Issued: 2:10 PM PST Friday, January 7, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Winds and cooling temperatures will be the major stories at the tail end of a fairly historic rain/snow/ice storm that impacted the Pacific Northwest Wednesday through Friday.

A westerly surge of wind moved in behind a low that passed over the Cascades Friday morning. Winds of 60 mph, gusting 105 were reported at Mission Ridge at 1 PM. While we think these winds will peak during the afternoon hours, they will gradually decrease with strong winds remaining on exposed ridgelines near and east of the Cascade Crest from the Canadian border to Mt. Hood.

The strong winds will also bring cooling more rapidly than we typically experience in our region, mixing this cold air more effectively down to lower altitudes. Snow levels should drop to below 1500 ft by Saturday morning, only bumping up about 1000 ft during the day. These colder temperatures will allow what lingering moisture gets squeezed out of the clouds to accumulate at higher snow ratios. The central Cascades could pick up an additional 4-8" with 2-6" expected for Paradise and Mt. Hood. Light snow showers will continue on Saturday, shifting northward during the day, but only an inch or two can be expected as WNW winds become light.

Flow shifts easterly Saturday night and intensifies heading into Sunday. Snow showers end in the north Cascades Saturday evening as a high-pressure ridge amplifies into the region. Expect fair weather with increasingly mild temperatures west of the Cascade Crest, but cold temperatures remaining east of the Crest and getting sucked through the mountain gaps. These winds could be strong on Sunday, so if you're heading to the mountain passes, plan for cold temperatures and windy conditions.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Light snow showers.
Saturday Cloudy in the morning with very light snow possible in the afternoon.
Friday Night Very light snow showers.
Saturday Light snow showers increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Light snow showers (moderate in convergence).
Saturday Increasing light snow showers.
Friday Night Light snow showers. Strong ridgeline winds at White Pass and Crystal. Decreasing strong ridgeline winds near the Cascade Crest becoming moderate by morning.
Saturday Light snow showers.
Friday Night Decreasing light snow showers (moderate in convergence). Decreasing strong ridgeline winds dropping into the moderate range by morning. Moderate W wind becoming light by morning at the Pass.
Saturday Light snow showers. Light W wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Decreasing light snow showers (moderate in areas of convergence). Decreasing strong ridgeline winds dropping into the moderate range by morning. Moderate W wind becoming light by morning at the Pass.
Saturday Light snow showers. Light W wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with very light snow showers near the Cascade Crest.
Saturday Mostly cloudy in the morning with light snow showers in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing into the moderate range by morning.
Friday Night Decreasing light to occasionally moderate snow becoming light and showery overnight. Strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Mostly cloudy with light snow showers.
Friday Night Light snow showers. Strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Mostly cloudy with very light snow showers near the Cascade Crest.
Friday Night Increasing light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Strong ridgeline winds with extreme gusts.
Saturday Snow showers ending by late morning, then becoming partly cloudy.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Paradise 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Timberline 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 500' 500' 0 1500' 2000' 2000' 3500' 8500'
West North 0 0 0 1000' 500' 0 1500' 6500'
West Central 1000' 500' 0 1000' 500' 1000' 2000' 6000'
West South 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 3000' 6000'
Stevens Pass 1000' 1000' 500' 1000' 500' 1000' 1500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 500' 1000' 2500' 4000'
East North 500' 0 0 1000' 0 1000' 1000' 3500'
East Central 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 500' 1000' 2000' 3500'
East South 1500' 1000' 1000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 5500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500' 5500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 500'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 8500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 1000'
Saturday Evening 500'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 1000'
Saturday Evening 500'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 1000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 500'
Saturday Afternoon 1000'
Saturday Evening 500'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 500'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 500'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 1000'
Saturday Evening 0'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 500'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 5500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 18 / 14 25 / 18
West North 15 / 9 22 / 11
West Central 17 / 12 22 / 15
West South 21 / 16 25 / 17
Stevens Pass 18 / 15 23 / 16
Snoqualmie Pass 19 / 17 24 / 17
East North 16 / 11 22 / 11
East Central 18 / 15 24 / 16
East South 21 / 18 26 / 18
Mt. Hood 24 / 20 27 / 19
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 18 / 14
Saturday 25 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 15 / 9
Saturday 22 / 11
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 17 / 12
Saturday 22 / 15
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 16
Saturday 25 / 17
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 18 / 15
Saturday 23 / 16
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 19 / 17
Saturday 24 / 17
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 16 / 11
Saturday 22 / 11
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 18 / 15
Saturday 24 / 16
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 18
Saturday 26 / 18
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 20
Saturday 27 / 19

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics W 10-20 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 10-20
West North WSW 15-25 W 15-25 W 5-15 SW 5-15
West Central W 20-30 WNW 15-25 W 5-15 SW 5-15
West South W 30-40 W 20-30 WSW 10-20 SW 5-15
Stevens Pass W 25-35 W 15-25 W 10-20 WSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 25-35 WNW 25-35 W 15-25 W 5-15
East North W 30-40 W 20-30 W 10-20 WSW 5-15
East Central W 35-50 WNW 25-35 W 10-20 W 10-20
East South W 30-40 W 15-25 W 10-20 WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood WSW 30-40 W 30-40 WSW 15-25 SW 0-10
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning WSW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 15-25
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 20-30
Friday Night WNW 15-25
Saturday Morning W 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 30-40
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 25-35
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 25-35
Friday Night WNW 25-35
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 30-40
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 35-50
Friday Night WNW 25-35
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 30-40
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 30-40
Friday Night W 30-40
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 0-10

Extended Weather Synopsis

The ridge over our region flattens and slides slightly eastward Sunday night and Monday, opening the door for a series of mild frontal systems to ride over the top. The feature will bring increasing cloud cover Sunday night and mostly cloudy skies Monday morning before light rain and higher elevation snow move into Washington State. While west slope snow levels should be around 5000-6000 ft, sustained E flow throughout the extended forecast should lower snow levels locally in the mountain passes and for any precipitation spillover onto the east slopes of the Cascades. WSW flow continues Monday night with the potential for heavier rain and snow later Tuesday with another warm storm impacting NW Washington.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night* Monday * Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 4000' 5000' 3500' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 3000' 3000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4500' 5500' 7000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday * 5000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday * 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday * 3000'
Monday Night* 3000'
Tuesday * 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday * 4500'
Monday Night* 5500'
Tuesday * 7000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 7, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.