Issued: 2:35 PM PDT Tuesday, March 23, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A shortwave trough dropping toward the region on NW flow pushes Tuesday's ridge further offshore. The shortwave feature increases clouds across the region Tuesday evening with light rain and snow spreading from NW to SE across the mountains of Washington State overnight. Snow levels will be below all major Cascade Passes, but we only expect up to 2" to fall overnight.

As a cold front approaches the region, rain and snow increase significantly on Wednesday morning. The cold front brings the band of heavy precipitation south and east during the day. Behind the front, precipitation becomes more showery, but accumulating snows continue. A convergence band may also feature some locally heavier snowfall rates across the mountains of northern King County during the afternoon. Snow levels rise to around 3000 ft along the west slopes of the Cascades and slightly higher with downslope warming along the east slopes. Ridgeline winds peak in the moderate range for much of the day Thursday, but strong winds can be expected at Mt. Hood and high elevation locations well east of the Cascade Crest.

The trough digs into the east of the Cascades Wednesday night. Post-frontal rain and snow showers and convergence continue with the most significant snowfall accumulations from the central Washington Cascades south to Mt. Hood.

Rain and snow showers ease Thursday morning with slight chances of lingering very light precipitation in the afternoon.

Temperatures remain near or slightly below seasonal norms throughout the forecast period.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow developing in the early morning hours.
Wednesday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming showery by afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with increasing light rain and snow overnight.
Wednesday Moderate to heavy rain and snow in the morning becoming light to moderate in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with increasing light rain and snow overnight.
Wednesday Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with very light rain and snow possible overnight.
Wednesday Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow at Paradise; moderate at White Pass; light at Crystal.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with increasing very light rain and snow overnight. Light W wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow. Convergence possible in the afternoon. Light to moderate W wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with increasing very light rain and snow overnight. Light W wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow. Moderate W wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with very light snow possibly developing after midnight.
Wednesday Light rain and snow becoming showery in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with very light snow possibly developing after midnight.
Wednesday Light rain and snow becoming showery in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a chance of snow flurries after midnight.
Wednesday Light rain and snow becoming showery late in the day.
Tuesday Night High clouds increasing and thickening.
Wednesday Light rain and snow developing, becoming moderate by afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Timberline 0 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 1500' 3000'
West North 3000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000'
West Central 3000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000'
West South 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
East North 3000' 2000' 2000' 3500' 3500' 2000' 2000' 4000'
East Central 3500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 2000' 2000' 4000'
East South 4000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 4000'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 4000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 3500'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 28 29 / 25
West North 29 / 25 28 / 26
West Central 29 / 23 28 / 25
West South 32 / 23 29 / 27
Stevens Pass 30 / 22 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 23 28 / 25
East North 32 / 25 32 / 26
East Central 32 / 26 31 / 26
East South 34 / 28 32 / 27
Mt. Hood 34 / 26 32 / 27
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 28
Wednesday 29 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 25
Wednesday 28 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 23
Wednesday 28 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 23
Wednesday 29 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 22
Wednesday 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 23
Wednesday 28 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 25
Wednesday 32 / 26
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 26
Wednesday 31 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 28
Wednesday 32 / 27
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 26
Wednesday 32 / 27

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics W 0-10 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 10-20
West North WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 W 5-15
West Central WNW 5-15 WSW 10-20 SW 15-25 W 10-20
West South NNW 0-10 WSW 5-15 W 15-25 WSW 15-25
Stevens Pass W 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 5-15 W 10-20 W 20-30 W 15-25
East North WNW 5-15 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 W 15-25
East Central NW 10-20 W 15-25 W 25-35 W 20-30
East South WNW 5-15 WNW 10-20 W 10-20 W 15-25
Mt. Hood NW 5-15 WNW 15-25 W 20-30 WSW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning WSW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 10-20
Wednesday Morning SW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning SW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NNW 0-10
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning WSW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 5-15
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WSW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 10-20
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon W 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 5-15
Tuesday Night WNW 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 5-15
Tuesday Night WNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

As a trough exits the region, the ridge of high-pressure offshore gains influence Thursday night and dries the region out under northerly flow aloft. High pressure moves further into the region on Friday and Friday night. The ridge maintains a strong influence on Saturday, however high clouds might move into the northern portions of the forecast region out ahead of the next system sliding down the backside of the offshore ridge. Freezing levels rise throughout the extended outlook with a freezing levels rising to near or above Cascade crest level by Saturday afternoon.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3500' 5000' 6000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 4000' 6000' 8000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday 3500'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday 3500'
Friday Night 5000'
Saturday 6000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday 4000'
Friday Night 6000'
Saturday 8000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 23, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.