lowering through the day. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, becoming partly cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Partly to mostly cloudy with filtered high clouds in the morning, becoming overcast in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, becoming partly cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Partly to mostly cloudy with filtered high clouds in the morning, becoming overcast in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, becoming partly cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Partly to mostly cloudy with filtered high clouds in the morning, becoming overcast in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, becoming partly cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Partly to mostly cloudy with filtered high clouds in the morning, becoming overcast in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 LT 0.25 0.50 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 LT 0.10 0.75 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.50
Stevens Pass 0 0 0.25 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.50
White Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Washington Pass 0 0 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0.25 LT 0.25
Timberline 0 0 0.25 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 3500' 5000' 5500' 4500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000'
West North 2000' 3500' 5000' 4500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
West Central 2000' 3000' 4500' 4500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000'
West South 2500' 3500' 4000' 5000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000'
Stevens Pass 1000' 1000' 1500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2000' 3000' 4000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
East North 0 0 0 2000' 1000' 0 1500' 3500'
East Central 0 0 0 1500' 1000' 0 1500' 3500'
East South 0 0 1000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 3000' 3500' 4000' 5500' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 3500'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning* 5000'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning* 4500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4500'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning* 4000'
Saturday Afternoon* 5000'
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 1000'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon* 4000'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning* 4000'
Saturday Afternoon* 5500'
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning* 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 25 31 / 26
West North 25 / 17 32 / 26
West Central 25 / 17 31 / 26
West South 26 / 19 34 / 26
Stevens Pass 24 / 15 26 / 16
Snoqualmie Pass 26 / 17 29 / 20
East North 20 / 12 23 / 15
East Central 19 / 13 25 / 17
East South 19 / 13 25 / 18
Mt. Hood 28 / 20 33 / 25
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 25
Saturday 31 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 17
Saturday 32 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 17
Saturday 31 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 26 / 19
Saturday 34 / 26
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 15
Saturday 26 / 16
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 26 / 17
Saturday 29 / 20
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 20 / 12
Saturday 23 / 15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 19 / 13
Saturday 25 / 17
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 19 / 13
Saturday 25 / 18
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 20
Saturday 33 / 25

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SW 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25 S 25-35
West North S 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25 S 25-35
West Central SW 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25 S 20-30
West South SW 5-15 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 20-30
Stevens Pass SW 0-10 S 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SW 0-10 S 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSE 10-20
East North WSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20
East Central SW 0-10 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25
East South SW 0-10 S 5-15 SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20
Mt. Hood SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night S 10-20
Saturday Morning S 15-25
Saturday Afternoon S 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 5-15
Friday Night S 10-20
Saturday Morning S 15-25
Saturday Afternoon S 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night S 10-20
Saturday Morning S 15-25
Saturday Afternoon S 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 10-20
Saturday Afternoon S 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning SSE 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning SSE 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SSE 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 5-15
Friday Night SW 5-15
Saturday Morning SSW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SSW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 10-20
Saturday Afternoon S 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning SSW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night SW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

The beginnings of an atmospheric river event should begin sometime Sunday afternoon through Monday morning as warm frontal moisture becomes trained on the area. There's a fair amount of forecast uncertainty but the broad strokes of moderate to heavy precipitation Monday-Tuesday along and slowly rising snow levels are a good bet. While this doesn't like a historic event in terms of precipitation amounts, this will be a sharp departure from the dry February we've experienced up to this point. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night* Monday * Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 3000' 4000' 5500' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 5500' 6000' 4500'
Mt. Hood 6000' 7000' 7000' 6000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday * 4000'
Monday Night* 5500'
Tuesday * 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday * 5500'
Monday Night* 6000'
Tuesday * 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night* 6000'
Monday * 7000'
Monday Night* 7000'
Tuesday * 6000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 25, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.