Issued: 2:05 PM PST Friday, January 29, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A weakening front spreads light snow into the region Friday evening which should increase overnight. The focus of the light to locally moderate snow shifts from the Olympics to the Cascades on Saturday as the initial front slows and stalls over the region. SSW flow favors the volcanoes where we expect up to 1 ft of snow to fall by late Saturday with the highest totals likely for Mt. St. Helens, Mt. Baker, and the southern Olympics. The Cascade Passes and east slopes can expect 1-3" accumulations. SSW ridgeline winds should reach the moderate range on Saturday at Mt. Baker and Mt. Hood. E flow will peak early Saturday morning in the light to occasionally moderate range. Snow levels should remain well below pass level on Saturday.

Light to moderate snow continues across the Cascades with the initial front Saturday day night, but a second frontal band approaches, and snow levels gradually start to rise. By early Sunday morning, moderate to heavy rain and snow at the vigorous leading edge of a deep trough focuses on the Olympics and then the Cascades volcanoes during the day on Sunday. A round of moderate to strong southerly winds will also focus on the Olympics and Mt. Baker are early Sunday. Snow levels are expected to reach 3000-3500 ft at Snoqualmie Pass during the day on Sunday. A weakening cold air pool combined with light to moderate E flow may be enough to keep the Pass mostly snow. Saturday night through Sunday, Mt. Baker, Paradise, and Mt. Hood can expect around a foot of snow with 6" or less expected at other NWAC weather stations.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Increasing light snow.
Saturday Cloudy with periods of light snow, mainly in the morning.
Friday Night Light snow developing during the evening and increasing overnight.
Saturday Moderate snow.
Friday Night Light snow developing during the evening and increasing overnight.
Saturday Light to occasionally moderate snow.
Friday Night Light snow developing during the evening hours and increasing overnight, favoring the south sides of the volcanoes.
Saturday Light to moderate snow favoring the south sides of the volcanoes. Heaviest in the morning hours.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening with light snow developing during the early morning hours. Light E wind developing at the Pass.
Saturday Periods of light snow. Light E wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening with light snow developing during the early morning hours. Increasing light E wind at the Pass.
Saturday Periods of light snow. Light E wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the early morning hours.
Saturday Light snow.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the early morning hours.
Saturday Periods of light snow.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening with light snow developing overnight.
Saturday Light to occasionally moderate snow.
Friday Night Increasing light snow potentially becoming moderate.
Saturday Light to occasionally moderate snow. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 0.50 0.50 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Timberline 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon*
Olympics 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500'
West North 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West Central 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3500'
West South 2000' 1500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 4000'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1000' 1000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
East North 1500' 500' 500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East Central 2000' 1000' 1000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
East South 2000' 1500' 1500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2000' 2500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday Morning* 500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon* 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 24 / 21 25 / 19
West North 23 / 20 27 / 23
West Central 22 / 20 27 / 23
West South 25 / 21 29 / 25
Stevens Pass 21 / 20 28 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 23 / 20 26 / 21
East North 19 / 17 25 / 17
East Central 21 / 19 26 / 20
East South 22 / 19 31 / 22
Mt. Hood 26 / 23 32 / 26
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 21
Saturday 25 / 19
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 20
Saturday 27 / 23
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 22 / 20
Saturday 27 / 23
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 21
Saturday 29 / 25
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 20
Saturday 28 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 20
Saturday 26 / 21
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 19 / 17
Saturday 25 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 19
Saturday 26 / 20
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 22 / 19
Saturday 31 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 26 / 23
Saturday 32 / 26

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 10-20 SSW 5-15
West North S 10-20 S 15-25 SSW 15-25 S 20-30
West Central SSW 5-15 SSE 5-15 S 5-15 S 10-20
West South SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SW 15-25 SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass SSW 0-10 S 5-15 SSW 5-15 S 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SW 0-10 ESE 5-15 SSE 5-15 ESE 5-15
East North SW 0-10 S 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15
East Central SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 5-15
East South WSW 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 5-15
Mt. Hood SW 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 10-20
Friday Night SSW 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SSW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 10-20
Friday Night S 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon S 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 5-15
Friday Night SSE 5-15
Saturday Morning S 5-15
Saturday Afternoon S 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 5-15
Friday Night SSW 10-20
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning SSW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon S 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 0-10
Friday Night ESE 5-15
Saturday Morning SSE 5-15
Saturday Afternoon ESE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 5-15
Saturday Afternoon S 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night SSW 10-20
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SSW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night SW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SSW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 15-25
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning SW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SW 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

The deep offshore trough and associated filling upper-level low-pressure center drift ever-so-slowly SE. This keeps our region in the active zone on the active side of the trough Sunday night and Monday. Shower activity becomes lighter Monday night as the trough and downstream heavier precipitation shift southeast. The trough axis should reach the Pacific Northwest on Tuesday with cooler temperatures, snow showers, and light winds.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night* Monday * Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 3000' 3000' 2500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3500' 2500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 4500' 4000' 3000' 2500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday * 3000'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday * 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday * 3500'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday * 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night* 4500'
Monday * 4000'
Monday Night* 3000'
Tuesday * 2500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 29, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.