Issued: 1:38 PM PST Tuesday, February 25, 2020
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Thursday

A frontal system currently draped over Vancouver Island is spreading a few showers and increasing clouds over Washington State this afternoon. The front will slide through the region later this evening with light rain and snow showers extending south along the Washington Cascades. All areas near and west of the Cascade crest should see cloudy conditions develop tonight and continue through tomorrow morning with the best chance for lingering showers for the north and central Cascades through early afternoon.

Weak upper level ridging will help trap low-level moisture tomorrow, likely preventing a full break-out from I-90 and northward along the west slopes of the Cascades and Olympics. The east slopes of the Cascades, south of I-90 and the Mt. Hood area should all see a fair amount of sunshine Wednesday afternoon. Temperatures should be a notch cooler on Wednesday after the front's passage. Also of note will be the strong NW winds above the Cascade crest level tomorrow affecting the central and north Cascades. 

Wednesday night through Thursday will feature a battle between upper level ridging positioned over the West Coast and a storm track directed into British Columbia. The result will be what's termed a dirty ridge; moisture from frontal systems directed to our north will slip under the ridge, with periods of light rain and snow showers possible for the Mt. Baker area and the Olympics transitioning to warmer and sunnier conditions further south.    

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Tuesday Night Light rain and snow showers becoming scattered showers after midnight.
Mt. Baker
Tuesday Night Light rain and snow showers becoming scattered showers after midnight.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow showers near Washington Pass.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Tuesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow showers. Light east wind at Pass level becoming west after midnight.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Tuesday Night Cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers.
Mt. Hood
Tuesday Night Becoming cloudy overnight with a slight chance of light rain and snow showers.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening Snow Level 4500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 5000' 5500' 7000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 4000' 3500' 3500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 5000' 6000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 3500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 4000' 3000' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4500' 5000'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level 4500' 3000' 2500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 7000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level 4500' 3000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 7000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level 4500' 3500' 3500' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 7000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
4500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
4500'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
2000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
5500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
4000'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
5500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
4500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
4000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
4500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
7000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
6000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
7000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
7000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
7000'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
7500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Leavenworth 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0 0 0
Paradise LT 0.10 0 0 0
White Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening SW 5 - 15 SW 10 - 20 W 5 - 15 W 5 - 15 W 5 - 15
Tuesday Night SW 0 - 10 WSW 5 - 15 W 10 - 20 W 10 - 20 W 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning W 0 - 10 WSW 5 - 15 W 10 - 20 W 5 - 15 W 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening SW 5 - 15
Tuesday Night SW 0 - 10
Wednesday Morning W 0 - 10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening SW 10 - 20
Tuesday Night WSW 5 - 15
Wednesday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening W 5 - 15
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning W 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Evening W 5 - 15
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning W 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening W 5 - 15
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning W 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SW 5 - 15
Tuesday Night SW 0 - 10
Wednesday Morning W 0 - 10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SW 10 - 20
Tuesday Night WSW 5 - 15
Wednesday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 5 - 15
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning W 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 5 - 15
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning W 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 5 - 15
Tuesday Night W 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning W 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon W 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 W 20 - 30 W 20 - 30 WNW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night SW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 W 25 - 35 W 20 - 30 W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning W 20 - 30 W 25 - 35 WNW 25 - 35 NW 25 - 35 WNW 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning W 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon NW 25 - 35
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning W 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon NW 35 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 20 - 30
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning WNW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon NW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 20 - 30
Tuesday Night W 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning NW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon NW 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WNW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning WNW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon NW 20 - 30

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

The upper level ridge shifts inland and amplifies Thursday night and Friday as a stronger frontal system digs well offshore. This will back the upper level flow to SW, allowing freezing levels to soar on Friday, especially for areas south of I-90. Cloud cover should again have a strong N-S distinction with more clouds likely for the north Cascades and Olympics and fewer clouds southward. 

A frontal system will pass through Friday night with post-frontal showers on Saturday. Forecast models differ at this time whether the front sweeps through with strong winds and orographic lifting to enhance post-frontal showers along the west slopes of the Cascades or the parent trough digs south along the West Coast and decreases the chances the frontal system is a significant precipitation and wind event. In either scenario, freezing levels will drop heading into the weekend. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Night Freezing Level 4500' - 5500' 5500' - 6500' 7500' - 8500'
Friday Freezing Level 5500' - 6500' 6500' - 7500' 8500' - 9500'
Friday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4500' 3000' - 5000' 3500' - 5500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night Freezing Level
4500' - 5500'
Friday Freezing Level
5500' - 6500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4500'
Saturday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night Freezing Level
5500' - 6500'
Friday Freezing Level
6500' - 7500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Saturday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night Freezing Level
7500' - 8500'
Friday Freezing Level
8500' - 9500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3500' - 5500'
Saturday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 25, 2020

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