Issued: 2:03 PM PST Tuesday, February 16, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Post-frontal westerly winds and cool and moist NW flow aloft will keep widespread shower activity going along the western slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood tonight.  Multiple areas of convergence have produced heavy snowfall bands that have oscillated between the Mountain Loop Hwy and I-90 today with hourly snowfall rates sometimes exceeding 2 inches of snow an hour. Significant spillover to the east slopes of the Cascades is the most pronounced downwind of the convergence bands. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds are found in most areas with winds in the strong to extreme range down at Mt Hood. 

This pattern will continue through tonight with W-NW winds forming convergence bands around the Olympics and Vancouver Island that will wax and wane, generally afflicting the same areas. The flow will turn more NW-esterly after midnight. This should shift the last gasps of the convergence bands between Mt Rainier and I-90 before daybreak.  

Upper level ridging will build offshore on Wednesday. This should help end leftover shower activity by late morning. Sunshine should be widespread along the east slopes of the Cascades with a mix of low clouds and sunshine along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood. Clouds should be capped at around Cascade crest level tomorrow.  Winds will ease off late tonight and become light on Wednesday. 

An incoming frontal system will spread high clouds inland Wednesday night with light rain and snow developing during the morning. Offshore flow will increase late Wednesday night and Thursday. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers tapering off after midight.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers tapering off late.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with moderate rain and snow showers tapering off late. Strong ridgeline winds easing after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning with scattered light rain and snow showers, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers tapering off late. Strong ridgeline winds easing after midnight. Heaviest precipitation Paradise area.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning with scattered light rain and snow showers, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with moderate rain and snow showers tapering off late. Moderate to strong westerly ridgeline and Pass level winds easing after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning with scattered light rain and snow showers, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Pass level winds light.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with moderate rain and snow showers. Moderate to strong westerly ridgeline and Pass level winds easing after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning with scattered light rain and snow showers, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Pass level winds light.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers tapering after midnight. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds easing after midnight.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers tapering after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds easing after midnight.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers tapering after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds easing after midnight.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers. Strong to extreme winds easing late.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning with scattered light rain and snow showers, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 0 0 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0.25 0 0 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0.25
Timberline 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 1500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000' 4000'
West North 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2000' 1000' 2000' 2000'
West Central 2000' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2000' 1000' 2000' 2500'
West South 1500' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2500' 1500' 2500' 3500'
Stevens Pass 1500' 1000' 1500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 2500'
East North 1500' 0 1500' 2500' 1500' 0 0 1500'
East Central 1500' 1000' 1500' 3000' 1500' 0 0 1500'
East South 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1000' 2000'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 2000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 1000'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2000'
Tuesday Night 1000'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 1000'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2000'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 1500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 1000'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 1500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2000'
Tuesday Night 1000'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2000'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 23 / 15 26 / 12
West North 21 / 16 22 / 14
West Central 22 / 17 21 / 17
West South 24 / 21 25 / 17
Stevens Pass 22 / 17 23 / 17
Snoqualmie Pass 22 / 19 21 / 17
East North 20 / 16 24 / 16
East Central 20 / 16 25 / 16
East South 23 / 20 27 / 16
Mt. Hood 23 / 19 27 / 18
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 23 / 15
Wednesday 26 / 12
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 21 / 16
Wednesday 22 / 14
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 22 / 17
Wednesday 21 / 17
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 24 / 21
Wednesday 25 / 17
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 22 / 17
Wednesday 23 / 17
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 22 / 19
Wednesday 21 / 17
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 20 / 16
Wednesday 24 / 16
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 20 / 16
Wednesday 25 / 16
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 23 / 20
Wednesday 27 / 16
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 23 / 19
Wednesday 27 / 18

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics W 15-25 NW 5-15 NW 5-15 W 0-10
West North W 15-25 W 5-15 NW 5-15 WNW 0-10
West Central W 20-30 WNW 15-25 NW 5-15 WNW 0-10
West South W 20-30 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20 WNW 0-10
Stevens Pass W 20-30 WNW 15-25 WNW 5-15 WNW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass W 20-30 WNW 15-25 WNW 5-15 WNW 0-10
East North W 15-25 WNW 10-20 NW 5-15 W 0-10
East Central W 25-35 WNW 20-30 NW 10-20 WNW 5-15
East South W 20-30 WNW 20-30 WNW 15-25 NW 5-15
Mt. Hood W 30-40 W 25-35 WNW 20-30 WNW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 15-25
Tuesday Night NW 5-15
Wednesday Morning NW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 15-25
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning NW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 20-30
Tuesday Night WNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning NW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 20-30
Tuesday Night WNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WNW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 20-30
Tuesday Night WNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WNW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 20-30
Tuesday Night WNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WNW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 15-25
Tuesday Night WNW 10-20
Wednesday Morning NW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 25-35
Tuesday Night WNW 20-30
Wednesday Morning NW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 20-30
Tuesday Night WNW 20-30
Wednesday Morning WNW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon NW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 30-40
Tuesday Night W 25-35
Wednesday Morning WNW 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

The initial front will wash out over the Cascades on Thursday but trailing upper-level features and onshore flow will keep an active and showery pattern going Thursday night through Friday. A stronger system is likely to impact the region over the weekend. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 2000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2000' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2000' 1500' 3000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 16, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.