Issued: 2:52 PM PST Saturday, January 5, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Tuesday

An elongated open trough extends southward to the northern California coastal waters. The trough approaches the Pacific Northwest on Saturday afternoon with rain and snow spreading into the Olympic Mountains and southern Washington Cascades Saturday afternoon. This band of rain and snow will lift northward during the evening hours.

Saturday night will feature a wind storm. Strong southerly winds ahead of the rotating trough will be accompanied by moderate to strong easterly flow through the passes. Temperatures will be borderline for snow at Snoqualmie Pass. Once the surface trough passes, the flow will shift westerly and strong westerly winds will buffet the mountains in the early morning hours, bringing sharp cooling. Precipitation will be light to moderate in most locations, becoming snow showers after midnight and continuing Sunday in the unstable cold air behind the trough. Expect 7-14 inches of snow by the end of the day on Sunday for the Cascade volcanoes with the passes and Crystal picking up 2-6". 

Light snow showers will continue Sunday night into Monday, mostly confined to the west slopes of the Cascades. Snow levels will remain well below pass level. A ridge building late Monday will generally cut off the moisture from south to north.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Saturday Night Light snow. Strong and shifting winds. Rapid cooling after midnight.
Mt. Baker
Saturday Night Light snow developing and becoming moderate after midnight. Strong and shifting winds, particularly after midnight. Rapid cooling associated with the wind shift.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Saturday Night Increasing light snow. Moderate to strong and shifting winds. Rapid cooling.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Saturday Night Increasing light snow. Strong and shifting winds alpine winds. Moderate to strong easterly winds at pass level shifting westerly in the early morning hours. Rapid cooling in the early morning hours. At Snoqualmie Pass more snow than rain is anticipated, but snow may shift to all rain for a few hours in the early morning hours before changing back to all snow before dawn.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Saturday Night Increasing moderate snow at Paradise. Increasing light snow at Crystal and White Pass. Strong and shifting winds peaking around midnight. Rapid cooling after midnight.
Mt. Hood
Saturday Night Light snow becoming moderate after midnight. Strong and shifting winds peaking in the late evening hours. Rapid cooling after midnight.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening Snow Level * 4500' 4500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 5000'
Saturday Night Snow Level * 4000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level 2000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level 2000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 1000' 500' 0' 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500'
Monday Morning Snow Level 1000' 1000' 500' 1000' 1000' 1000' 1000' 1000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
Monday Morning Snow Level
500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Saturday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 0.50 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Leavenworth 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 0.25
0.50 - 0.75 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening SSE 25 - 35 ESE 15 - 25 E 25 - 35 SE 35 - 50 SE 35 - 50
Saturday Night WSW 40 - 60 SE 35 - 50 SSW 35 - 50 SW 35 - 50 WSW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 SSW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Saturday Night WSW 40 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Night SE 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening E 25 - 35
Saturday Night SSW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Evening SE 35 - 50
Saturday Night SW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening SE 35 - 50
Saturday Night WSW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Saturday Night WSW 40 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Night SE 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening E 25 - 35
Saturday Night SSW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SE 35 - 50
Saturday Night SW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SE 35 - 50
Saturday Night WSW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening S 25 - 35 SSE 25 - 35 S 30 - 45 S 40 - 60 SSW 55 - 75
Saturday Night SSW 50 - 70 SSW 45 - 65 SW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 40 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 35 - 50 SW 35 - 50 WSW 30 - 45 WSW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 45
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening S 25 - 35
Saturday Night SSW 50 - 70
Sunday Morning SW 35 - 50
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Saturday Night SSW 45 - 65
Sunday Morning SW 35 - 50
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening S 30 - 45
Saturday Night SW 50 - 70
Sunday Morning WSW 30 - 45
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening S 40 - 60
Saturday Night WSW 50 - 70
Sunday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SSW 55 - 75
Saturday Night WSW 40 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 30 - 45
Sunday Afternoon SW 35 - 50

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

Monday night, easterly flow will commence ahead of a very large and mature low center located 650 miles offshore. Increasing snow will spread into the area after midnight with southerly winds, but cold air in place.

Periods of moderate to occasionally heavy precipitation will continue as the low ambles eastward. Moderate to strong east flow will continue. Most areas will maintain frozen precipitation Tuesday, but snow levels will begin rising west of the Cascade crest. Many areas will switch to rain Tuesday night through Wednesday as the low tracks toward the northern tip of Vancouver Island Wednesday evening and gradients across the Cascades slacken.

 

 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday Night Snow Level 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500' 2000' - 3000' *
Tuesday Snow Level 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 3000' 4000' - 6000' *
Tuesday Night Snow Level 4000' - 6000' 3000' - 5000' 4000' - 6000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
4000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 5, 2019

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