Issued: 4:48 PM PST Thursday, February 13, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Tuesday

Updated due to an error in the Mt. Rainier snow levels.

A weak front crossed the Cascades on Thursday afternoon with only very light precipitation for the central and north Washington Cascades. It has spawned a convergence zone currently located over northern Snohomish County, but this should shift southward during the evening hours and further overnight, focusing on the central Cascades, generally from Snoqualmie Pass northward. Snow shower activity should increase during the evening hours throughout the region as colder air moves into the region, associated with an upper trough. W or WNW winds should ramp up and should peak Thursday evening (strong to extreme in some alpine locations), but maintain significant speed through much of the day on Friday before gradually decreasing. Expect the strongest winds east of the Cascades Crest, and from the central Washington Cascades south to Mt. Hood. The westerly wind accelerates through E-W passes, so winds should be significant down to Pass level. Post-frontal snow-showers should be lighter on Friday and gradually decreasing with continued chances for some convergence in the central Cascades.

Westerly flow continues Friday night with very light snow showers in the evening and then a slight increase in snow as a new system approaches from the west. A new low is forecast to develop along the front in the vicinity of Vancouver Island, strengthening the system on Saturday and bringing increasing moderate snowfall to the region, peaking in the Cascades in the late afternoon and evening hours.

Snow levels don't change drastically, varying between 1000-3000 ft during this period.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Thursday Night Light snow showers.
Mt. Baker
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Thursday Night Light snow showers, heaviest in the central Cascades where convergence may spill over. Strong to extreme alpine winds, particularly in central and south parts.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Thursday Night Moderate snow, heaviest in convergence bands, likely focused on Snohomish county in the evening, with chances of convergence shifting southward toward Snoqualmie overnight as well. West winds 15-25 mph through the mountain gaps and moderate to strong at 5000 ft.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Thursday Night Moderate snow at Paradise, light to moderate snow at White Pass, and light snow at Crystal. Strong to extreme alpine winds.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Night Moderate snow. Very strong to extreme alpine winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening Snow Level 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 2000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Friday Evening Snow Level 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Friday Night Snow Level 1500' 1500' 500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Snow Level
500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Leavenworth LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25
Paradise 0.50 0.25 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Night W 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20 WSW 25 - 35 W 20 - 30 W 30 - 40
Friday Morning W 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20 W 20 - 30 W 15 - 25 W 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15 WSW 5 - 15 W 15 - 25 W 10 - 20 W 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday Morning W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night W 30 - 40
Friday Morning W 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday Morning W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Friday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Night W 30 - 40
Friday Morning W 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening WSW 25 - 35 W 30 - 40 W 30 - 40 W 30 - 40 W 45 - 60
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30 W 35 - 45 W 30 - 40 W 35 - 45 W 45 - 60
Friday Morning W 20 - 30 W 25 - 35 W 30 - 40 WSW 30 - 40 NW 45 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 30 - 40
Thursday Night W 35 - 45
Friday Morning W 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 30 - 40
Thursday Night W 30 - 40
Friday Morning W 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WNW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 30 - 40
Thursday Night W 35 - 45
Friday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon WNW 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 45 - 60
Thursday Night W 45 - 60
Friday Morning NW 45 - 60
Friday Afternoon NW 40 - 55

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

The reasonably juicy frontal system arriving Saturday slides southward on Saturday night, with decreasing snow expected from north to south. Decreasing perturbations in a NW flow should keep snow showers continuing on and off Sunday through Monday as a ridge builds into the near-shore waters, cutting off the moisture supply. Snow levels drop slightly Saturday night and stay low throughout the period.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Night Snow Level 1500' - 2500' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Sunday Snow Level 500' - 1500' 1000' - 2000' 2000' - 3000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 0' - 1500' 1000' - 2000' 1000' - 2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Sunday Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 1500'
Monday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Monday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Monday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 13, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.