Issued: 2:31 PM PST Friday, February 28, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Tuesday

Friday featured above freezing temperatures into the alpine in many locations across the region with sunny skies gradually giving way to mid and high-level clouds.

The next frontal system currently arrives along the Olympic coastline, featuring a frontal rainband with moderate to heavy precipitation. The frontal system should cross the region Friday evening, bringing the rain and snow with it and sharp cooling. Snow levels could be down to 2000 ft by late evening in many locations as post-frontal shower activity follows in the wake of the front. Precipitation should be the heaviest overnight where the frontal rainband is thicker (in the central and north Cascades). The upper-level low passes later Saturday night and the unstable air associated with a digging trough on Sunday should favor southern Washington and particularly the Mt. Hood region for snowfall on Saturday, with most of the event already finished for Mt. Baker by mid-morning on Saturday.

Areas favored by a southerly flow, such as Mt. Baker, can expect winds to peak in the evening with the frontal passage. A significant westerly push behind the front should bring additional wind through the passes and E slopes of the Cascades overnight with some lingering into the morning. This wind event should not be as strong or as long-lived as with the storm last weekend.

Convergence may enhance snow in the Central Cascades on Saturday into Saturday evening with the convergence activity likely shifting southward through the central Cascades on Saturday, potentially lingering on Snoqualmie Pass Saturday evening or even the Crystal Mountain area Saturday evening. Storm totals should be in the 6-12" range for the west slopes of the Cascades and passes with 12-16" for Mt. Baker, Paradise, and Mt. Hood.

Northerly flow associated with an offshore ridge moving in aloft should end lingering convergence Saturday night, leaving a cool, generally fair-weather day on Sunday with some trapped low-level moisture near and west of the Cascade Crest leading to partly cloudy conditions.

 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Friday Night Light to moderate rain and snow changing to all snow. Strong cooling. Moderate 5000 ft winds.
Mt. Baker
Friday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow changing to all snow as temperatures drop quickly in the early evening. Moderate 5000 ft winds gusting strong in the evening.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Friday Night Increasing light to moderate snow developing and quickly changing to all snow and continuing overnight. Strong crest-level winds from Washington Pass southward, potentially very strong in the central Cascades easing somewhat by morning.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow changing to all snow by 7-8 PM. Strong to very strong crest-level winds. W winds through the Passes 15-25 mph.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Friday Night Rain and snow developing during the evening hours quickly switching to all snow. Precipitation should be moderate to heavy at Paradise; moderate at White Pass; and light at Crystal. Alpine winds will be strong to very strong.
Mt. Hood
Friday Night Increasing moderate rain and snow changing to all snow by late evening. Very strong alpine winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Evening Snow Level 2500' 3500' 4500' 5000' 4500' 4000' 4500' 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level 2000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 1000' 0' 500' 1000' 500' 1000' 500' 1000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
1500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
500'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
1500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
500'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
1500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
500'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
1500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Leavenworth LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Stevens Pass 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 0.50 0.25 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Paradise 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 LT 0.10 0
0.50 - 0.75 0.75 LT 0.25 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening WSW 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35
Friday Night W 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 20 - 30 W 30 - 40
Saturday Morning W 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20 W 10 - 20 W 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Friday Night W 15 - 25
Saturday Morning W 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening SW 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning W 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Friday Night W 30 - 40
Saturday Morning W 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Friday Night W 15 - 25
Saturday Morning W 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Friday Night WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning W 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Friday Night W 30 - 40
Saturday Morning W 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon W 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SW 35 - 45 SW 40 - 50 WSW 40 - 55 WSW 35 - 50 WSW 45 - 65
Friday Night WSW 35 - 45 WSW 40 - 50 W 40 - 55 W 40 - 50 W 40 - 55
Saturday Morning WSW 20 - 30 W 30 - 40 WNW 20 - 30 W 20 - 30 W 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 35 - 45
Friday Night WSW 35 - 45
Saturday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 40 - 50
Friday Night WSW 40 - 50
Saturday Morning W 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 40 - 55
Friday Night W 40 - 55
Saturday Morning WNW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WNW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 35 - 50
Friday Night W 40 - 50
Saturday Morning W 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 45 - 65
Friday Night W 40 - 55
Saturday Morning W 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon W 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

Active weather continues as a series of systems move over the back side of a strong offshore ridge late Sunday through Tuesday, bringing light to moderate rain and snow on a warming trend. Snow likely changes to rain at pass level by late Monday night.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Night Snow Level 1000' - 2000' 1000' - 2000' 1500' - 2500'
Monday Snow Level 1000' - 2500' 1500' - 3000' 1500' - 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 3000' - 4000' 4000' - 5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Monday Snow Level
1000' - 2500'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 400'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Monday Snow Level
1500' - 3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Tuesday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Monday Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Tuesday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 28, 2020

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