Issued: 7:05 AM PDT Thursday, March 18, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A deep, but filling closed upper low presents as a picturesque spiral of clouds in the PNW offshore waters. As the upper low approaches the coastline, an upper-level front brings a weakening rain band over the region from SW to NE during the morning through mid-day hours. The rain band should become less continuous as the day progresses and should deliver the most precipitation to the Olympics. The second band of light to moderate precipitation associated with a surface cold front moves into the Olympics Thursday afternoon and into the Cascades from the late afternoon through evening hours. Behind the front, snow levels drop and precipitation becomes light and scattered snow showers. Elevations above 5000 ft in Cascades and Olympics could see 1-3" of snow during the day Thursday with an additional 2-4" possible Thursday night down to 4000 ft.

Additional bands of rain and snow arrive as the weakening upper low moves into the near-shore waters on Friday. Snow levels should fluctuate around 2500-3500 ft with convective showers becoming increasingly common during the afternoon hours.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday An initial band of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow arrives during the morning hours. Another band of rain and snow likely arrives during the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cooler with light rain and snow showers.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow from mid-morning onwards.
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow during the evening, then becoming showery. Cooler.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow from mid-morning onwards.
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow during the evening, then becoming showery. Cooler.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow from mid-morning onwards, likely increasing late in the day.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow during the evening, then becoming showery. Cooler.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow from mid-morning onwards.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow during the evening, then becoming showery. Cooler.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow from mid-morning onwards.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow during the evening, then becoming showery. Cooler.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow during the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow during the evening, then becoming showery. Cooler.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow from late-morning onwards.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow during the evening, then becoming showery. Cooler.
Thursday Periods of light rain and snow from mid-morning onwards.
Thursday Night Light rain and snow during the evening, then becoming showery. Cooler.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain or snow in the morning. Light rain and snow increasing during the late afternoon hours.
Thursday Night Periods of light rain and snow during the evening hours tapering to snow flurries. Cooler.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Thursday Night Friday
5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.25 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.25 0.25
Paradise 0.25 0.25 0.25
White Pass 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon
Olympics 5500' 4000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500'
West North 4500' 5500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 3000'
West Central 5500' 5500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 3000'
West South 5000' 5000' 4500' 2500' 2500' 3500'
Stevens Pass 4500' 5000' 4500' 3000' 2500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' 5000' 4500' 3000' 2500' 3500'
East North 4500' 5000' 5000' 3000' 2500' 3500'
East Central 5000' 5000' 4500' 3000' 2500' 3500'
East South 4500' 5000' 4500' 3000' 2500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 6500' 5500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Morning* 5500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 5500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 5000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Thursday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 33 / 28 28 / 23
West North 36 / 31 32 / 23
West Central 37 / 31 31 / 21
West South 37 / 33 32 / 24
Stevens Pass 41 / 31 33 / 20
Snoqualmie Pass 36 / 31 33 / 20
East North 37 / 29 35 / 19
East Central 38 / 32 33 / 20
East South 38 / 28 33 / 21
Mt. Hood 40 / 32 32 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 33 / 28
Thursday Night 28 / 23
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 36 / 31
Thursday Night 32 / 23
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 37 / 31
Thursday Night 31 / 21
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 37 / 33
Thursday Night 32 / 24
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 41 / 31
Thursday Night 33 / 20
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 36 / 31
Thursday Night 33 / 20
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 37 / 29
Thursday Night 35 / 19
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 38 / 32
Thursday Night 33 / 20
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 38 / 28
Thursday Night 33 / 21
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 40 / 32
Thursday Night 32 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night
Olympics S 15-25 SSW 15-25 SSW 15-25 S 20-30
West North SSE 10-20 S 15-25 SSW 15-25 S 15-25
West Central SE 10-20 S 10-20 SW 15-25 SSW 15-25
West South S 15-25 S 15-25 SSW 15-25 SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass SE 10-20 SSE 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SE 10-20 SE 10-20 SW 10-20 S 5-15
East North SE 10-20 SSE 10-20 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20
East Central SSE 10-20 S 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 15-25
East South SSE 5-15 S 10-20 WSW 15-25 SW 15-25
Mt. Hood SSW 15-25 SSW 10-20 SW 20-30 SW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning S 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Thursday Evening SSW 15-25
Thursday Night S 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
Thursday Evening SSW 15-25
Thursday Night S 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 15-25
Thursday Night SSW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning S 15-25
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
Thursday Evening SSW 15-25
Thursday Night SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SE 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night S 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 10-20
Thursday Evening SSW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon S 10-20
Thursday Evening WSW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 20-30
Thursday Night SW 25-35

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Mar 17, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.