Issued: 9:55 AM PST Saturday, December 11, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

Forecast updated at 1000 to fix an error in the wind forecast at Hurricane Ridge.

A strong occluded frontal system at the leading edge of a deep trough continues to bring stormy weather and heavy mountain snowfall to the Pacific Northwest.

The front has reached Seattle as of 7 AM Saturday morning. The heaviest snowfall should occur during the morning hours as the front progresses ESE. The cold frontal passage shortly after 8 AM should shift cold low-level E flow to westerly through the mountain gaps, potentially resulting in a shift to rain for a portion of the day below 3500 ft at Snoqualmie Pass and along the east slopes of the Cascades. Cold air and moisture should continue to filter into the region behind the front with moderate to locally very intense, snow showers. Some convergence has already started to form (focused on the Mountain Loop northward). The heaviest snow will remain ahead, focusing increasingly on the southern Cascades and Mt. Hood as the day progresses.

Moderate snow showers continue Saturday night with further cooling and decreasing winds. A disturbance crosses the Cascades in the early morning hours, bringing a period of more organized snowfall.

Light to moderate snow showers continue on Sunday with snow levels below 1500 ft and light winds enabling high snow/water ratios.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Moderate rain and snow early tampering to light snow showers as temperatures cool. Moderate winds gusting strong at ridgelines. Strong ridgeline wind gusts early in the day.
Saturday Night Moderate snow showers, increasing overnight.
Saturday Heavy snow in the morning, becoming moderate snow showers. Strong ridgeline wind gusts early in the day.
Saturday Night Moderate snow showers heavy at times, increasing overnight.
Saturday Heavy rain and snow tapering to moderate snow showers during the afternoon.
Saturday Night Moderate snow showers increasing overnight.
Saturday Very heavy rain and snow at Paradise, becoming moderate in the afternoon. Decreasing moderate rain and snow at Crystal and White Passes. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Saturday Night Moderate snow showers, heaviest at Paradise and increasing overnight.
Saturday Very heavy rain and snow tapering to moderate snow showers. Variable winds become light to moderate out of the west at the Pass. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Saturday Night Moderate snow showers, increasing overnight. Light to occasionally moderate W wind at the Pass.
Saturday Very heavy rain and snow tapering to moderate snow showers. Variable winds become light to moderate out of the west at the Pass. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Saturday Night Moderate snow showers, increasing overnight. Light to occasionally moderate W wind at the Pass.
Saturday Moderate to heavy rain and snow tapering to light to moderate snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light to moderate snow showers.
Saturday Heavy rain and snow in the morning tapering to light to moderate rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light snow showers.
Saturday Decreasing moderate to heavy rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light to moderate snow showers.
Saturday Heavy to very heavy rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Moderate to heavy snow showers.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 0.75 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 1.00 0.50 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Paradise 1.50 0.75 0.50
White Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 1.00 0.50 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.75 -1.00 0.50 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline 1.50 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.50
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.50
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.50
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon*
Olympics 4000' 2500' 1000' 500' 500' 1000'
West North 2500' 2500' 1500' 0 500' 1000'
West Central 3000' 3000' 2000' 500' 500' 1000'
West South 3000' 3500' 2500' 1500' 1000' 1500'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3000' 2000' 500' 1000' 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1000' 1000'
East North 2000' 3500' 2000' 0 0 1000'
East Central 2500' 3500' 2500' 500' 500' 1000'
East South 3000' 3500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 1500' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Morning* 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 1000'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
West South Elevation
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
East North Elevation
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
East South Elevation
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Morning* 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Saturday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 31 / 20 20 / 15
West North 27 / 20 20 / 17
West Central 27 / 24 23 / 18
West South 29 / 23 24 / 18
Stevens Pass 30 / 25 24 / 18
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 24 23 / 18
East North 28 / 23 21 / 15
East Central 29 / 25 22 / 17
East South 30 / 23 23 / 18
Mt. Hood 31 / 28 26 / 20
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 31 / 20
Saturday Night 20 / 15
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 27 / 20
Saturday Night 20 / 17
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 27 / 24
Saturday Night 23 / 18
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 23
Saturday Night 24 / 18
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 30 / 25
Saturday Night 24 / 18
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 24
Saturday Night 23 / 18
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 28 / 23
Saturday Night 21 / 15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 25
Saturday Night 22 / 17
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 30 / 23
Saturday Night 23 / 18
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 31 / 28
Saturday Night 26 / 20

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night
Olympics SW 20-30 SW 15-25 SW 15-25 WSW 15-25
West North SW 20-30 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SSW 15-25
West Central SW 25-35 SW 20-30 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
West South SW 20-30 WSW 20-30 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25
Stevens Pass WSW 20-30 WSW 20-30 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 20-30 W 20-30 W 15-25 WSW 10-20
East North SW 20-30 WSW 25-35 WSW 20-30 SW 15-25
East Central WSW 30-40 WSW 25-35 W 20-30 WSW 20-30
East South SW 25-35 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood SW 30-40 SW 25-35 WSW 25-35 WSW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
Saturday Evening SW 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Saturday Evening WSW 15-25
Saturday Night SSW 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SW 25-35
Saturday Afternoon SW 20-30
Saturday Evening SW 15-25
Saturday Night SW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Saturday Evening WSW 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Saturday Evening WSW 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
Saturday Evening W 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Saturday Evening WSW 20-30
Saturday Night SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning WSW 30-40
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Saturday Evening W 20-30
Saturday Night WSW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SW 25-35
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Saturday Evening WSW 15-25
Saturday Night WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SW 30-40
Saturday Afternoon SW 25-35
Saturday Evening WSW 25-35
Saturday Night WSW 20-30

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 11, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.