Issued: 7:08 AM PST Monday, February 15, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A significant mountain snow event continues on Monday. A shortwave continues to produce moderate to heavy snow from around I-90 northward early Monday morning. This should gradually exit northward. A renewed push of westerly winds with a cold front moving onshore should ramp the snowfall back up, particularly for the south and central Cascades. Cold air remains in place east of the Cascade Crest with east flow bringing this air through the mountain gaps. The stronger westerly wind surge may start to reverse these winds by late Monday into Monday evening, potentially bringing a rapid warm-up to temperatures just below freezing at Snoqualmie Pass and lower elevations east of the Cascade Crest. Snow amounts remain substantial with another 6-12" of snow expected in many areas on Monday. The heaviest snowfall is expected in the afternoon as an offshore low moves into the area.

SW winds at mid-levels have brought mild air to Mt. Hood, but the cold front arriving by mid-day should allow mid and upper elevations of Mt. Hood to change back to all snow.

Heavy rain and snow continue Monday night as the cold air pool east of the Cascade Crest continues to erode under moderate post-frontal westerly flow accelerating down the east slopes of the Cascades. Temperatures should begin to cool once again after midnight as the low/trough moves eastward and upper-level flow switches northwesterly. Snowfall gradually eases with continued cooling on Tuesday.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Periods of light rain and snow.
Monday Night Periods of light rain and snow.
Monday Periods of light to moderate snow.
Monday Night Periods of light snow.
Monday Moderate to heavy snow.
Monday Night Light to moderate snow.
Monday Heavy snow at Paradise, moderate snow at White Pass, light to moderate snow at Crystal.
Monday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow.
Monday Heavy snow. Light E winds at the Pass possibly switching W in the afternoon.
Monday Night Moderate snow. Light W winds at the Pass.
Monday Heavy snow. Decreasing light to moderate E winds at the Pass possibly switching W in the afternoon.
Monday Night Moderate snow. Light to moderate W winds at the Pass.
Monday Light snow at times.
Monday Night Light snow at times.
Monday Moderate to heavy snow.
Monday Night Light snow.
Monday Moderate snow.
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow.
Monday Heavy snow and freezing rain changing to heavy rain and snow. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Heavy rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Monday Night Tuesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.75 -1.00 0.50 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.25
Paradise 1.00 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.75 0.25 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline 1.00 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.75
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.75 -1.00
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Monday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.75
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday 1.00
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon* Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics 2500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000'
West North 500' 2000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
West Central 0 1000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
West South 1500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500'
Stevens Pass 0 500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
East North 0 1000' 1000' 1000' 1000' 2500'
East Central 0 0 1000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
East South 500' 2500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Morning* 2500'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'
Monday Evening 2500'
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday Morning 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 2000'
Monday Evening 2500'
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 1000'
Monday Evening 2000'
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday Morning 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon* 3000'
Monday Evening 3000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday Morning 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 500'
Monday Evening 1500'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 2000'
Monday Evening 2000'
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday Morning 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 1000'
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night 1000'
Tuesday Morning 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon* 0'
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday Morning 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon 2500'
East South Elevation
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon* 2500'
Monday Evening 3000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday Morning 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon* 3500'
Monday Evening 3000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday Morning 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Monday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 27 25 / 23
West North 27 / 21 24 / 21
West Central 27 / 19 27 / 21
West South 30 / 28 27 / 22
Stevens Pass 28 / 13 27 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 27 / 18 27 / 21
East North 23 / 9 22 / 18
East Central 27 / 13 26 / 20
East South 31 / 23 27 / 22
Mt. Hood 34 / 29 28 / 23
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 30 / 27
Monday Night 25 / 23
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 27 / 21
Monday Night 24 / 21
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 27 / 19
Monday Night 27 / 21
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 30 / 28
Monday Night 27 / 22
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 28 / 13
Monday Night 27 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 27 / 18
Monday Night 27 / 21
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 23 / 9
Monday Night 22 / 18
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 27 / 13
Monday Night 26 / 20
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 31 / 23
Monday Night 27 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday 34 / 29
Monday Night 28 / 23

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Morning Monday Afternoon Monday Evening Monday Night
Olympics WSW 5-15 W 5-15 WNW 10-20 WNW 10-20
West North S 5-15 WSW 0-10 WNW 0-10 W 5-15
West Central S 5-15 SW 10-20 WNW 10-20 WNW 15-25
West South WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20
Stevens Pass SSE 0-10 WSW 10-20 W 10-20 WNW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SSW 5-15 W 15-25 WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25
East North S 0-10 WSW 0-10 WNW 5-15 WNW 10-20
East Central WSW 5-15 W 20-30 WNW 15-25 WNW 20-30
East South WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 W 20-30 WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood WSW 15-25 WSW 25-35 W 30-40 W 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 5-15
Monday Afternoon W 5-15
Monday Evening WNW 10-20
Monday Night WNW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon WSW 0-10
Monday Evening WNW 0-10
Monday Night W 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 5-15
Monday Afternoon SW 10-20
Monday Evening WNW 10-20
Monday Night WNW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 15-25
Monday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Monday Evening WNW 15-25
Monday Night WNW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSE 0-10
Monday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Monday Evening W 10-20
Monday Night WNW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning SSW 5-15
Monday Afternoon W 15-25
Monday Evening WNW 15-25
Monday Night WNW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning S 0-10
Monday Afternoon WSW 0-10
Monday Evening WNW 5-15
Monday Night WNW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 5-15
Monday Afternoon W 20-30
Monday Evening WNW 15-25
Monday Night WNW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 15-25
Monday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Monday Evening W 20-30
Monday Night WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Morning WSW 15-25
Monday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Monday Evening W 30-40
Monday Night W 25-35

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Feb 14, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.