Issued: 1:50 PM PST Wednesday, January 22, 2020
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Tuesday

Warm, wet, and windy seems to sum up the short-term forecast. Widespread precipitation should cover most of the region Wednesday night and into the day Thursday. There's enough momentum with this round of precipitation to bring showers east of the Cascades, particularly north of Hwy 2. Weather models tend to agree that this system should be a significant water producer in most areas. The trickier part of the forecast is the timing of the warm-up. A pulse of warm air will work from south and west to the north and east. This will shoot snow levels well into the near treeline band for nearly all locations. Most areas are expected to see this increase overnight, but places like Mt Baker and WA Pass could hang on to colder air into the morning hours Thursday. The warm air appears to win the battle in all areas, including valleys east of the crest, by mid-morning Thursday. Moderate to strong winds will accompany the warm and wet pattern throughout the time period, adding to the ferocity of the storm. 

Precipitation should become more showery in nature late Thursday into Thursday night/Friday as a weak cold-front swings into the region. However, don't get too excited about the word "cold". Snowlevels only seem to nudge down one of two thousand feet for Friday. Weather models disagree with how much rain and snow to expect late in the forecast period, but they do concur that an active weather pattern will continue. 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Wednesday Night Snow showers turning to rain with warming temperatures. Moderate winds.
Mt. Baker
Wednesday Night Moderate to heavy snow, becoming rain and snow with warming temperatures. Moderate winds increasing and becoming strong.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Wednesday Night Rain and snow showers increasing. Warming trend. Moderate winds.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Wednesday Night Rain and snow with warming temperatures. Light easterly flow at Pass level. Moderate winds at ridgecrest.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Wednesday Night Rain and snow, heaviest near the Volcanoes, with warming temperatures. Moderate winds.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Night Rain and high elevation snow. Strong winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening Snow Level * 5500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 5500' 6000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 6500' 6000' 4000' 5500' 6000' 6500' 6500' 7000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 6500' 6000' 4500' 6000' 6500' 7000' 7000' 7000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 6000' 6000' 5000' 6500' 6500' 6500' 7000' 7000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level * 6000' 6000' 5000' 6000' 6000' 6500' 6000' 6500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 5500' 5500' 5000' 5500' 5500' 5500' 5500' 5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5000' 5000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 0.75
Washington Pass 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 0.25
Leavenworth 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 -1.00 0.75 0.75 0.25
0.75 -1.00 0.75 0.75 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 1.00
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday Night 1.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening SW 15 - 25 S 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25 S 20 - 30 SSW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25 S 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 WSW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening S 15 - 25
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning S 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Evening SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 15 - 25
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning S 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening WSW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 40 WSW 30 - 40 WSW 30 - 40 WSW 30 - 40 WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning SW 35 - 45 WSW 40 - 55 WSW 40 - 55 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 40 - 55
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning SW 35 - 45
Thursday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning WSW 40 - 55
Thursday Afternoon WSW 40 - 55
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning WSW 40 - 55
Thursday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning WSW 40 - 55
Thursday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

A series of Pacific storms appear poised to march across the region over the long-term forecast continuing the active and wet weather pattern. Look for periods of heavy precipitation as each storm impacts the area followed by breaks in the action between systems. There's still a lot of questions about timing, strength, and snowlevels with each weather system, but there's decent confidence that we'll stay in the storm track for the time being. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 4500' 4500' - 6500' *
Saturday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 5000' 5000' - 6000' *
Saturday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 3500' - 5000' 4500' - 6000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
3500' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
3500' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
4500' - 6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
4500' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
4000' - 5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 22, 2020

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