Issued: 2:48 PM PST Thursday, March 5, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Saturday

A warm front lingers near the Canadian border Thursday afternoon, while a cold front slows as it rotates due to a digging trough offshore. The cold frontal rain band brings moderate rain and snow to the Olympic mountains and will spread that moisture into the Mt. Baker area, where it should produce heavy snow during the evening hours. The whole package gradually drifts ESE overnight and weakens, moving the diminished precipitation band into the Mt. Hood area early Friday morning. The SSW flow should favor the volcanoes with Mt. Baker, followed by Paradise receiving significantly more moisture than other areas. The Cascade Passes and east slopes should receive the least with around 0.25" of water by mid-day Saturday. Precipitation will mix with rain up to around 4000-5000 ft as the precipitation arrives Thursday evening, but snow levels should lower to Snoqualmie Pass level by morning. Strong to very strong winds at Mt. Baker should decrease rapidly with the frontal passage early Friday evening, but some stong winds should shift to areas east of the Cascade Cascade Crest, areas around Mt. Rainier, and Mt. Hood.

The flow remains out of the southwest as the offshore trough continues to rotate offshore. The light snow band winds down on Friday in some areas but lingers on Mt. Hood as the weakened front hobbles to the ESE. As the cloud shield shifts ESE, the day will become partly cloudy in some areas of northern and central Washington State. Chances for scattered convective snow showers should increase later in the afternoon for the Olympics and Mt. Baker areas. 

Friday night, the upper trough continues to brush the Olympics which should receive scattered showers while isolated showers linger across the Cascades.

The splitting trough finally moves onshore on Saturday with the cold air aloft, expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with enhanced convective snow and graupel showers, that should be more widespread and heaviest in the afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Thursday Night Light snow decreasing and ending by late evening. Then partly clearing skies after midnight. Cooling temperatures.
Mt. Baker
Thursday Night Heavy snow in the evening, then moderate snow from 10 PM to 2 AM, then light snow ending in the morning. Strong alpine winds ramping down into the moderate range by late evening. Lowering snow levels.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Thursday Night Very light rain and snow mainly near the Cascade Crest. Strong winds possible along exposed ridges near Crest Level until midnight. Cooling temperatures.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Thursday Night Light rain and snow. Snow levels lowering to Snoqualmie Pass level by morning. Light W winds through the Passes. Cooling temperatures.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Thursday Night Moderate snow at Paradise with light snow at Crystal and White Pass. Strong alpine winds are likely NE of Mt. Rainier in the Crystal vicinity during the evening. Cooling temperatures.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Night Light rain and snow arriving after midnight. Decreasing strong winds are likely above treeline. Cooling temperatures.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening Snow Level 3000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level 2000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 1000' 2000' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 2000' 2000' 3500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 4000'
Friday Evening Snow Level 1500' 1500' 2500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Friday Night Snow Level 500' 500' 1500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 500' 1000' 1500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Snow Level
500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Snow Level
500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Night Saturday Saturday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 LT 0.10 0 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Leavenworth 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Saturday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening SSW 10 - 20 SSW 15 - 25 WSW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSW 5 - 15 SSW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 SSW 10 - 20 SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning WSW 0 - 10 SW 5 - 15 WSW 5 - 15 WSW 5 - 15 SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SSW 5 - 15
Friday Morning WSW 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Friday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Evening SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SSW 5 - 15
Friday Morning WSW 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Friday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening SSW 40 - 50 SW 35 - 45 SW 35 - 45 SW 40 - 50 SW 45 - 60
Thursday Night SSW 30 - 40 SW 25 - 35 WSW 30 - 40 WSW 30 - 40 SW 45 - 55
Friday Morning SSW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 SW 30 - 40 SW 20 - 30 SW 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SSW 40 - 50
Thursday Night SSW 30 - 40
Friday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night WSW 30 - 40
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 50
Thursday Night WSW 30 - 40
Friday Morning SW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 45 - 60
Thursday Night SW 45 - 55
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Saturday

Cool and slightly unsettled weather continues. The trough lingers Saturday night and Sunday with a mix of sunshine and scattered snow shower activity generally peaking during the mid-day and afternoon hours, but becoming increasingly isolated. Sunday night the trough begins to exit east and flow switches northerly on Monday with drier weather Sunday night and ample sunshine on Monday.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Night Freezing Level 500' - 1500' 500' - 2000' 1000' - 2500'
Sunday Freezing Level 0' - 2000' 500' - 2500' 1500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level 500' - 2500' 1000' - 3000' 2500' - 4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Night Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Sunday Freezing Level
0' - 2000'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
500' - 2500'
Monday Freezing Level
500' - 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night Freezing Level
500' - 2000'
Sunday Freezing Level
500' - 2500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
1000' - 3000'
Monday Freezing Level
1000' - 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night Freezing Level
1000' - 2500'
Sunday Freezing Level
1500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
2500' - 4000'
Monday Freezing Level
2000' - 4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 5, 2020

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