Issued: 1:49 PM PST Wednesday, December 29, 2021
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Our next snowstorm is right on the doorstep this afternoon. High clouds have begun to slide over the northern half of the forecast region. As we head into the evening hours, clouds will continue to thicken and lower in all areas. We're in for yet another cold night. Expect low temperatures in the teens and single digets with wind chill values well below 0F. Brrrr! Light snow could begin to fall in the Olympics and near the Canadian border this evening, but the bulk of the precipitation won't arrive in other mountain areas until closer to midnight. Look for snow to spread quickly from NW to SE. While a few showers will find their way east of the Cascade Crest, the focus of this storm will fall on the west slopes of the central and southern Cascades. As the system arrives, expect the ridgetop winds to increase dramatically. More wind-prone locations like Hurricane Ridge, Mission Ridge, and Mt Hood could see very strong to extreme westerly winds. As precipitation tapers off and the system slides into Oregon, wind speeds should quickly decrease and turn more northerly. By Thursday afternoon lingering snow showers and light winds should be all that's left of the quick-moving storm. A weak Puget Sound Convergence Zone may bring localized heavier snowfall to some spots mainly between Hwy 2 and I90. However, this narrow band of precipitation looks ill-defined and doesn't seem to linger for very long. 

On Friday, skies should begin to clear especially in the northern and eastern portions of the forecast area as a high-pressure ridge tries to build over the Pacfic Northwest. A few stray showers could linger near Mt Hood, but in general, we should have dry and cold condtions in store. This break in the weather appears to extend into the weekend as drier air passes overhead between two storm systems. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow showers. Very strong westerly winds increasing overnight.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with snow showers mainly in the morning. Strong winds in the morning quickly decreasing and becoming light.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow showers. Cold. Moderate SW winds becoming strong.
Thursday Cloudy with snow showers particularly in the morning. Cold. Moderate winds decreasing quickly and becoming more northerly.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow mainly after midnight. Moderate SW winds becoming strong.
Thursday Cloudy with snow mainly in the morning. Moderate W winds becoming calm. A weak Puget Sound Convergence Zone could bring locally heavier precip in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow mainly after midnight. Moderate W winds increasing slightly overnight.
Thursday Snow, heaviest near the volcanoes. Strong W winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow mainly after midnight. Moderate W winds increasing slightly overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with snow mainly in the morning. Moderate W winds quickly decreasing. Light E flow developing at Pass level. A weak Puget Sound Convergence Zone could bring locally heavier precip in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow mainly after midnight. Moderate W winds increasing and becoming strong overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with snow mainly in the morning. Moderate W winds quickly decreasing. Light E flow developing at Pass level. A weak Puget Sound Convergence Zone could bring locally heavier precip in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy and cold. Isolated snow showers. Moderate to strong W winds increasing slightly overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with some clearing possible in the afternoon. Cold. Isolated snow showers near the crest. Winds decreasing significantly and becoming calm.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with isolated snow showers near the crest. Strong to extreme W winds increasing overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with scattered snow showers, heaviest near the crest. W winds decreasing significantly and turning northerly.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy. W winds increasing significantly and becoming very strong to extreme.
Thursday Cloudy with snow showers heaviest near the crest. Very strong W winds decreasing significantly in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy. W winds increasing significantly and becoming very strong to extreme.
Thursday Cloudy with moderate to occasionally heavy snow. Very strong W winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 0.25 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0 0
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.50 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Paradise LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.10 0
White Pass LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.25 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 1.00 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Timberline 0 1.00 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.75
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 0 0 1000' 500' 0 0 500' 500'
West North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500'
West South 0 0 500' 1000' 0 0 500' 1000'
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 500' 0 0 0 500'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 500' 0 0 0 500'
East North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 500' 0 0 0 500'
East South 0 0 500' 1000' 0 0 500' 100'
Mt. Hood 0 0 1000' 1500' 500' 500' 1000' 1500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 500'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 500'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 1000'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 1000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 500'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 500'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 1000'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 100'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening 0'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 1500'
Thursday Evening* 500'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 21 / 13 22 / 9
West North 13 / 3 15 / 3
West Central 14 / 5 17 / 15
West South 15 / 5 21 / 15
Stevens Pass 13 / 6 17 / 13
Snoqualmie Pass 13 / 8 19 / 15
East North 13 / 5 13 / -2
East Central 14 / 3 15 / 13
East South 15 / 3 22 / 14
Mt. Hood 18 / 1 23 / 16
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 13
Thursday 22 / 9
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 13 / 3
Thursday 15 / 3
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 14 / 5
Thursday 17 / 15
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 15 / 5
Thursday 21 / 15
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 13 / 6
Thursday 17 / 13
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 13 / 8
Thursday 19 / 15
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 13 / 5
Thursday 13 / -2
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 14 / 3
Thursday 15 / 13
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 15 / 3
Thursday 22 / 14
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 18 / 1
Thursday 23 / 16

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics W 15-25 W 35-50 NW 15-25 VAR 0-10
West North SW 10-20 SW 20-30 NW 15-25 NE 0-10
West Central WSW 10-20 SW 20-30 W 15-25 VAR 0-10
West South W 5-15 W 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 10-20
Stevens Pass W 10-20 W 15-25 W 10-20 E 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 W 20-30 W 15-25 E 5-15
East North W 15-25 W 20-30 WSW 5-15 VAR 0-10
East Central W 30-40 W 35-50 W 15-25 NNW 5-15
East South W 20-30 W 40-55 W 35-50 WNW 5-15
Mt. Hood W 20-30 W 40-55 W 35-50 W 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 15-25
Wednesday Night W 35-50
Thursday Morning NW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 20-30
Thursday Morning NW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon NE 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 20-30
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 5-15
Wednesday Night W 20-30
Thursday Morning WSW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 10-20
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon E 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 10-20
Wednesday Night W 20-30
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon E 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 15-25
Wednesday Night W 20-30
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 30-40
Wednesday Night W 35-50
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon NNW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 20-30
Wednesday Night W 40-55
Thursday Morning W 35-50
Thursday Afternoon WNW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 20-30
Wednesday Night W 40-55
Thursday Morning W 35-50
Thursday Afternoon W 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

The break in the weather looks short-lived as we head into the weekend. A flattening high-pressure ridge begins to give way by Saturday morning allowing clouds and maybe a few snow showers to find their way into the area. A short-wave feature could help enhance some of this shower activity, but at the moment any snow accumulations looks very modest. A much larger and well-developed low-pressure system should slide down the coast of British Columbia late Saturday night into Sunday. Steady snowfall appears to spread across the Pacific Northwest from N to S the low pass just off the coast. While temperatures may warm slightly compared to the recent weather, snow levels should remain well below pass and mountain trailhead locations. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday Saturday Night* Sunday *
West North 0 500' 1500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 1000' 1500' 1500'
Mt. Hood 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday 500'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday * 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday 1000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday * 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday 1000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday * 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 29, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.