Issued: 1:44 PM PST Thursday, February 11, 2021
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

BRRRR! It's cold outside this afternoon. Nearly all of our weather stations continue to report temperatures in the single digits or low teens. Expect very cold weather to persist overnight and into the weekend. With such cold temperatures, make sure to cover up your skin. Frostbite and other cold-related injuries can occur quickly with wind chill values well below 0F. 

Radar images currently show a band of snow showers blanketing the southern portion of our forecast area on both sides of the Cascades. This trend should continue overnight as the associated low-pressure system drifts down the Oregan coast and into California. Expect low elevation and mountain snow in locations south of I90, while areas closer to the Canadian border see partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. As the weather system travels further south, easterly winds should decrease slightly, but continue to drive offshore flow. 

A very weak and short-lived high-pressure ridge will quickly pass over the area on Friday but do little to change the general pattern in the weather. Snow showers should continue for the southern and eastern zones. An approaching trough will continue to drive easterly winds across the Cascade crest. This system should arrive Friday evening and spread snow across all of the Pacific Northwest. While the jet stream helps focus the bulk of the precipitation on areas towards the south, this system should return snow to the North Cascades. On Saturday, the deepening trough will push additional snow over the mountains to areas further east and maintain the cold and snowy weather into the first part of the weekend. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Cold. Cloudy with isolated snow showers.
Friday Cold. Cloudy with possible flurries.
Thursday Night Cold. Mostly clear.
Friday Cold. Mostly sunny. Increasing high clouds late in the day.
Thursday Night Cold. Partly cloudy with snow flurries possible
Friday Cold. Partly to mostly cloudy with snow flurries possible.
Thursday Night Cold. Cloudy with light snow showers. Moderate to strong SE winds decreasing overnight.
Friday Cold. Cloudy with light snow showers. Moderate SE winds with strong gusts.
Thursday Night Cold. Cloudy with isolated light showers. Moderate E winds.
Friday Cold. Cloudy with isolated light showers. Moderate E winds.
Thursday Night Cold. Cloudy with light showers. Moderate E winds with stronger gusts.
Friday Cold with light showers. Moderate E winds with stronger gusts.
Thursday Night Very cold. Mostly clear. Flurries possible further south.
Friday Cold. Mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Very cold. Partly to mostly cloudy with light showers possible.
Friday Cold. Partly to mostly cloudy with very light showers possible.
Thursday Night Cold. Cloudy with light snow showers.
Friday Cold. Cloudy with light snow showers.
Thursday Night Cloudy with light to moderate snow. Strong W winds.
Friday Cloudy with light to moderate snow. Strong W winds increasing in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Washington Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline 0.50 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon*
Olympics 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 15 / 10 22 / 8
West North 12 / 5 17 / 5
West Central 15 / 6 19 / 5
West South 16 / 8 20 / 8
Stevens Pass 11 / 1 15 / 2
Snoqualmie Pass 14 / 8 23 / 6
East North 9 / 0 18 / 0
East Central 11 / 0 17 / 2
East South 13 / 6 21 / 2
Mt. Hood 21 / 11 23 / 12
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 15 / 10
Friday 22 / 8
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 12 / 5
Friday 17 / 5
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 15 / 6
Friday 19 / 5
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 16 / 8
Friday 20 / 8
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 11 / 1
Friday 15 / 2
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 14 / 8
Friday 23 / 6
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 9 / 0
Friday 18 / 0
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 11 / 0
Friday 17 / 2
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 13 / 6
Friday 21 / 2
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 11
Friday 23 / 12

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics E 5-15 VAR 0-10 VAR 0-10 S 0-10
West North E 15-25 ESE 10-20 ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15
West Central E 15-25 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20
West South SE 25-35 SE 15-25 SE 10-20 SE 10-20
Stevens Pass E 15-25 E 15-25 E 10-20 E 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass E 20-30 E 15-25 E 10-20 E 15-25
East North ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20 ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15
East Central E 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 0-10 SE 0-10
East South SE 15-25 SSE 10-20 SE 5-15 SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood SW 10-20 W 20-30 W 20-30 W 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 5-15
Thursday Night VAR 0-10
Friday Morning VAR 0-10
Friday Afternoon S 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 15-25
Thursday Night ESE 10-20
Friday Morning ESE 5-15
Friday Afternoon ESE 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 15-25
Thursday Night ESE 10-20
Friday Morning ESE 10-20
Friday Afternoon ESE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 25-35
Thursday Night SE 15-25
Friday Morning SE 10-20
Friday Afternoon SE 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 15-25
Thursday Night E 15-25
Friday Morning E 10-20
Friday Afternoon E 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 20-30
Thursday Night E 15-25
Friday Morning E 10-20
Friday Afternoon E 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening ESE 10-20
Thursday Night ESE 10-20
Friday Morning ESE 5-15
Friday Afternoon ESE 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening E 10-20
Thursday Night SE 10-20
Friday Morning SE 0-10
Friday Afternoon SE 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 15-25
Thursday Night SSE 10-20
Friday Morning SE 5-15
Friday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night W 20-30
Friday Morning W 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

The very cold and snowy theme continues into the long-range forecast. The deep trough responsible for Saturday's precipitation pushes further east as we move into early Sunday morning. This should transition the precipitation to snow showers along the western slopes of the Cascades. However, don't expect too much of a break. A series of short-wave weather systems ahead of a larger low-pressure appear to keep the weather active, the mountains snowy, and temperatures cold. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 0 500' 0 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 500' 0 500'
Mt. Hood 0 1000' 500' 2500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday * 500'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday * 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday * 500'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday * 500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday * 1000'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday * 2500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 11, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.