Issued: 7:00 AM PST Thursday, December 16, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

The deep and cold upper level trough that has delivered cold temperatures and snow showers all week is starting slide to the east as it shifts inland. One final upper level shortwave will slide down the backside of the trough today in NW flow aloft, bringing light snow to the mountains once again.  A Puget Sound convergence zone, currently pegged around Snohomish County Thursday morning will drift southward towards I-90 by late morning as the upper level feature veers the low-level wind field to more W-NW by this afternoon.  Expect occasionally moderate snowfall rates in and near the convergence zone today with up to 6 inches of snow possible from the Mtn Loop area, Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes areas and with lighter snowfall amounts likely elsewhere.  WNW winds will kick up this afternoon for the central Cascades into the moderate-strong range and strong winds down at Mt Hood will increase further this afternoon. 

Snow showers will taper off tonight.  Low level clouds will linger along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood, partially trapped by a weak upper level ridge building offshore. 

A stronger Pacific frontal system offshore will begin to spread high level clouds over the region from mid-day onward.  Freezing levels will stay on the cool side during the short term. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Cloudy with occasional light snow showers.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a few light snow showers possible in the evening.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a few light snow showers possible in the evening.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers becoming scattered in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers from mid-morning onward.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers becoming scattered in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline and Pass level westerly winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening. Moderate west winds at Pass level becoming variable overnight.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers developing. Moderate to strong ridgeline and Pass level westerly winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening. Moderate west winds at Pass level becoming variable overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers from mid-morning onward.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers near the Cascade crest. Moderate ridgeline winds increasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers near the Cascade crest. Moderate ridgeline winds increasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening.
Thursday Cloudy with light snow showers starting late morning. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds increasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 0 0
Stevens Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Paradise LT 0.25 0 0
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Timberline 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon*
Olympics 1500' 2000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2000'
West North 500' 1500' 1000' 500' 1000' 1500'
West Central 500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2000'
West South 500' 2000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2000'
Stevens Pass 500' 2000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 2000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2000'
East North 0 1500' 1000' 500' 1000' 1500'
East Central 0 2000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500'
East South 500' 2500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 1500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 2000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 1500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Thursday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 26 / 20 20 / 16
West North 23 / 17 17 / 11
West Central 24 / 20 21 / 14
West South 27 / 20 24 / 18
Stevens Pass 26 / 19 22 / 15
Snoqualmie Pass 26 / 20 21 / 15
East North 23 / 17 15 / 10
East Central 25 / 18 21 / 15
East South 26 / 18 22 / 16
Mt. Hood 26 / 22 26 / 22
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 20
Thursday Night 20 / 16
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 23 / 17
Thursday Night 17 / 11
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 24 / 20
Thursday Night 21 / 14
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 27 / 20
Thursday Night 24 / 18
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 19
Thursday Night 22 / 15
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 20
Thursday Night 21 / 15
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 23 / 17
Thursday Night 15 / 10
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 25 / 18
Thursday Night 21 / 15
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 18
Thursday Night 22 / 16
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 22
Thursday Night 26 / 22

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night
Olympics WNW 10-20 WNW 5-15 WNW 0-10 W 5-15
West North WNW 10-20 WNW 0-10 VAR 0-10 SW 0-10
West Central WNW 15-25 NW 10-20 NW 5-15 SW 0-10
West South W 5-15 WNW 10-20 W 10-20 W 5-15
Stevens Pass W 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 5-15 W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 WNW 20-30 WNW 10-20 W 5-15
East North W 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20 WNW 5-15
East Central W 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20 W 5-15
East South W 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25 WNW 5-15
Mt. Hood W 15-25 W 25-35 W 25-35 W 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WNW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 5-15
Thursday Evening WNW 0-10
Thursday Night W 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WNW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 0-10
Thursday Evening VAR 0-10
Thursday Night SW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WNW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon NW 10-20
Thursday Evening NW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Thursday Evening W 10-20
Thursday Night W 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Thursday Evening WNW 5-15
Thursday Night W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 20-30
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night W 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night WNW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night W 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Thursday Evening WNW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 25-35
Thursday Evening W 25-35
Thursday Night W 20-30

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 15, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.