A pattern shift has finally arrived, bringing the cold temperatures and a series of potent weather systems to our region.
The first system approaching from the west brings light rain and snow to the mountains of Washington State late Friday night and moderate to heavy rain and snow peaking Saturday morning in most areas. With cold air already in place, areas north of Mt. Rainier should experience all snow at Pass levels. Low-level E flow through into early Saturday morning should help ensure frozen precipitation in these areas. Precipitation arrives later Saturday morning for Mt Hood, where milder temperatures relegate accumulations at Mt. Hood to 7000 ft and higher, despite cooling temperatures across the region during the storm. Expect strong ridgeline winds from Mt. Rainier southward on Saturday as well. Mount Hood could see strong or extreme WSW winds peaking late Saturday. Light snow showers taper to flurries Saturday night as temperatures drop sharply with a shift to WNW winds. Storm totals for this system should be in the 6-14" range for the Washington Cascades near and west of the Cascade Crest, with the highest amounts likely for Stevens Pass, Snoqualmie Pass, and Paradise.
Sunday starts quite cold day with freezing levels rebounding to 1500 in the north and 3000 ft in the south by afternoon. Low clouds banked against the west slopes of the Cascades should retreat in the morning with mid and high cloud cover obscuring sunshine across the region by afternoon.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday
Night
Light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday
Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday
Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday
Moderate to heavy snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Increasing clouds with light snow developing by daybreak.
Saturday
Heavy rain and snow at Paradise with moderate rain and snow at Crystal and White Passes. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Friday
Night
Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours. Light E winds at the Pass.
Saturday
Heavy snow in the morning, becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours. Light E winds at the Pass.
Saturday
Heavy snow in the morning, becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday
Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Increasing clouds with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday
Moderate snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Increasing clouds.
Saturday
Light to moderate rain and snow.
Friday
Night
Mostly clear in the evening with clouds increasing overnight. Strong ridgeline winds develop after midnight.
Saturday
Light rain and high elevation snow in the morning becoming moderate by afternoon. High snow levels decreasing slightly. Strong ridgeline winds with extreme gusts.
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, December 3, 2021
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
Saturday
Saturday Night
Sunday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
0.50
0
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
0
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
LT 0.10
0.75 -1.00
0
0
Stevens Pass
LT 0.10
1.00
LT 0.10
0
Snoqualmie Pass
LT 0.10
1.00
LT 0.10
0
Crystal Mt
0
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
0
Paradise
0
1.00
LT 0.10
0
White Pass
LT 0.10
0.50
LT 0.10
0
Washington Pass
LT 0.25
0.50
0
0
Mission Ridge
0
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.10
0.75
LT 0.10
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.10
0
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
0
Timberline
0
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
0
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.50
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
0
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
1.00
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
1.00
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
0
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
1.00
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0.50
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
0.50
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
0
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
0.75
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
0
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
0
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, December 3, 2021
Snow Level (ft)
Friday
Evening*
Friday
Night*
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Saturday
Evening
Saturday
Night
Sunday
Morning
Sunday
Afternoon
Olympics
3500'
3500'
2000'
1500'
1500'
500'
1000'
2000'
West North
3000'
2500'
2000'
1500'
1000'
0
500'
1500'
West Central
4500'
3500'
2500'
2000'
1500'
0
500'
1500'
West South
5500'
4500'
4000'
3500'
3500'
1500'
1000'
2500'
Stevens Pass
4000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2000'
500'
500'
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass
4500'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2000'
500'
1000'
2000'
East North
2500'
2500'
2500'
2500'
1500'
0
500'
1500'
East Central
4000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
500'
500'
2000'
East South
5000'
4500'
4500'
4000'
5000'
2000'
1500'
2500'
Mt. Hood
9500'
9500'
8500'
7500'
6000'
4500'
2500'
3000'
Olympics
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
3500'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
1500'
Saturday
Evening
1500'
Saturday
Night
500'
Sunday
Morning
1000'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
West North
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
3000'
Friday
Night*
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2000'
Saturday
Afternoon
1500'
Saturday
Evening
1000'
Saturday
Night
0'
Sunday
Morning
500'
Sunday
Afternoon
1500'
