Issued: 7:18 AM PDT Friday, March 28, 2014
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday & Tuesday

Radar echoes from a late March storm have begun to spread over the Pacific Northwest this morning.  A north-south oriented frontal system extending from a deep upper low well offshore at 140W/48N should pass through the area today, with the occluded front passing through the Cascades in the early afternoon.  Early on with this system the best orographics and lift should be focused on volcanoes and southern slopes, especially over the Mt. Hood area where heavy rain and snow is expected.  

Cool easterly flow will initially keep wet snow going at Snoqualmie through late morning, but a gradual rise in snow levels should produce a switch to rain...with snow levels peaking across the area in the afternoon.   

Showers in SW flow should follow tonight through Saturday morning along with a slight drop in snow levels.  A shortwave rotating around the slowly approaching upper level low should reinvigorate showers on Saturday...with the heaviest shower activity expected in the Mt. Baker area.  An increasingly cold and unstable air mass aloft on Saturday may allow for thunderstorms as well, particularly in the afternoon and evening.  Light to moderate showers should continue Saturday night with a cooling trend. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day

Light to moderate rain and snow, heaviest volcanoes and south slopes.  Gradual warming except snow levels locally lower near the Cascade Passes.

Friday Afternoon

Light to moderate rain and snow showers.  Warmer. 

Friday Night - Saturday Morning

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers.   Slight cooling trend. 

Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Evening

Light to moderate rain and snow showers, except occasionally heavy around Mt. Baker.   Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, heaviest volcanoes and south slopes.  Gradual warming except snow levels locally lower northeast Cascades.

Friday Afternoon

Light to moderate rain and snow showers.  Warmer. 

Friday Night - Saturday Morning

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers.   Slight cooling trend. 

Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Evening

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers.   Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. 

Mt. Hood Area
Friday

Stormy with moderate to heavy rain and snow, gradual warming. 

Friday Night - Saturday Morning

Becoming mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers.   Slight cooling trend. 

Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Evening

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers.   Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Morning Freezing Level * 4500' ' ' ' ' 3000' ' 4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level * 5000' ' ' ' ' 5000' ' 5500'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level 3500' ' ' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 4000' ' ' ' ' 4000' ' 4500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Freezing Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Tuesday
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 0 - 1.50
Washington Pass 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 - 0.75 0.75 - 1.00
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 0 - 1.50
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 1.50 0 - 0.75
0 - 2.00 0 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day S 15 - 25 --- - SSE 15 - 25 --- - SW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 15 - 25 --- - SW 20 - 30
Saturday SW 15 - 25 --- - SW 15 - 25 --- - SW 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day S 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day --- -
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night --- -
Saturday --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day SSE 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night SW 15 - 25
Saturday SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day --- -
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night --- -
Saturday --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day SW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday SW 25 - 35
Saturday Night WSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day S 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day --- -
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night --- -
Saturday --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day SSE 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night SW 15 - 25
Saturday SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day --- -
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night --- -
Saturday --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Morning - Friday Mid-day SW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday SW 25 - 35
Saturday Night WSW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Morning --- - --- - SW 15 - 25 --- - SW 45 - 55
Friday Mid-day --- - --- - SW 35 - 45 --- - WSW 50 - 60
Friday Afternoon - Saturday Mid-day --- - --- - SW 30 - 40 --- - SW 40 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Mid-day --- -
Friday Afternoon - Saturday Mid-day --- -
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night --- -
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Mid-day --- -
Friday Afternoon - Saturday Mid-day --- -
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 15 - 25
Friday Mid-day SW 35 - 45
Friday Afternoon - Saturday Mid-day SW 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night WSW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Mid-day --- -
Friday Afternoon - Saturday Mid-day --- -
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 45 - 55
Friday Mid-day WSW 50 - 60
Friday Afternoon - Saturday Mid-day SW 40 - 50
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night SW 25 - 40

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

On Sunday, there shouldn't be an upper level disturbance focusing shower activity...so with a relatively unstable air mass and daytime heating...a gradual build up to afternoon showers is expected at seasonally cool snow levels. 

Model differences still exist for Monday and Tuesday on how far south into California a cut-off upper level low will pass and whether or not any precipitation bands rotating up from the low reach us or if the PNW stays relatively dry during the period.  A better chance for light rain or snow is likely further south near Mt. Hood. Snow levels should moderate early next week.  

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes and Mt. Hood area
Sunday Morning

Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated light rain and showers. Cooler.  

Sunday Afternoon - Evening

Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Sunday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated light rain and showers.

Monday - Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with periods of light rain and snow,  precipitation likeliest near Mt. Hood.  

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday - Sunday Night Snow Level ' - ' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday - Sunday Night Snow Level
' - '
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
' - '
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday - Sunday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday - Sunday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 27, 2014

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.