Issued: 7:13 AM PST Sunday, February 14, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

Temperatures remain unseasonably cold, but nearly all NWAC stations have warmed in the last 24 hours with some stations in the Mt. Rainier area warming by 20F since this time on Saturday. A series of shortwave troughs will keep the snowfall going in the mountains. The first is rotating NE around an offshore low and will bring periods of generally light snow to our mountains. WSW flow above 6000 ft will favor Paradise, Mt. St. Helens, the southern Olympics, and Mt. Hood where 3-6" of snow can be expected on Sunday. At the surface, E flow will keep areas near and east of the Cascade crest quite chilly with wind chills near zero.

A stronger disturbance with a well-defined surface low approaches tonight and reaches our coastline late Monday. This system should bring moderate to heavy snowfall to our region. Snoqualmie Pass southward will be favored with another 1-2 ft of snow expected Sunday night through Monday. Areas further north can expect 6-15". Moderate to strong WSW ridgeline winds will increase throughout the day on Monday with the potential for very strong winds at Mt. Hood.

Temperatures should continue to moderate throughout the forecast period.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Sunday Cloudy with periods of light snow increasing throughout the day.
Sunday Night Periods of light snow.
Sunday Cloudy with snow flurries in the morning. Light snow likely developing late in the day.
Sunday Night Light snow.
Sunday Cloudy with snow flurries in the morning. Light snow developing in the afternoon.
Sunday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow.
Sunday Light to moderate snow, heaviest at Paradise, lightest at Crystal.
Sunday Night Heavy snow at Paradise, moderate snow at White Pass, and light to moderate snow at Crystal.
Sunday Cloudy with snow flurries in the morning. Light snow developing in the afternoon. Light to occasionally moderate E wind at the Pass.
Sunday Night Light to moderate snow. Light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Sunday Cloudy with snow flurries in the morning. Light snow developing in the afternoon. Light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Sunday Night Light snow becoming moderate. Moderate E wind at the Pass.
Sunday Cloudy with a chance of snow flurries.
Sunday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow.
Sunday Cloudy with snow flurries in the morning. Light snow developing in the afternoon.
Sunday Night Increasing light to occasionally moderate snow.
Sunday Periods of light snow.
Sunday Night Light snow becoming moderate.
Sunday Moderate snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday Night Increasing heavy snow. Strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.25 0.25
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass 0.25 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 0.75 0.75
Timberline 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 1.00
Monday 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75
Monday 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Monday 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon* Sunday Evening* Sunday Night* Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon
Olympics 0 1500' 2500' 3000' 2500' 3000'
West North 0 500' 1000' 500' 500' 1500'
West Central 0 0 0 0 0 0
West South 0 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2500'
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0 0 500'
East North 0 0 0 0 0 500'
East Central 0 0 0 0 0 0
East South 0 500' 0 0 500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 0 500' 1000' 2000' 3000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 2500'
Monday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon 1500'
West Central Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
Sunday Evening* 0'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon 0'
West South Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 1000'
Monday Morning* 1500'
Monday Afternoon 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
Sunday Evening* 0'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
Sunday Evening* 0'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon 500'
East North Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
Sunday Evening* 0'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon 500'
East Central Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
Sunday Evening* 0'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday Morning* 0'
Monday Afternoon 0'
East South Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 500'
Sunday Evening* 0'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday Morning* 500'
Monday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 500'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Sunday Sunday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 28 / 18 29 / 26
West North 24 / 11 25 / 21
West Central 24 / 11 23 / 20
West South 28 / 23 29 / 27
Stevens Pass 21 / 8 16 / 13
Snoqualmie Pass 22 / 12 20 / 16
East North 18 / 5 12 / 10
East Central 20 / 8 17 / 13
East South 26 / 11 23 / 20
Mt. Hood 30 / 25 32 / 29
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 28 / 18
Sunday Night 29 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 24 / 11
Sunday Night 25 / 21
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 24 / 11
Sunday Night 23 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 28 / 23
Sunday Night 29 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 21 / 8
Sunday Night 16 / 13
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 22 / 12
Sunday Night 20 / 16
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 18 / 5
Sunday Night 12 / 10
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 20 / 8
Sunday Night 17 / 13
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 26 / 11
Sunday Night 23 / 20
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 30 / 25
Sunday Night 32 / 29

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening Sunday Night
Olympics SW 5-15 SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20
West North SSW 5-15 SSW 0-10 S 5-15 S 10-20
West Central SSW 5-15 SSW 0-10 SSE 5-15 SE 5-15
West South SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 10-20
Stevens Pass S 0-10 SW 0-10 SSE 0-10 SSE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SSE 0-10 SW 0-10 SE 5-15 ESE 5-15
East North SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SSW 0-10 SSE 5-15
East Central WSW 10-20 W 10-20 SW 5-15 SSW 5-15
East South WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 SW 5-15
Mt. Hood WSW 20-30 WSW 20-30 WSW 25-35 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SSW 5-15
Sunday Evening SSW 10-20
Sunday Night SSW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SSW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SSW 0-10
Sunday Evening S 5-15
Sunday Night S 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SSW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SSW 0-10
Sunday Evening SSE 5-15
Sunday Night SE 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SW 5-15
Sunday Evening SW 5-15
Sunday Night SSW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning S 0-10
Sunday Afternoon SW 0-10
Sunday Evening SSE 0-10
Sunday Night SSE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SSE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon SW 0-10
Sunday Evening SE 5-15
Sunday Night ESE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Sunday Evening SSW 0-10
Sunday Night SSE 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning WSW 10-20
Sunday Afternoon W 10-20
Sunday Evening SW 5-15
Sunday Night SSW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning WSW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Sunday Evening WSW 10-20
Sunday Night SW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning WSW 20-30
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Sunday Evening WSW 25-35
Sunday Night WSW 25-35

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Feb 13, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.