Issued: 1:49 PM PST Monday, November 29, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

It's another mild afternoon across the area with mountain temperatures well above freezing in the upper 30s to mid-40s. Skies are partly to mostly sunny from about Mt Rainier and south to Mt Hood. Yet another atmospheric river will take aim at the region tonight through Tuesday night, although thankfully, the heaviest precipitation will stay north of the border. Moderate rain will impact the west slopes of the Olympics and north Cascades late tonight and spread south during the day Tuesday. Snow levels may briefly dip for the Olympics and northwest Cascades Tuesday morning into the 4500-5000' range, but rest assured, snow levels will rise once again well above trailhead and ski area levels by Tuesday afternoon. Precipitation totals will likely end up in the 1.5 - 3" range water-wise for the northwest Cascades through Tuesday night.  In all areas, strong west winds will buffet ridgelines late Monday night through Tuesday with extreme west winds found in the alpine.   

Showers may linger through Wednesday for the northwest Cascades but a drying trend will ensue elsewhere. Mt Hood will stay mostly dry and quite mild through the short term, with periods of mid and high clouds interspersed with sunshine. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow increasing after midnight.
Tuesday Light to moderate rain and snow, heaviest west slopes of the Olympics. Strong winds. Warming trend.
Monday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow increasing after midnight. Increasing winds overnight.
Tuesday Moderate rain and snow. Warming trend.
Monday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow developing late tonight.
Tuesday Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow. Moderate to strong winds.
Monday Night Cloudy.
Tuesday Light to moderate rain and snow developing during the morning. Strong winds.
Monday Night Cloudy.
Tuesday Light to moderate rain and snow. Strong Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Cloudy.
Tuesday Light to moderate rain and snow. Strong Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Cloudy.
Tuesday Light rain and snow, occasionally moderate near the crest. Strong winds.
Monday Night Cloudy.
Tuesday Light rain and snow, occasionally moderate near the crest. Strong winds.
Monday Night Cloudy.
Tuesday Light rain and snow, occasionally moderate near the crest. Strong winds.
Monday Night Partly cloudy with periods of high clouds.
Tuesday Partly to mostly cloudy.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0 0.50 LT 0.10 0
White Pass 0 LT 0.25 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics 6000' 4500' 4500' 8000' 9000' 9500' 8500' 6500'
West North 6000' 5000' 4500' 6500' 9000' 9000' 7000' 7500'
West Central 6000' 5500' 5500' 7000' 9000' 10000' 8500' 7500'
West South 6000' 6500' 6500' 8500' 9500' 11000' 9000' 8000'
Stevens Pass 6000' 6000' 6000' 6000' 9000' 10000' 9000' 8000'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 6000' 6000' 7000' 9000' 10000' 7500' 8500'
East North 5500' 5000' 4500' 5500' 8500' 9000' 9000' 7000'
East Central 6000' 6000' 6000' 7000' 10000' 10000' 9000' 8000'
East South 7000' 6500' 7500' 8000' 10000' 11000' 10000' 9500'
Mt. Hood 8500' 8500' 10000' 10000' 11000' 13000' 12000' 12000'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Evening 6000'
Monday Night 4500'
Tuesday Morning 4500'
Tuesday Afternoon 8000'
Tuesday Evening 9000'
Tuesday Night 9500'
Wednesday Morning 8500'
Wednesday Afternoon 6500'
West North Elevation
Monday Evening 6000'
Monday Night 5000'
Tuesday Morning 4500'
Tuesday Afternoon 6500'
Tuesday Evening 9000'
Tuesday Night 9000'
Wednesday Morning 7000'
Wednesday Afternoon 7500'
West Central Elevation
Monday Evening 6000'
Monday Night 5500'
Tuesday Morning 5500'
Tuesday Afternoon 7000'
Tuesday Evening 9000'
Tuesday Night 10000'
Wednesday Morning 8500'
Wednesday Afternoon 7500'
West South Elevation
Monday Evening 6000'
Monday Night 6500'
Tuesday Morning 6500'
Tuesday Afternoon 8500'
Tuesday Evening 9500'
Tuesday Night 11000'
Wednesday Morning 9000'
Wednesday Afternoon 8000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Evening 6000'
Monday Night 6000'
Tuesday Morning 6000'
Tuesday Afternoon 6000'
Tuesday Evening 9000'
Tuesday Night 10000'
Wednesday Morning 9000'
Wednesday Afternoon 8000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening 6000'
Monday Night 6000'
Tuesday Morning 6000'
Tuesday Afternoon 7000'
Tuesday Evening 9000'
Tuesday Night 10000'
Wednesday Morning 7500'
Wednesday Afternoon 8500'
East North Elevation
Monday Evening 5500'
Monday Night 5000'
Tuesday Morning 4500'
Tuesday Afternoon 5500'
Tuesday Evening 8500'
Tuesday Night 9000'
Wednesday Morning 9000'
Wednesday Afternoon 7000'
East Central Elevation
Monday Evening 6000'
Monday Night 6000'
Tuesday Morning 6000'
Tuesday Afternoon 7000'
Tuesday Evening 10000'
Tuesday Night 10000'
Wednesday Morning 9000'
Wednesday Afternoon 8000'
East South Elevation
Monday Evening 7000'
Monday Night 6500'
Tuesday Morning 7500'
Tuesday Afternoon 8000'
Tuesday Evening 10000'
Tuesday Night 11000'
Wednesday Morning 10000'
Wednesday Afternoon 9500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening 8500'
Monday Night 8500'
Tuesday Morning 10000'
Tuesday Afternoon 10000'
Tuesday Evening 11000'
Tuesday Night 13000'
Wednesday Morning 12000'
Wednesday Afternoon 12000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Night Tuesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 35 / 33 40 / 33
West North 35 / 33 37 / 32
West Central 36 / 34 36 / 32
West South 37 / 35 38 / 36
Stevens Pass 35 / 33 38 / 33
Snoqualmie Pass 35 / 34 37 / 33
East North 35 / 32 38 / 33
East Central 35 / 32 38 / 33
East South 36 / 35 40 / 35
Mt. Hood 40 / 37 44 / 39
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 33
Tuesday 40 / 33
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 33
Tuesday 37 / 32
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 36 / 34
Tuesday 36 / 32
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 37 / 35
Tuesday 38 / 36
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 33
Tuesday 38 / 33
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 34
Tuesday 37 / 33
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 32
Tuesday 38 / 33
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 35 / 32
Tuesday 38 / 33
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 36 / 35
Tuesday 40 / 35
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 40 / 37
Tuesday 44 / 39

