Issued: 2:05 PM PST Wednesday, February 17, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

An incoming frontal system will spread high clouds over the area tonight as offshore flow and easterly winds increase through the Cascade gaps. A weakening occluded front will reach the Olympics after daybreak and spread light precipitation inland mid to late morning, encompassing both the east and west slopes of the Cascades. Cloud ceilings will also lower during the late morning as the front moves inland. Slightly better dynamics will support more moderate heavier precipitation for the Mt Hood area Thursday afternoon and night. S or SE winds will begin to increase Thursday afternoon as well.  

A trailing upper level and surface trough Thursday night will help reinvigorate shower activity across the area with a frontal passage through the Cascades around midnight. This should temporarily bump up snow levels in the central and south Washington Cascades to 3000'.  Milder air will work its way into the eastern slopes of the Cascades Friday morning as we enter a well-mixed post-frontal regime.  Strong westerlies and post-frontal showers will stick around for all of Friday and Friday night, favoring the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood for heftier snowfall accumulations.  

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Increasing high clouds, becoming overcast before midnight.
Thursday Light rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day.
Wednesday Night Increasing high clouds in the evening, becoming overcast after midnight.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning and becoming light to moderate in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day.
Wednesday Night Increasing high clouds in the evening, becoming overcast after midnight.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning and becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day.
Wednesday Night Increasing high clouds in the evening, becoming overcast after midnight.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning and becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Heaviest precipitation Paradise area. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day.
Wednesday Night Increasing high clouds in the evening, becoming overcast after midnight. Light to moderate east winds at Pass level increasing overnight.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Night Increasing high clouds in the evening, becoming overcast after midnight. Light to moderate east winds at Pass level increasing overnight.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning and becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Night Clear early, then increasing high clouds and becoming overcast late.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning and becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day.
Wednesday Night Clear early, then increasing high clouds and becoming overcast late.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning and becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day.
Wednesday Night Clear early, then increasing high clouds and becoming overcast late.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning and becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day.
Wednesday Night Increasing high clouds in the evening, becoming overcast after midnight.
Thursday Light rain and snow developing mid-morning and becoming moderate in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds during the day.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0.25 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 LT 0.25 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0.25 0.75 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.25
Timberline 0 0.50 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 4000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West North 2500' 1500' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West Central 2500' 1500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 3000' 2500' 3000'
West South 2500' 1500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1000' 1000' 2000' 1500' 3000' 2500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 3000' 2500' 3000'
East North 1000' 0 1000' 1000' 0 1500' 2500' 3500'
East Central 2000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 2000' 3000' 3500'
East South 2000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 1000'
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 1500'
Thursday Evening* 1000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night 4000'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 27 / 20 28 / 23
West North 22 / 18 27 / 22
West Central 22 / 19 26 / 22
West South 26 / 19 30 / 27
Stevens Pass 21 / 18 25 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 21 / 18 25 / 20
East North 20 / 15 20 / 15
East Central 22 / 18 23 / 19
East South 25 / 19 27 / 20
Mt. Hood 25 / 20 32 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 27 / 20
Thursday 28 / 23
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 18
Thursday 27 / 22
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 19
Thursday 26 / 22
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 26 / 19
Thursday 30 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 18
Thursday 25 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 18
Thursday 25 / 20
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 20 / 15
Thursday 20 / 15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 18
Thursday 23 / 19
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 25 / 19
Thursday 27 / 20
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 25 / 20
Thursday 32 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics VAR 0-10 S 10-20 S 15-25 S 20-30
West North VAR 0-10 S 10-20 S 20-30 S 20-30
West Central VAR 0-10 S 10-20 S 15-25 S 15-25
West South VAR 0-10 S 5-15 SE 15-25 SSE 20-30
Stevens Pass VAR 0-10 SE 5-15 SE 10-20 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass VAR 0-10 SE 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 20-30
East North VAR 0-10 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25
East Central VAR 0-10 S 10-20 S 15-25 S 15-25
East South VAR 0-10 SSE 5-15 SE 10-20 S 15-25
Mt. Hood VAR 0-10 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning S 15-25
Thursday Afternoon S 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning S 20-30
Thursday Afternoon S 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning S 15-25
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SSE 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night SE 10-20
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SE 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning S 15-25
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night SSE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening VAR 0-10
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning S 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

While we're still several days out, there's modest confidence that the jet stream will be aimed well to our north and into central British Columbia over the weekend, leaving us on the mild side of the jet. Warm frontal precipitation associated with an atmospheric river should begin to reach the area Saturday afternoon before sagging south overnight. Precipitation and winds should increase further Saturday night and Sunday as snow levels rise. Mt Hood may be far enough south to escape the heavier precipitation from this event. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
West North 2000' 2000' 2000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2500' 2000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2500' 2000' 4000'
West North Elevation
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 2000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 2500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 17, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.