Issued: 2:02 PM PDT Friday, March 14, 2014
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday & Sunday

A frontal system passed through the Pacific Northwest this morning delivering a few hours of moderate rain and snow. Moderate cooling and post-frontal showers this afternoon should diminish overnight.  The air mass is marginally unstable and cool enough to support a few thunderstorms with the heavier showers likely producing graupel.  Forecast models indicate the area of convergence between Stevens Pass and the Mtn Loop Highway lasting through the evening. There should be some sunbreaks over the west slopes this afternoon with partly cloudy skies likely for the east slopes and Mt. Hood area.   

A shortwave ridge should begin to build offshore overnight.  The next frontal system offshore should flatten and shift the ridge inland on Saturday. The heaviest rain and snow should stay north of the border Saturday, but moderate rain and snow is likely for the west slopes of the Olympics and the north Cascades during the daylight hours. Warmer air should work into the region on Saturday with gradually increasing snow levels through Saturday night.  There may be a period of light mixed precipitation at Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes Saturday mid-day through the afternoon with easterly flow at pass level. The frontal band should sag south Saturday night spreading light to moderate precipitation to the central Cascades. The frontal boundary looks likely to hang up north of Mt. Hood...with little precipitation expected for the Mt. Hood area or the south Washington Cascades through Saturday night. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics and north Washington Cascades near and west of the crest
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers, slight cooling.  Mostly cloudy with sunbreaks in the afternoon. 

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy. 

Saturday

Light rain and snow becoming moderate for the west slopes of the Olympics and north Cascades in the afternoon.  Gradual warming. 

Central and South Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers, slight cooling.  Heaviest snow showers likely near Stevens Pass this afternoon and evening. Mostly cloudy with sunbreaks in the afternoon elsewhere. 

Friday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy. 

Saturday

Light rain and snow developing central Cascades in the late morning and spreading south in the afternoon.  Light mixed precipitation possible Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes mid-day and afternoon.  Gradual warming. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Light rain and snow showers, slight cooling.  Moderate snow showers likely near Stevens Pass this afternoon and early evening. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon elsewhere. 

Friday Night

Partly cloudy. 

Saturday

Light rain and snow developing northeast Cascades in the morning and spreading south in the afternoon.   Rain and snow becoming moderate northeast Cascades in the afternoon. 

Mt. Hood Area
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers, slight cooling.  Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.  

Friday Night - Saturday Morning

Partly cloudy. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' ' ' ' ' 4000' ' 5000'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level 3500' ' ' ' ' 3000' ' 5000'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level * 6500' ' ' ' ' 4000' ' 5500'
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level * 7000' ' ' ' ' 6000' ' 7500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
5500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Friday Night - Saturday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
6500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Sunday
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0 - 1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 0.75 0 - 2.00
Washington Pass 0 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.75 - 1.00 LT 0.25
White Pass 0 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.10
1.50 - 2.00 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon W 15 - 25 --- - WSW 25 - 35 --- - W 20 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning S 10 - 20 --- - W 5 - 15 --- - SW 5 - 15
Saturday Mid-day SW 35 - 45 --- - SSW 10 - 20 --- - SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 35 - 45 --- - SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night - Saturday Morning S 10 - 20
Saturday Mid-day SW 35 - 45
Saturday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Saturday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Mid-day --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning W 5 - 15
Saturday Mid-day SSW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Mid-day --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon W 20 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 5 - 15
Saturday Mid-day SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SW 15 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Night - Saturday Morning S 10 - 20
Saturday Mid-day SW 35 - 45
Saturday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Saturday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Mid-day --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning W 5 - 15
Saturday Mid-day SSW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Mid-day --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Afternoon W 20 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 5 - 15
Saturday Mid-day SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SW 15 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Afternoon --- - --- - NW 35 - 45 --- - NW 40 - 50
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- - --- - W 25 - 35 --- - W 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon - Evening --- - --- - WSW 40 - 55 --- - WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon - Evening --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon - Evening --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon NW 35 - 45
Friday Night - Saturday Morning W 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon - Evening WSW 40 - 55
Saturday Night SW 45 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon - Evening --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon NW 40 - 50
Friday Night - Saturday Morning W 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon - Evening WSW 30 - 40
Saturday Night WSW 45 - 55

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

The next wave along the frontal boundary should pass through the area on Sunday with gradual cooling through the day.  The trough axis should pass through Sunday night for further cooling and a transition to showers Sunday night.  The heaviest precipitation for Mt. Hood should hold off until Sunday night under this forecast scenario. 

Showers with cool northwest flow aloft should diminish Monday afternoon through Monday night as an upper level ridge builds offshore. The ridge axis should build over the west coast on Tuesday and bring a dry day and a slight warming trend.  

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades
Sunday

Light to moderate rain and snow, heaviest north and central Washington Cascades. Cooling trend. 

Sunday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow showers, heaviest west slopes.  Cooling trend. 

Monday - Monday Night

Mostly cloudy with scattered rain and snow showers diminishing overnight. 

Tuesday

Partly sunny. 

Mt. Hood Area
Sunday

Light rain and snow. Slight cooling trend. 

Sunday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow becoming showers overnight.  Cooling trend. 

Monday - Monday Night

Mostly cloudy with scattered rain and snow showers diminishing overnight. 

Tuesday

Partly sunny. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Morning Snow Level ' - ' 3500' - 4500' 6000' - 7000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level ' - ' 3000' - 4000' 5500' - 6500'
Sunday Night - Monday Night Snow Level ' - ' 2000' - 3000' 2000' - 3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Morning Snow Level
' - '
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
' - '
Sunday Night - Monday Night Snow Level
' - '
Tuesday Freezing Level
' - '
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Sunday Night - Monday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Tuesday Freezing Level
4000' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Sunday Night - Monday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3500'
Tuesday Freezing Level
4500' - 5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 14, 2014

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