Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, December 3, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A pattern shift has finally arrived, bringing the cold temperatures and a series of potent weather systems to our region.

The first system approaching from the west brings light rain and snow to the mountains of Washington State late Friday night and moderate to heavy rain and snow peaking Saturday morning in most areas. With cold air already in place, areas north of Mt. Rainier should experience all snow at Pass levels. Low-level E flow through into early Saturday morning should help ensure frozen precipitation in these areas. Precipitation arrives later Saturday morning for Mt Hood, where milder temperatures relegate accumulations at Mt. Hood to 7000 ft and higher, despite cooling temperatures across the region during the storm. Expect strong ridgeline winds from Mt. Rainier southward on Saturday as well. Mount Hood could see strong or extreme WSW winds peaking late Saturday. Light snow showers taper to flurries Saturday night as temperatures drop sharply with a shift to WNW winds. Storm totals for this system should be in the 6-14" range for the Washington Cascades near and west of the Cascade Crest, with the highest amounts likely for Stevens Pass, Snoqualmie Pass, and Paradise.

Sunday starts quite cold day with freezing levels rebounding to 1500 in the north and 3000 ft in the south by afternoon. Low clouds banked against the west slopes of the Cascades should retreat in the morning with mid and high cloud cover obscuring sunshine across the region by afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday Night Light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Moderate to heavy snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing clouds with light snow developing by daybreak.
Saturday Heavy rain and snow at Paradise with moderate rain and snow at Crystal and White Passes. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Friday Night Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours. Light E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Heavy snow in the morning, becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours. Light E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Heavy snow in the morning, becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing clouds.
Saturday Light to moderate rain and snow.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening with clouds increasing overnight. Strong ridgeline winds develop after midnight.
Saturday Light rain and high elevation snow in the morning becoming moderate by afternoon. High snow levels decreasing slightly. Strong ridgeline winds with extreme gusts.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0.50 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 1.00 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 1.00 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Paradise 0 1.00 LT 0.10 0
White Pass LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Timberline 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 3500' 3500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 500' 1000' 2000'
West North 3000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 1000' 0 500' 1500'
West Central 4500' 3500' 2500' 2000' 1500' 0 500' 1500'
West South 5500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 1500' 1000' 2500'
Stevens Pass 4000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 500' 500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 4500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 500' 1000' 2000'
East North 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 1500' 0 500' 1500'
East Central 4000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 500' 500' 2000'
East South 5000' 4500' 4500' 4000' 5000' 2000' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 9500' 9500' 8500' 7500' 6000' 4500' 2500' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 3500'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 1000'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 5500'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning 4500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Saturday Evening 5000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 9500'
Friday Night* 9500'
Saturday Morning 8500'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'
Saturday Evening 6000'
Saturday Night 4500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 28 / 22 26 / 18
West North 25 / 21 23 / 17
West Central 27 / 23 23 / 21
West South 33 / 27 34 / 26
Stevens Pass 25 / 22 25 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 27 / 23 25 / 22
East North 22 / 20 24 / 19
East Central 26 / 23 28 / 23
East South 32 / 26 34 / 28
Mt. Hood 38 / 34 37 / 34
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 22
Saturday 26 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 21
Saturday 23 / 17
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 27 / 23
Saturday 23 / 21
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 27
Saturday 34 / 26
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 22
Saturday 25 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 27 / 23
Saturday 25 / 22
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 22 / 20
Saturday 24 / 19
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 26 / 23
Saturday 28 / 23
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 26
Saturday 34 / 28
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 38 / 34
Saturday 37 / 34

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 0-10 SSW 5-15 SW 5-15 NW 0-10
West North S 0-10 S 5-15 SSW 10-20 WNW 5-15
West Central SE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SW 15-25 WNW 10-20
West South SSE 0-10 SW 10-20 WSW 20-30 WSW 20-30
Stevens Pass SE 0-10 S 0-10 WSW 10-20 W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 5-15 SSE 0-10 WSW 10-20 WNW 10-20
East North S 0-10 SSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 15-25
East Central S 0-10 SW 10-20 WSW 25-35 W 20-30
East South SSW 0-10 WSW 10-20 WSW 20-30 WSW 20-30
Mt. Hood WSW 15-25 WSW 30-40 WSW 30-40 WSW 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 0-10
Friday Night SSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon NW 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning SSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SE 5-15
Friday Night SSE 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WNW 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSE 0-10
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SE 0-10
Friday Night S 0-10
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening ESE 5-15
Friday Night SSE 0-10
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 0-10
Friday Night SSW 5-15
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 0-10
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 0-10
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 15-25
Friday Night WSW 30-40
Saturday Morning WSW 30-40
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35-50

Extended Weather Synopsis

The second potent low arrives from the WNW late Sunday night with the low center tracking across Washington State on Monday. While the exact details of this system remain uncertain, expect moderate snow for many areas and the possibility for some snow accumulations in the Cascade Foothills. Wrap-around moisture increases the chances for snow at low elevations along the east slopes of the Cascades as well. Mt. Hood should expect snow levels to rise to 5000 ft or slightly higher as it stays in the warmer sector of the storm. Drying northerly flow cuts off snowfall quickly late Monday. Expect a cold night with clearing skies Monday night.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 0 1000' 1000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 2000' 2500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 5000' 4500' 5000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 0'
Monday 1000'
Monday Night 1000'
Tuesday 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 500'
Monday 2000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 3500'
Monday 5000'
Monday Night 4500'
Tuesday 5000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 2, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.