West Central
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4500'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
2000'
Saturday
Evening
1500'
Saturday
Night
0'
Sunday
Morning
500'
Sunday
Afternoon
1500'
West South
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
5500'
Friday
Night*
4500'
Saturday
Morning
4000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
1500'
Sunday
Morning
1000'
Sunday
Afternoon
2500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
2500'
Saturday
Evening
2000'
Saturday
Night
500'
Sunday
Morning
500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4500'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
2500'
Saturday
Evening
2000'
Saturday
Night
500'
Sunday
Morning
1000'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
East North
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
2500'
Friday
Night*
2500'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
2500'
Saturday
Evening
1500'
Saturday
Night
0'
Sunday
Morning
500'
Sunday
Afternoon
1500'
East Central
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
2500'
Saturday
Night
500'
Sunday
Morning
500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
East South
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
5000'
Friday
Night*
4500'
Saturday
Morning
4500'
Saturday
Afternoon
4000'
Saturday
Evening
5000'
Saturday
Night
2000'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
9500'
Friday
Night*
9500'
Saturday
Morning
8500'
Saturday
Afternoon
7500'
Saturday
Evening
6000'
Saturday
Night
4500'
Sunday
Morning
2500'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, December 3, 2021
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Friday
Night
Saturday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
28 / 22
26 / 18
West North
25 / 21
23 / 17
West Central
27 / 23
23 / 21
West South
33 / 27
34 / 26
Stevens Pass
25 / 22
25 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass
27 / 23
25 / 22
East North
22 / 20
24 / 19
East Central
26 / 23
28 / 23
East South
32 / 26
34 / 28
Mt. Hood
38 / 34
37 / 34
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
28 / 22
Saturday
26 / 18
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
25 / 21
Saturday
23 / 17
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
27 / 23
Saturday
23 / 21
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
33 / 27
Saturday
34 / 26
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
25 / 22
Saturday
25 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
27 / 23
Saturday
25 / 22
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
22 / 20
Saturday
24 / 19
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
26 / 23
Saturday
28 / 23
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
32 / 26
Saturday
34 / 28
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
38 / 34
Saturday
37 / 34
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, December 3, 2021
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Olympics
SSW 0-10
SSW 5-15
SW 5-15
NW 0-10
West North
S 0-10
S 5-15
SSW 10-20
WNW 5-15
West Central
SE 5-15
SSE 5-15
SW 15-25
WNW 10-20
West South
SSE 0-10
SW 10-20
WSW 20-30
WSW 20-30
Stevens Pass
SE 0-10
S 0-10
WSW 10-20
W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
ESE 5-15
SSE 0-10
WSW 10-20
WNW 10-20
East North
S 0-10
SSW 5-15
WSW 10-20
W 15-25
East Central
S 0-10
SW 10-20
WSW 25-35
W 20-30
East South
SSW 0-10
WSW 10-20
WSW 20-30
WSW 20-30
Mt. Hood
WSW 15-25
WSW 30-40
WSW 30-40
WSW 35-50
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SSW
0-10
Friday
Night
SSW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SW
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
NW
0-10
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
S
0-10
Friday
Night
S
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SSW
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
WNW
5-15
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SE
5-15
Friday
Night
SSE
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SW
15-25
Saturday
Afternoon
WNW
10-20
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SSE
0-10
Friday
Night
SW
10-20
Saturday
Morning
WSW
20-30
Saturday
Afternoon
WSW
20-30
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SE
0-10
Friday
Night
S
0-10
Saturday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
W
10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
ESE
5-15
Friday
Night
SSE
0-10
Saturday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
WNW
10-20
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
S
0-10
Friday
Night
SSW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
W
15-25
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
S
0-10
Friday
Night
SW
10-20
Saturday
Morning
WSW
25-35
Saturday
Afternoon
W
20-30
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SSW
0-10
Friday
Night
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Morning
WSW
20-30
Saturday
Afternoon
WSW
20-30
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
WSW
15-25
Friday
Night
WSW
30-40
Saturday
Morning
WSW
30-40
Saturday
Afternoon
WSW
35-50
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, December 3, 2021
Extended Weather Synopsis
The second potent low arrives from the WNW late Sunday night with the low center tracking across Washington State on Monday. While the exact details of this system remain uncertain, expect moderate snow for many areas and the possibility for some snow accumulations in the Cascade Foothills. Wrap-around moisture increases the chances for snow at low elevations along the east slopes of the Cascades as well. Mt. Hood should expect snow levels to rise to 5000 ft or slightly higher as it stays in the warmer sector of the storm. Drying northerly flow cuts off snowfall quickly late Monday. Expect a cold night with clearing skies Monday night.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).