Issued: 7:46 AM PST Friday, December 20, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Weather Synopsis for Friday & Tuesday

A significant atmospheric river event is well underway in the Pacific Northwest. After bringing 1-4" of precipitable water for most NWAC stations in the Olympic Mountains and near and west of the Cascade Crest Thursday night, we expect another 1.5-5.5 inches for these same locations over the next 48 hours. Snow levels jumped above Crystal Base, Paradise, Snoqualmie and to around Stevens Pass level overnight on Thursday and these elevated snow levels should sustain during the day Friday as moisture continues to stream into the region on a SSW flow. Snow levels are likely to fluctuate near or below Mt. Baker base on Friday and a rain/snow mix is expected for Stevens Pass. Snow levels may drop slightly during the day on Thursday at Hurricane Ridge. North Cascade valley locations east of the Cascades may maintain snow through the morning, but there is a good chance of a changeover to rain or freezing rain in the afternoon.

The frontal zone takes on a slightly more N-S orientation by Saturday morning and the precipitation should gradually decrease through Saturday from the very intense rates we are seeing Friday morning. On Saturday, the precipitation also shifts east with some cooling as a trough shifts into the region from the west.

Winds should be strong on Friday and gradually decrease Friday night and Saturday.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Mt. Baker
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Mt. Hood

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Morning Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 5500' 4500' 5500' 5500' 6000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 4000' 3500' 4500' 5500' 4500' 5500' 5500' 6000'
Friday Evening Snow Level * 4000' 4000' 4500' 5000' 5000' 5000' 5500' 6500'
Friday Night Snow Level * 3500' 4000' 4500' 5500' 5000' 5000' 5500' 6500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 3000' 3500' 4500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday Night Tuesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 1.50 0.50
Washington Pass 1.00 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Leavenworth 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 1.50 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 2.00 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 2.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.75
White Pass 0.75 -1.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 LT 0.10 0.50
0.25 LT 0.10 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Friday 1.00
Friday Night 1.50
Tuesday 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday 1.00
Friday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday 1.50
Friday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Friday 2.00
Friday Night 1.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Friday 2.50
Friday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Tuesday 0.75
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15 SSW 10 - 20 SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon S 5 - 15 SSE 15 - 25 SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 SW 35 - 45
Friday Evening SW 5 - 15 SSW 15 - 25 SSW 20 - 30 SSW 20 - 30 SSW 30 - 40
Friday Night W 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 SSW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning W 5 - 15 WSW 0 - 10 W 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 SW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Friday Evening SW 5 - 15
Friday Night W 5 - 15
Saturday Morning W 5 - 15
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Friday Evening SSW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning WSW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Friday Evening SSW 20 - 30
Friday Night SSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning W 5 - 15
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Friday Evening SSW 20 - 30
Friday Night SW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SW 5 - 15
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning SW 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Friday Evening SSW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Friday Evening SW 5 - 15
Friday Night W 5 - 15
Saturday Morning W 5 - 15
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Friday Evening SSW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning WSW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Friday Evening SSW 20 - 30
Friday Night SSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning W 5 - 15
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Friday Evening SSW 20 - 30
Friday Night SW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SW 5 - 15
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Friday Evening SSW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40 SW 40 - 50 SW 55 - 75 SW 60 - 80 WSW 65 - 85
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45 WSW 40 - 50 WSW 55 - 75 WSW 55 - 75 WSW 60 - 80
Friday Evening SSW 35 - 45 SW 40 - 55 SW 55 - 75 SW 55 - 75 SW 50 - 70
Friday Night SSW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 50 - 70 SW 50 - 70 SW 65 - 85
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 55 - 75
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Friday Evening SSW 35 - 45
Friday Night SSW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 40 - 50
Friday Afternoon WSW 40 - 50
Friday Evening SW 40 - 55
Friday Night SW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 55 - 75
Friday Afternoon WSW 55 - 75
Friday Evening SW 55 - 75
Friday Night SW 50 - 70
Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 60 - 80
Friday Afternoon WSW 55 - 75
Friday Evening SW 55 - 75
Friday Night SW 50 - 70
Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Morning WSW 65 - 85
Friday Afternoon WSW 60 - 80
Friday Evening SW 50 - 70
Friday Night SW 65 - 85
Saturday Morning SW 55 - 75
Saturday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Previous forecast from Dec 19, 2019

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.