Issued: 2:50 PM PST Tuesday, December 31, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Sunday

On Tuesday afternoon, the Pacific Northwest is getting doused by a warm and wet system with a relatively E-W oriented cold front approaching the region. There is a lot of uncertainty about snow levels overnight as the location of the front has been difficult to determine and snow levels were significantly lower than expected Tuesday afternoon. Snow levels are expected to peak Tuesday evening before dropping as the front progresses southward Tuesday night turning heavy rain and high elevation snow on the west slopes of the Cascades to heavy orographic rain and snow showers. The steadiest and heaviest precipitation should impact the southern Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood regions, where favored locations such as Mt. Hood and Paradise should receive around 2-3" of water (mostly rain). Heavy orographic showers should add another 1-1.5" of SWE for Snoqualmie, Stevens, and Baker, while the WSW flow leaves Crystal relatively blocked from the deluge.

On Wednesday, snow levels should lower as solid orographic snow showers and convergence zone activity in the central Washington Cascades continue and snow accumulations return to mid and lower elevations with rain turning back to snow at Snoqualmie Pass by Wednesday evening. 

The snow shower activity should taper on modest westerly flow Wednesday night with a relative break in the axis before the next warm front lifts northward toward western Washington ahead of a broad ridge offshore, bringing some light rain and snow.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Tuesday Night Decreasing light to moderate rain and snow transitioning to rain and snow showers. Lowering snow levels. Strong winds decreasing.
Mt. Baker
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening, then becoming moderate to heavy rain and snow showers. Elevated snow levels lowering. Strong winds.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Tuesday Night Moderate snow becoming light to moderate snow showers after midnight at Washington Pass. Snow levels hovering just below Washington Pass level. Light rain and high elevation snow near Leavenworth.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow. Strong 5000 ft winds. W winds 15-25 mph through the Passes. Gradually lowering snow levels.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow at Paradise and White Pass. Light to moderate rain and snow at Crystal. Strong 5000 ft winds.
Mt. Hood
Tuesday Night Very stormy with very heavy rain and snow and strong winds. Very high snow levels decreasing.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening Snow Level 4500' 4500' 4500' 5500' 4500' 4500' 5000' 7000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 4500' 4000' 4500' 5500' 5500' 4500' 5000' 6500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
5500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
5500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
7000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
6500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Night Sunday Sunday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 0.25
Washington Pass 1.00 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Leavenworth 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass 1.50 0.75 -1.00 0.50 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 1.50 0.75 -1.00 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.75 -1.00 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 2.00 - 2.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
White Pass 1.50 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 2.50 - 3.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 0
2.50 - 3.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Sunday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday Night 0.50
Sunday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday Night 0.50
Sunday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 30 - 40
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35 WSW 15 - 25 W 25 - 35 W 25 - 35 W 40 - 55
Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25 WSW 10 - 20 WSW 30 - 40 W 20 - 30 W 35 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning W 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 40
Tuesday Night W 40 - 55
Wednesday Morning W 35 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon W 35 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning W 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night W 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning W 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 40
Tuesday Night W 40 - 55
Wednesday Morning W 35 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon W 35 - 45

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening W 50 - 65 W 50 - 65 WSW 55 - 75 W 50 - 65 W 55 - 75
Tuesday Night W 40 - 55 W 50 - 65 W 50 - 65 W 45 - 60 W 60 - 75
Wednesday Morning W 25 - 35 WNW 45 - 60 W 35 - 50 W 40 - 55 W 45 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 50 - 65
Tuesday Night W 40 - 55
Wednesday Morning W 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 50 - 65
Tuesday Night W 50 - 65
Wednesday Morning WNW 45 - 60
Wednesday Afternoon W 45 - 60
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 55 - 75
Tuesday Night W 50 - 65
Wednesday Morning W 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon W 40 - 55
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 50 - 65
Tuesday Night W 45 - 60
Wednesday Morning W 40 - 55
Wednesday Afternoon W 40 - 55
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening W 55 - 75
Tuesday Night W 60 - 75
Wednesday Morning W 45 - 60
Wednesday Afternoon W 45 - 60

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

Northwest Washington should experience the fringes of an intense band of precipitation aimed for SW British Columbia Thursday night and Friay morning, associated with the warm front lifting northward. Some areas near the Cascade Crest could see some light freezing rain Thursday evening with E flow at the surface as warm air aloft spreads back into the region with a transition back to rain expected for Snoqualmie Pass. An intense cold front swings into the region from the west Friday night, bringing rapidly lowering snow levels and some significant snow accumulations through Saturday.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Night Snow Level 1500' - 3500' 2000' - 4000' 3500' - 5500' *
Friday Snow Level 3500' - 5500' 5000' - 7000' 7000' - 9000'
Friday Night Snow Level 5000' - 6000' 6000' - 7000' 7000' - 8500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
3500' - 5500'
Friday Night Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
Saturday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
5000' - 7000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Saturday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
7000' - 9000'
Friday Night Snow Level
7000' - 8500'
Saturday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 31, 2019

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