Issued: 7:59 AM PST Thursday, December 12, 2013
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Tuesday

Yesterday's ridge of high pressure is shifting inland over Idaho this morning as a Pacific frontal system approaches us.  The frontal system should spread light rain and snow inland during the day...with the front reaching the Cascades in the late afternoon or early evening. Precipitation amounts have been shifted downward with this system.  A strong temperature inversion exists near the Cascade passes with plenty of cold air over on the eastern side of state (Mazama is in the single digits, while many higher elevation NWAC sites are above freezing).  With the easterly flow in the Cascade passes through late afternoon, a mix of snow and freezing rain could begin for Snoqualmie Pass before westerly flow resets the snow level to around 3500 ft later this evening. 

Showers will continue through Friday morning with weak NW flow aloft.  Light showers and/or light warm frontal precipitation from a system offshore and directed at the central British Columbia coast should continue dribs and drabs of precipitation for the west slopes of the Olympics and Cascades on Friday.  A slight warming trend should take place Friday.  The upper level ridge will flatten Friday night but the area should remain mostly dry as frontal system stays well north of the border. 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Thursday

Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow developing Olympics and North Cascades in the late morning/early afternoon. 

Thursday Evening - Friday Morning

Light to moderate rain and snow, heaviest west slopes. Short period of freezing rain possibly mixed with rain/snow for Cascades Passes at the onset of precipitation in the late afternoon/early evening.  

Thursday Night - Friday

Light rain and snow showers generally decreasing except light to moderate showers North Cascades. 

Mt. Hood Area
Thursday

Mostly cloudy. 

Thursday Evening - Friday Morning

Light rain and snow developing in the evening.  

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday

Mostly cloudy. 

Thursday Evening

Light rain and snow developing in the evening. 

Thursday Night - Friday Afternoon

Light rain and snow showers generally decreasing on Friday.  

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 3000' ' ' ' ' 3000' ' 5000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 4000' ' ' ' ' 3500' ' 3500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level 5000' ' ' ' ' 3500' ' 3500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level 5000' ' ' ' ' 4000' ' 4500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night Snow Level
'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night Snow Level
'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night Snow Level
6500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Tuesday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 15 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20 --- - W 10 - 20 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday - Friday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday - Friday Night WSW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday SW 15 - 30
Thursday Night WSW 15 - 25
Friday - Friday Night WSW 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday - Friday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday - Friday Night WSW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday SW 15 - 30
Thursday Night WSW 15 - 25
Friday - Friday Night WSW 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday - Thursday --- - --- - SW 30 - 40 --- - SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night - Thursday --- - --- - W 15 - 25 --- - W 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday --- -
Thursday Night - Thursday --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday --- -
Thursday Night - Thursday --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday SW 30 - 40
Thursday Night - Thursday W 15 - 25
Friday - Friday Night NW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday --- -
Thursday Night - Thursday --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night - Thursday W 15 - 25
Friday - Friday Night NW 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

The weak frontal system aimed at central British Columbia should move south and drape over the N Cascades and Olympics on Saturday, and finally shift south Saturday night.  Rain/snow amounts looks generally light with this system and will be accompanied by rising snow levels Saturday night. Of interest with this system should be the strong westerly winds experienced in the alpine as the jet stream sags south and becomes aimed at Washington.   

Showers along with some cooling should take place Sunday day through early Monday as an upper ridge of high pressure re-establishes itself along the west coast.   Showers should decrease later Monday.  

 

 

Extended Weather

Washington Cascades
Saturday

Mostly cloudy with periods of light rain or snow North Cascades.  Strong alpine winds.  

Saturday Night - Sunday Morning

Mostly cloudy with periods of light rain or snow, except occasionally moderate North Cascades.  Strong alpine winds.  Warming overnight. 

Sunday Afternoon - Monday

Light rain and snow showers diminishing on Monday.  Cooling Sunday night and Monday. 

Mt. Hood Area
Saturday Morning - Saturday Evening

Partly to mostly cloudy.  

Saturday Night - Sunday Morning

Mostly cloudy with periods of light rain or snow.  Strong alpine winds.  Warming overnight. 

Sunday Afternoon - Monday

Light rain and snow showers diminishing early Monday.  

Monday Afternoon

Partly cloudy. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Snow Level ' - ' 4500' - 5500' 4500' - 5500'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level ' - ' 5000' - 7000' 6000' - 8000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
' - '
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
' - '
Sunday Afternoon - Monday Snow Level
' - '
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
5000' - 7000'
Sunday Afternoon - Monday Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
6000' - 8000'
Sunday Afternoon - Monday Snow Level
4000' - 6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

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The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.