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30 WSW 25-35
West North SSW 5-15 SSW 20-30 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20
West Central SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30 WSW 15-25
West South SSW 10-20 SW 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 25-35
Stevens Pass WSW 5-15 WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30 W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 10-20 WSW 20-30 W 25-35 W 25-35
East North WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30 WSW 25-35 WSW 25-35
East Central WSW 5-15 W 20-30 W 30-40 W 25-35
East South WSW 5-15 WSW 15-25 W 25-35 W 25-35
Mt. Hood SW 10-20 WSW 20-30 WSW 25-35 WNW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SW 10-20
Monday Night SW 15-25
Tuesday Morning SW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSW 5-15
Monday Night SSW 20-30
Tuesday Morning SSW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon SW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SW 10-20
Monday Night SW 15-25
Tuesday Morning SW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSW 10-20
Monday Night SW 20-30
Tuesday Morning WSW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon W 25-35
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening WSW 5-15
Monday Night WSW 15-25
Tuesday Morning WSW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening WSW 10-20
Monday Night WSW 20-30
Tuesday Morning W 25-35
Tuesday Afternoon W 25-35
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening WSW 15-25
Monday Night WSW 20-30
Tuesday Morning WSW 25-35
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 25-35
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening WSW 5-15
Monday Night W 20-30
Tuesday Morning W 30-40
Tuesday Afternoon W 25-35
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening WSW 5-15
Monday Night WSW 15-25
Tuesday Morning W 25-35
Tuesday Afternoon W 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SW 10-20
Monday Night WSW 20-30
Tuesday Morning WSW 25-35
Tuesday Afternoon WNW 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

The jet stream will briefly take a trip south Wednesday night with the dregs of the atmospheric river system passing through the north and central Washington Cascades.  Snow levels will likely not fall fast enough for any of the leftover moisture to result in meaningful snow accumulations for lower and mid-elevations through Thursday morning. The end of the week looks dry, with surface high pressure offshore and zonal flow aloft.  Looking ahead into next week, there's some hope for slightly cooler temperatures and an active storm track. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
West North 6500' 3000' 1500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 7000' 4000' 2500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 11000' 6000' 5500' 5000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Night 6500'
Thursday 3000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Night 7000'
Thursday 4000'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Night 11000'
Thursday 6000'
Thursday Night 5500'
Friday 5000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 28, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.