Issued: 2:01 PM PST Thursday, February 6, 2020
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Sunday

An atmospheric river continues to impact the Pacific Northwest, delivering impressive water amounts from roughly the Mt. Loop Highway and south to Mt St Helens. Significant precipitation for the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood has been the easy part of the forecast. A warm frontal boundary cutting through the central Puget Sound region (winds are out of the North in the north sound, south in the south Sound as of 2 pm) shifted a bit further south this morning and dragged snow levels down to 3000-4500' across most of the Washington Cascades.

The warm front is currently shifting back to the north this afternoon. It's hard to believe given the oscillating snow levels over the last 36 hrs, but snow levels should briefly bump up from Hwy 2 and along the south Washington Cascades through early this evening. Snow levels should dip once again late this evening as the cold front equivalent shifts the axis of the heaviest precipitation to the south overnight. The moisture tap will start to turn off later tonight and precipitation rates should become much lighter during the morning hours. Strong to extreme west winds from I-90 and south to Mt. Hood will continue through Friday morning.

We won't benefit from much of a break, as a quickly deepening low pressure system tracking north of Vancouver Island renews precipitation across the area in the form of another warm front by Friday afternoon. Winds will increase for the Olympics and Mt. Baker late in the day. A strong cold front is poised to pass through the Cascades between 7-10pm Friday evening, with colder air filtering in behind the front. Post-frontal snow showers should be the most intense along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood late Friday night through Saturday morning, delivering light to moderate amounts of snow. 

An upper level ridge amplifying offshore around 140W will turn the flow aloft northerly by Saturday afternoon. The orographic enhancement of westerly flow will begin to shut off, and showers should become lighter and more scattered by the afternoon.  

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow decreasing late.
Mt. Baker
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow decreasing late.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow decreasing late.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Thursday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow. Strong winds, especially the Snoqualmie corridor.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Thursday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow. Strong winds.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Night Moderate rain and snow. Strong to extreme winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening Snow Level 6000' 4000' 4000' 5000' 4500' 5500' 6000' 6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level 5000' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5500' 6500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 4500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4500' 5000' 6500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 4500' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 5000' 5000' 6000'
Friday Evening Snow Level 3500' 3500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4500'
Friday Night Snow Level 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
6500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
6500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Night Sunday Sunday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10
Leavenworth LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 2.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 -1.00 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 2.00 0.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
1.50 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 2.00
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Sunday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 2.00
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 1.00
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening W 20 - 30 W 10 - 20 W 25 - 35 W 25 - 35 W 40 - 50
Thursday Night W 10 - 20 W 15 - 25 W 25 - 35 W 20 - 30 W 40 - 50
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 W 15 - 25 W 15 - 25 W 35 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening W 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening W 10 - 20
Thursday Night W 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon S 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening W 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Evening W 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening W 40 - 50
Thursday Night W 40 - 50
Friday Morning W 35 - 45
Friday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 10 - 20
Thursday Night W 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon S 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 40 - 50
Thursday Night W 40 - 50
Friday Morning W 35 - 45
Friday Afternoon W 25 - 35

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening W 30 - 40 W 35 - 45 NW 55 - 65 NW 55 - 65 NW 60 - 70
Thursday Night W 30 - 40 W 30 - 40 WNW 40 - 50 WNW 50 - 60 WNW 60 - 70
Friday Morning W 30 - 40 W 30 - 40 WNW 40 - 50 WNW 50 - 60 WNW 60 - 70
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 30 - 40
Thursday Night W 30 - 40
Friday Morning W 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 35 - 45
Thursday Night W 30 - 40
Friday Morning W 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening NW 55 - 65
Thursday Night WNW 40 - 50
Friday Morning WNW 40 - 50
Friday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening NW 55 - 65
Thursday Night WNW 50 - 60
Friday Morning WNW 50 - 60
Friday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening NW 60 - 70
Thursday Night WNW 60 - 70
Friday Morning WNW 60 - 70
Friday Afternoon W 40 - 50

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

The upper-level ridge will be the dominant weather feature through the extended period. Cool and dry conditions are expected Sunday and Sunday night. The cloud forecast is tricky, there will likely be periods of high clouds floating down over the ridge, especially Sunday night and Monday. As the ridge shifts closer to the coast on Monday, warmer air will begin to move in aloft and may result in temperature inversions by Monday afternoon. For those looking ahead and wondering about less stormy times, the weather pattern at least through the end of the week looks much quieter compared to anything we've seen since the beginning of the year. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Night Freezing Level 1000' - 2000' 1000' - 2000' 1500' - 2500'
Sunday Freezing Level 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' 3500' - 4500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level 500' - 1500' 1500' - 2500' 5000' - 6000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Night Freezing Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday Freezing Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Monday Freezing Level
3000' - 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night Freezing Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday Freezing Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
Monday Freezing Level
3500' - 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
Sunday Freezing Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday Night Freezing Level
5000' - 6000'
Monday Freezing Level
6000' - 7000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 6, 2020

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